Independiente del Valle vs Aucas H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsIndependiente del Valle vs Aucas Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
56.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
86.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independiente del Valle
41 matches
Aucas
33 matches
| Independiente del Valle | Statistic | Aucas |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wins | 15 |
| 4 | Draws | 8 |
| 7 | Losses | 10 |
| 90 | Goals For | 35 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 2.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 35 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 26 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 19 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 6.35 | Shots On Goal | 4.16 |
| 18.35 | Total Shots | 12.03 |
| 6.13 | Corners | 4.77 |
| 55.9% | Ball Possession | 52.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aucas. Independiente del Valle arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 74 points compared to Aucas in 4 on 50, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independiente del Valle expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Aucas in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aucas having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Independiente del Valle come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 74 points after 30 matches. The return of 24 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 73:33, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through D. Reasco (7 goals), M. Perelló (7 goals), Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez (6 goals), with creative support from A. Rodríguez (5 assists), D. Reasco (4 assists), J. Viacava (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Aucas arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 50 points after 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:28 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Ayrton Preciado (4 goals), Ederson Quiñónez (4 goals), with creative support from Ayrton Preciado (3 assists), Andres Mena (3 assists), Piero Guzmán (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Independiente del Valle won 4 times, Aucas won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:4 from Independiente del Valle's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 |
Aucas
Away
|
30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|