Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Independ. Rivadavia
21 matches
Union Santa Fe
17 matches
| Independ. Rivadavia | Statistic | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 2 | Losses | 5 |
| 39 | Goals For | 26 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.9 | Shots On Goal | 5.44 |
| 13.6 | Total Shots | 17.38 |
| 4.4 | Corners | 5.13 |
| 45.8% | Ball Possession | 50.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Union Santa Fe. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independ. Rivadavia expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Union Santa Fe in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union Santa Fe having the stronger overall control.
Independ. Rivadavia come into this tie placed 12 in their league with 123 points from 89 matches. The return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats, together with a 0:0 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by F. Sartori (6 goals), A. Osella (4 goals), L. Bucca (4 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Villa (5 assists), R. Atencio (4 assists), M. Fernandez (2 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Ahead of this knockout test, Union Santa Fe arrive from a league campaign that has them 13 with 120 points after 89 matches. Their record of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with goals at 0:0 reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Cristian Tarragona (7 goals), M. Estigarribia (4 goals), J. Palacios (3 goals), with creative support from J. Palacios (5 assists), R. Profini (5 assists), Lautaro Vargas (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Independ. Rivadavia won 2 times, Union Santa Fe won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from Independ. Rivadavia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.
Independ. Rivadavia
3
6
9
1
5
3
Lineups
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
Barracas Central
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
Racing Club
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Talleres Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
Newells Old Boys
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
Deportivo Riestra
Union Santa Fe
Agropecuario
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
Union Santa Fe
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
San Lorenzo
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Union Santa Fe
Gimnasia M.
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
Union Santa Fe
Platense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
Barracas Central
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
Independ. Rivadavia
CA Estudiantes
Union Santa Fe
Belgrano Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
Estudiantes L.P.
Union Santa Fe
Defensa Y Justicia
Union Santa Fe
Independiente
Union Santa Fe
Instituto Cordoba
Union Santa Fe
Sarmiento Junin
Union Santa Fe
Central Cordoba de Santiago
Union Santa Fe
Lanus
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independ. Rivadavia
Home
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
L
L
L
L
D
|