ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Referee: Anthony Diaz, Ecuador
Independiente del Valle
Match Timeline
LDU de Quito
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
J. Pretell · Assist: Y. Quinonez
LDU de Quito
🟨
7'
José Quintero
LDU de Quito
🔄
38'
F. Cornejo ↔ K. Minda
LDU de Quito
🟨
42'
Junior Sornoza
Independiente del Valle
🟨
42'
Jesús Pretell
LDU de Quito
🟨
43'
Kevin Minda
LDU de Quito
🔄
43'
R. Mina ↔ G. F. Allala Menendez
LDU de Quito
🔄
46'
Deyverson ↔ M. Estrada
LDU de Quito
🟨
49'
Luis Segovia
LDU de Quito
57'
J. Corozo · Assist: M. Estrada
LDU de Quito
VAR
58'
Janner Corozo
LDU de Quito
🔄
63'
J. Pretell ↔ C. Luna Tobar
LDU de Quito
🔄
63'
Y. Quinonez ↔ J. Caicedo
LDU de Quito
🔄
65'
A. Rodriguez ↔ E. Pata
Independiente del Valle
🔄
71'
R. Briones ↔ J. Angulo
Independiente del Valle
🔄
81'
M. Perello ↔ D. Reasco
Independiente del Valle
🔄
81'
D. A. Romero Padilla ↔ D. Guagua
Independiente del Valle
🟨
90+3'
Juan Angulo
Independiente del Valle
🟨
90+1'
Michael Estrada
LDU de Quito

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 54.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 61%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
54.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
61%
-
Probability Distribution
Independiente del Valle Win 49.3%
Draw 16.4%
LDU de Quito Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independiente del Valle1.49
LDU de Quito1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
WWDLW
20 GF / 11 GA
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WLDWL
14 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.82
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
3
5.9
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle 11 matches
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 11 matches
Independiente del Valle Statistic LDU de Quito
7 Wins 6
2 Draws 1
2 Losses 4
20 Goals For 14
11 Goals Against 11
1.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
5.9 Shots On Goal 3
19.2 Total Shots 13.6
6 Corners 5.2
59.7% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Independiente del Valle's more proactive style and LDU de Quito's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward LDU de Quito. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independiente del Valle expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and LDU de Quito in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward LDU de Quito having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independiente del Valle arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 19 points compared to LDU de Quito in 11 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Independiente del Valle Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 19 points from 8 games, Independiente del Valle bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 16:8, reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Rodriguez (2 goals), C. Gonzalez (2 goals), D. Reasco (2 goals), with creative support from A. Rodriguez (2 assists), M. Perello (2 assists), Daykol Romero (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

LDU de Quito Analysis

From their first 8 matches, LDU de Quito have collected 10 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 7:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Corozo (2 goals), C. Luna Tobar (1 goals), Deyverson (1 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (1 assists), A. Alvarado (1 assists), J. Quintero (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 2 times, LDU de Quito won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:20 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)
Predicted formations: Independiente del Valle 4-2-3-1 / LDU de Quito 5-3-2
H2H summary: Independiente del Valle wins 2, draws 7, LDU de Quito wins 6
Stats
Independiente del Valle Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
1
18 Corner Kicks 1
6 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 0
70% Ball Possession 30%
26 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Goal 5
12 Shots off Goal 1
8 Blocked Shots 1
16 Shots insidebox 4
10 Shots outsidebox 3
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
513 Total passes 240
452 Passes accurate 183
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Independiente del Valle
Formation
LDU de Quito
A. Quintana
A. Quintana
D. A. Romero Padilla
D. A. Romero Padilla
M. Carabajal
M. Carabajal
J. Viacava
J. Viacava
L. Loor
L. Loor
J. Alcivar
J. Alcivar
M. Perello
M. Perello
J. Sornoza
J. Sornoza
R. Briones
R. Briones
C. Gonzalez
C. Gonzalez
A. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
G. Valle
G. Valle
J. Quintero
J. Quintero
R. Mina
R. Mina
L. Segovia
L. Segovia
L. Quinonez
L. Quinonez
G. Villamil
G. Villamil
J. Pretell
J. Pretell
J. Corozo
J. Corozo
F. Cornejo
F. Cornejo
Y. Quinonez
🎯
Y. Quinonez
Deyverson
Deyverson
Independiente del Valle 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
A. Quintana
G
13
D. A. Romero Padilla
↓ 81'
D
14
M. Carabajal
D
23
J. Viacava
D
19
L. Loor
D
6
J. Alcivar
M
11
M. Perello
↓ 81'
M
10
J. Sornoza
🟨 42'
M
16
R. Briones
↓ 71'
F
9
C. Gonzalez
F
17
A. Rodriguez
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
12
E. Bores
G
15
G. Cortez
D
99
D. Reasco
↑ 81'
F
4
J. Espinoza
D
33
A. Velasco
D
8
Y. Ochoa
M
20
A. Gomez
M
32
J. Mendez
M
31
E. Pata
↑ 65'
F
53
J. Lerma
55
D. Guagua
↑ 81'
50
J. Angulo
↑ 71' 🟨 90+3'
F
LDU de Quito 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
G. Valle
G
14
J. Quintero
🟨 7'
D
3
R. Mina
↓ 43'
D
44
L. Segovia
🟨 49'
D
33
L. Quinonez
D
15
G. Villamil
M
8
J. Pretell
⚽ 2' ↓ 63' 🟨 42'
M
13
J. Corozo
⚽ 57'
M
20
F. Cornejo
↓ 38'
M
23
Y. Quinonez
🎯 2' ↓ 63'
M
16
Deyverson
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
22
A. Dominguez
G
10
A. Alvarado
M
30
G. F. Allala Menendez
↑ 43'
D
28
J. W. Cuero Mercado
D
31
D. I. de la Cruz
D
5
K. Minda
↑ 38' 🟨 43'
M
11
M. Estrada
🎯 57' ↑ 46' 🟨 90+1'
F
99
C. Luna Tobar
↑ 63'
M
9
J. Medina
F
7
R. Redes
F
25
P. Ortiz
26
J. Caicedo
↑ 63'
D
Last matches: Independiente del Valle
22.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
W
20.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
6
1
W
16.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
3
0
W
11.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
4
1
W
04.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
4
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
4
2
W
27.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
1
0
W
23.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
2
3
L
20.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
4
1
W
16.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Macara
3
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
06.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
0
2
L
01.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Universidad Catolica
3
2
W
28.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Delfin SC
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
3
2
W
09.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
2
0
W
Last matches: LDU de Quito
23.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
1
D
18.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
15.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
12.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
0
0
D
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
01.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
3
0
W
18.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
0
0
D
17.06.26
Fri
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
26.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
3
2
W
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
21.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
2
0
W
15.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
2
1
W
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
02.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Aucas
0
0
D
15.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
2
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
0
1
L
H2H: Independiente del Valle vs LDU de Quito
19.04.26
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
10.12.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
29.11.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
1
L
22.06.25
H2H
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
1
1
D
23.02.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
14.12.24
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
07.12.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
3
0
L
09.11.24
H2H
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
1
L
18.05.24
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
17.12.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
1
1
D
10.12.23
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
04.11.23
H2H
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
0
L
28.05.23
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
2
3
L
17.09.22
H2H
LDU de Quito
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
02.05.22
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
Last matches: Independiente del Valle
22.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
3
0
W
20.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Emelec
6
1
W
04.07.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Manta FC
4
0
W
27.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Rosario Central
1
0
W
23.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Libertad
2
3
L
20.05.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
Libertad Asuncion
4
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Leones del Norte
2
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Independiente del Valle
UCV
3
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Orense SC
2
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Independiente del Valle
Inter Miami
1
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Independiente del Valle
Guayaquil City FC
2
0
W
H2H at home: Independiente del Valle
19.04.26
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
10.12.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
23.02.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
14.12.24
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
18.05.24
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
10.12.23
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
28.05.23
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
2
3
L
02.05.22
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
Last matches: LDU de Quito
23.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Manta FC
1
1
D
15.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Universidad Catolica
0
1
L
05.07.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Macara
0
1
L
24.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Deportivo Cuenca
1
1
D
12.05.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
3
1
W
07.05.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
0
2
L
28.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Lanus
0
1
L
25.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Emelec
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Delfin SC
0
1
L
08.04.26
CON
LDU de Quito
Always Ready
1
0
W
18.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Leones del Norte
2
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Libertad
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
LDU de Quito
Orense SC
2
1
W
H2H away: LDU de Quito
19.04.26
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
2
W
10.12.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
23.02.25
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
14.12.24
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
1
0
L
18.05.24
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
10.12.23
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
28.05.23
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
2
3
W
02.05.22
H2H
Independiente del Valle
LDU de Quito
1
0
L

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 17 1 3 52:20 32 52
W W W W W
2 21 10 5 6 33:19 14 35
W W W L L
3 21 10 5 6 23:21 2 35
L W L W W
4 21 9 7 5 23:16 7 34
L W D D W
5 21 9 5 7 24:21 3 32
W L W W W
6 21 8 5 8 20:17 3 29
D L L D L
7 21 7 7 7 22:21 1 28
D W D W W
8 21 8 4 9 19:26 -7 28
L L D L L
9 21 7 6 8 19:23 -4 27
D W D W L
10 21 7 5 9 25:29 -4 26
W L L D L
11 21 6 7 8 27:31 -4 25
D W L L W
12 21 7 7 7 18:24 -6 25
D L W D D
13 21 6 6 9 19:26 -7 24
W L W D L
14 21 7 2 12 19:24 -5 23
L L L L W
15 21 6 5 10 13:20 -7 23
L W W L D
16 21 3 5 13 8:26 -18 14
D L L D L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs