BRAZIL › SERIE D
02.05.2026 22:00
Independência
Match Timeline
Porto Velho
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
21'
Thomaz Kenedi
Independência
⚽
45'
Caique Gomes
Independência
⚽
56'
Yan Philippe
Porto Velho

Independência vs Porto Velho Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Independência Win 64.4%
Draw 11.5%
Porto Velho Win 24.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independência1.15
Porto Velho1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independência Independência
WWDLW
5 GF / 4 GA
Porto Velho Porto Velho
WLDWL
10 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
2.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independência Independência 4 matches
Porto Velho Porto Velho 4 matches
Independência Statistic Porto Velho
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
2 Losses 2
5 Goals For 10
4 Goals Against 4
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 2.5
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
3 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Independência won 0 times, Porto Velho won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Independência's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
H2H summary: Independência wins 0, draws 1, Porto Velho wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)