Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
- |
Independiente del Valle
Deportivo Cuenca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente del Valle
29 matches
Deportivo Cuenca
24 matches
| Independiente del Valle | Statistic | Deportivo Cuenca |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 11 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 5 | Losses | 9 |
| 67 | Goals For | 25 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 2.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.04 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 6.07 | Shots On Goal | 3.73 |
| 17.5 | Total Shots | 12.55 |
| 6.14 | Corners | 4.55 |
| 54.3% | Ball Possession | 50.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Independiente del Valle's more proactive style and Deportivo Cuenca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Cuenca. Independiente del Valle arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 52 points compared to Deportivo Cuenca in 8 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independiente del Valle come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Independiente del Valle come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 52 points after 21 matches. With 17 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 52:20, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Emerson Pata (6 goals), Djorkaeff Reasco (5 goals), Matías Perello (5 goals), with creative support from Arón Rodríguez (4 assists), Djorkaeff Reasco (3 assists), Junior Sornoza (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Deportivo Cuenca sit 8 with 28 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 19:26 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Jorge Ordóñez (5 goals), Matías Klimowicz (3 goals), David González (2 goals), with creative support from David González (2 assists), Germán Rivero (2 assists), Carlos Arboleda (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 12 times, Deportivo Cuenca won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:8 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66:28 | 38 | 68 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 31:26 | 5 | 47 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47:25 | 22 | 44 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27:22 | 5 | 41 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 36 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 36 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 29:30 | -1 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 |
Deportivo Cuenca
Away
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23:35 | -12 | 32 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 31:41 | -10 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14:37 | -23 | 20 |
W
L
L
W
L
|