Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
76.4%
|
1.64 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
58.8%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.70 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.5%
|
1.23 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente del Valle
35 matches
Universidad Catolica
29 matches
| Independiente del Valle | Statistic | Universidad Catolica |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wins | 13 |
| 2 | Draws | 7 |
| 5 | Losses | 9 |
| 80 | Goals For | 50 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 2.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.72 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 22 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 6.21 | Shots On Goal | 4.93 |
| 17.55 | Total Shots | 14.39 |
| 6.06 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 53.5% | Ball Possession | 59% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Universidad Catolica. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Independiente del Valle arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 64 points compared to Universidad Catolica in 4 on 40, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independiente del Valle expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Universidad Catolica in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad Catolica having the stronger overall control. Independiente del Valle come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
Independiente del Valle approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 64 points after 25 outings. With 21 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 61:24, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Matías Perello (6 goals), Emerson Pata (6 goals), Djorkaeff Reasco (5 goals), with creative support from Arón Rodríguez (5 assists), Juan Viacava (4 assists), Djorkaeff Reasco (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 10 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Universidad Catolica come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 40 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, while the 40:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on José Fajardo (7 goals), Emiliano Clavijo (5 goals), Byron Palacios (4 goals), with creative support from Mauro Díaz (8 assists), José Fajardo (2 assists), Eddy Mejía (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 7 times, Universidad Catolica won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:20 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66:28 | 38 | 68 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 47 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Universidad Catolica
Away
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:25 | 22 | 44 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27:22 | 5 | 41 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 36 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 32 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14:37 | -23 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
L
|