ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
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Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds 2.24
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 3.01
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.9%
2.24
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
3.01
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.2%
1.14
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Independ. Rivadavia Win 69.9%
Draw 4.6%
Huracan Win 25.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independ. Rivadavia1.45
Huracan1.01
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
WWDLW
48 GF / 23 GA
Huracan Huracan
WLDWL
24 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.09
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
17
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
8
4.92
Shots on Goal
4.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 26 matches
Huracan Huracan 22 matches
Independ. Rivadavia Statistic Huracan
17 Wins 8
6 Draws 8
3 Losses 6
48 Goals For 24
23 Goals Against 19
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
17 BTTS Yes 11
20 Over 1.5 13
13 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 7
4.92 Shots On Goal 4.16
13.63 Total Shots 11.26
4.33 Corners 3.79
46.5% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Huracan. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Independ. Rivadavia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 34 points compared to Huracan in 7 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Independ. Rivadavia expected to line up in 4-3-1-2 and Huracan in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Huracan having the stronger overall control.

Independ. Rivadavia Analysis

Independ. Rivadavia arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 34 points after 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 29:15 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Sartori (7 goals), A. Osella (4 goals), L. Bucca (4 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Villa (5 assists), R. Atencio (4 assists), M. Fernandez (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Huracan Analysis

Huracan are currently 7 in the standings with 22 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Caicedo (8 goals), J. Bisanz (2 goals), O. Romero (2 goals), with creative support from O. Cortes (4 assists), E. Ojeda (2 assists), J. Bisanz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Independ. Rivadavia won 3 times, Huracan won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:17 from Independ. Rivadavia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Independ. Rivadavia 4-3-1-2 / Huracan 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Independ. Rivadavia wins 3, draws 4, Huracan wins 6
Last matches: Independ. Rivadavia
26.07.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
0
0
D
12.07.26
Cop
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
3
1
W
21.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
4
2
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
1
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
5
1
W
20.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS
3
1
W
07.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
1
0
W
02.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
2
0
W
23.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
3
2
W
12.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Barracas Central
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
1
1
D
26.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Racing Club
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
3
2
W
Last matches: Huracan
25.07.26
Lig
Huracan
Banfield
1
0
W
03.06.26
Cop
Huracan
Barracas Central
0
1
L
13.05.26
Lig
Huracan
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
09.05.26
Lig
Huracan
Boca Juniors
3
2
W
03.05.26
Lig
Huracan
Racing Club
0
0
D
28.04.26
Lig
Huracan
Argentinos JRS
1
2
L
21.04.26
Lig
Huracan
Tigre
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Huracan
Rosario Central
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Huracan
Gimnasia L.P.
3
0
W
29.03.26
Cop
Huracan
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2
1
W
24.03.26
Lig
Huracan
Barracas Central
0
0
D
16.03.26
Lig
Huracan
Aldosivi
0
0
D
13.03.26
Lig
Huracan
River Plate
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lig
Huracan
Belgrano Cordoba
3
1
W
26.02.26
Lig
Huracan
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Huracan
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
14.02.26
Lig
Huracan
Sarmiento Junin
1
0
W
08.02.26
Lig
Huracan
San Lorenzo
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Huracan
Atletico Tucuman
1
1
D
27.01.26
Lig
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
H2H: Independ. Rivadavia vs Huracan
27.01.26
H2H
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
W
28.09.25
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
0
0
D
16.03.25
H2H
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
2
0
L
15.06.24
H2H
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
1
0
L
04.02.24
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
2
0
W
08.12.14
H2H
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
4
0
L
02.10.14
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
1
1
D
27.04.14
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
1
2
L
30.10.13
H2H
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
2
2
D
05.05.13
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
0
1
L
03.11.12
H2H
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
0
1
W
17.03.12
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
0
0
D
18.09.11
H2H
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
3
0
L
Last matches: Independ. Rivadavia
12.07.26
Cop
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
1
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
5
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS
3
1
W
07.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
1
0
W
23.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
2
0
W
12.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Barracas Central
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
3
2
W
15.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
0
1
L
04.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
2
1
W
24.01.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
2
1
W
18.01.26
Cop
Independ. Rivadavia
CA Estudiantes
2
0
W
H2H at home: Independ. Rivadavia
28.09.25
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
0
0
D
04.02.24
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
2
0
W
02.10.14
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
1
1
D
27.04.14
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
1
2
L
05.05.13
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
0
1
L
17.03.12
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
0
0
D
Last matches: Huracan
03.06.26
Cop
Huracan
Barracas Central
0
1
L
13.05.26
Lig
Huracan
Argentinos JRS
0
1
L
09.05.26
Lig
Huracan
Boca Juniors
3
2
W
03.05.26
Lig
Huracan
Racing Club
0
0
D
21.04.26
Lig
Huracan
Tigre
1
1
D
05.04.26
Lig
Huracan
Gimnasia L.P.
3
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Huracan
Aldosivi
0
0
D
26.02.26
Lig
Huracan
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Huracan
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Huracan
Atletico Tucuman
1
1
D
22.01.26
Lig
Huracan
Banfield
1
1
D
16.01.26
Fri
Huracan
Cucuta
1
1
D
H2H away: Huracan
28.09.25
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
0
0
D
04.02.24
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
2
0
L
02.10.14
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
1
1
D
27.04.14
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
1
2
W
05.05.13
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
0
1
W
17.03.12
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 2.91
Home 2.24
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.71
Draw 1.89
Home 3.16
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.25 1.42
Over 1.5 1.63
Over 1.75 1.84
Over 2.0 2.22
Over 2.25 2.63
Over 2.5 3.01
Over 3.5 6.43
Under 0.5 5.74
Under 1.25 2.89
Under 1.5 2.30
Under 1.75 2.00
Under 2.0 1.67
Under 2.25 1.49
Under 2.5 1.38
Under 3.5 1.12
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.88
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 1.83
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.05
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.62
Over 2.5 3.10
Over 3.5 6.50
Over 4.5 17.00
Over 5.5 34.00
Under 0.5 5.50
Under 1.5 2.20
Under 2.5 1.36
Under 3.5 1.11
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.79
Draw 2.95
Home 2.22
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.75
Draw 1.78
Home 3.02
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.07
Home 2.61
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.08
Over 0.75 1.12
Over 1.0 1.16
Over 1.25 1.42
Over 1.5 1.63
Over 1.75 1.84
Over 2.0 2.11
Over 2.25 2.46
Over 2.5 2.80
Over 2.75 3.50
Over 3.0 5.00
Over 3.25 5.45
Over 3.5 5.95
Over 3.75 10.60
Over 4.0 11.00
Over 4.5 14.50
Over 5.5 27.00
Under 0.5 5.70
Under 0.75 5.08
Under 1.0 4.40
Under 1.25 2.86
Under 1.5 2.27
Under 1.75 1.97
Under 2.0 1.62
Under 2.25 1.44
Under 2.5 1.34
Under 2.75 1.22
Under 3.0 1.10
Under 3.25 1.08
Under 3.5 1.07
Under 3.75 1.02
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.80
Draw 2.95
Home 2.18
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 1.89
Home 2.90
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.95
Draw 2.18
Home 2.63
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.60
Over 2.0 2.12
Over 2.5 2.85
Over 3.5 5.80
Over 4.5 12.50
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 1.5 2.28
Under 2.0 1.68
Under 2.5 1.38
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 4.5 1.01

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
D L D W D
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L L W W W
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W L W W L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
L L W W D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W W W W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
L L W W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W L W D L
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W L W D D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
W L D D W
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L D L D D
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L L W L L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
L W D D L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
D W D L D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
D D L D L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
W L L L L
Knockout Phase