Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
80%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
79.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente del Valle
27 matches
Tecnico Universitario
21 matches
| Independiente del Valle | Statistic | Tecnico Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 7 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 12 |
| 61 | Goals For | 19 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 2.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.9 |
| 1.04 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 6.04 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 18 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 6.27 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 54.2% | Ball Possession | 42.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Independiente del Valle's more proactive style and Tecnico Universitario's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Tecnico Universitario. Independiente del Valle arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 43 points compared to Tecnico Universitario in 8 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independiente del Valle expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Tecnico Universitario in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tecnico Universitario having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Independiente del Valle come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
Operating from 1 place with 43 points from 18 games, Independiente del Valle bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 40:19, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Emerson Pata (6 goals), D. Reasco (5 goals), C. González (5 goals), with creative support from D. Reasco (3 assists), J. Sornoza (3 assists), A. Rodríguez (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Tecnico Universitario are currently 8 in the standings with 23 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 19:19 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mateo Castano (3 goals), Julian Anaya (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Mateo Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), Luis Estupiñan (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 10 times, Tecnico Universitario won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:10 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Independiente del Valle
7
0
5
6
0
2
Lineups
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Inter Miami
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 56:22 | 34 | 58 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 38:19 | 19 | 39 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 30:23 | 7 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 38 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 35 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 35 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 32 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 31 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 30 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 28 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 26 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 14:23 | -9 | 23 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 9:29 | -20 | 14 |
L
L
D
L
L
|