30.07.2026 22:00
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
Referee: P. Dovalo
Independ. Rivadavia
Match Timeline
Huracan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
16'
Fabrizio Sartori
Independ. Rivadavia
22'
A. Arce · Assist: M. Fernandez
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
31'
L. Gomez ↔ A. Riep
Independ. Rivadavia
45'
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla · Assist: M. Fernandez
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
46'
F. Pereyra ↔ F. Kalinger
Huracan
47'
O. Cortes · Assist: C. Ibanez
Huracan
🔄
69'
C. Ibanez ↔ L. Lescano
Huracan
🔄
70'
G. Rios ↔ L. Bucca
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
70'
F. Sartori ↔ K. A. Vazquez
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
82'
O. Cortes ↔ A. Martinez
Huracan
🔄
83'
↔ A. Osella
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
83'
M. Fernandez ↔ I. Villalba
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
86'
E. Ojeda ↔ O. Romero
Huracan
🟥
90'
Leandro Lescano
Huracan

Independ. Rivadavia vs Huracan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.9%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Independ. Rivadavia Win 69.9%
Draw 4.6%
Huracan Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independ. Rivadavia1.45
Huracan1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
WWDLW
48 GF / 23 GA
Huracan Huracan
WLDWL
24 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.09
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
17
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
8
4.92
Shots on Goal
4.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 26 matches
Huracan Huracan 22 matches
Independ. Rivadavia Statistic Huracan
17 Wins 8
6 Draws 8
3 Losses 6
48 Goals For 24
23 Goals Against 19
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
17 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 7
4.92 Shots On Goal 4.16
13.63 Total Shots 11.26
4.33 Corners 3.79
46.5% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Huracan. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independ. Rivadavia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 34 points compared to Huracan in 7 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independ. Rivadavia expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Huracan in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Huracan having the stronger overall control.

Independ. Rivadavia Analysis

Independ. Rivadavia arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 34 points after 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 29:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Sartori (7 goals), A. Osella (4 goals), L. Bucca (4 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Villa (5 assists), R. Atencio (4 assists), M. Fernandez (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Huracan Analysis

Huracan are currently 7 in the standings with 22 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Caicedo (8 goals), J. Bisanz (2 goals), O. Romero (2 goals), with creative support from O. Cortes (4 assists), E. Ojeda (2 assists), J. Bisanz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Independ. Rivadavia won 4 times, Huracan won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Independ. Rivadavia's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Independ. Rivadavia 4-3-1-2 / Huracan 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Independ. Rivadavia wins 4, draws 4, Huracan wins 6

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W L W D L
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
W W W D W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
D D W D L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W D L D W
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
D D D L W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D W W L L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W D D D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L L L D L
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
D D D L L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L D W D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
D W L W W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D L L L W
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L W D D W
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
L W L L D
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L D D L
Knockout Phase