Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
54.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61%
|
- |
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente del Valle
11 matches
LDU de Quito
11 matches
| Independiente del Valle | Statistic | LDU de Quito |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 4 |
| 20 | Goals For | 14 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.27 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.9 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 19.2 | Total Shots | 13.6 |
| 6 | Corners | 5.2 |
| 59.7% | Ball Possession | 47.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Independiente del Valle's more proactive style and LDU de Quito's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward LDU de Quito. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independiente del Valle expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and LDU de Quito in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LDU de Quito having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independiente del Valle arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 19 points compared to LDU de Quito in 11 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Operating from 1 place with 19 points from 8 games, Independiente del Valle bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 16:8, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Rodriguez (2 goals), C. Gonzalez (2 goals), D. Reasco (2 goals), with creative support from A. Rodriguez (2 assists), M. Perello (2 assists), Daykol Romero (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
From their first 8 matches, LDU de Quito have collected 10 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 7:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Corozo (2 goals), C. Luna Tobar (1 goals), Deyverson (1 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (1 assists), A. Alvarado (1 assists), J. Quintero (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 2 times, LDU de Quito won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:20 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Independiente del Valle
6
5
12
1
8
1
Lineups
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Macara
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
UCV
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Independiente del Valle
Inter Miami
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
LDU de Quito
Macara
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Lanus
LDU de Quito
Emelec
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
LDU de Quito
Libertad
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 52:20 | 32 | 52 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:19 | 14 | 35 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | 2 | 35 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
LDU de Quito
Away
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 20:17 | 3 | 29 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
| 7 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 27 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 26 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 25 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 25 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 19:24 | -5 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 13:20 | -7 | 23 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 8:26 | -18 | 14 |
D
L
L
D
L
|