WORLD CONMEBOL LIBERTADORES
30.04.2026 22:00
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Referee: A. Menendez
Independ. Rivadavia
Match Timeline
Deportivo La Guaira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
Alex Arce · Assist: Matías Fernández
Independ. Rivadavia
32'
Guillermo Ortíz · Assist: Franco Cáceres
Deportivo La Guaira
45+2'
Alex Arce · Assist: Sebastián Villa
Independ. Rivadavia
45'
Sebastián Villa
Independ. Rivadavia
🟨
47'
Ezequiel Bonifacio
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
53'
Franco Cáceres ↔ Juan Castellanos
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
54'
José Correa ↔ Carlos Faya
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
54'
Flabian Londoño ↔ Alexis Rodríguez
Deportivo La Guaira
64'
Alex Arce · Assist: José Florentín
Independ. Rivadavia
VAR
73'
Fabrizio Sartori
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
76'
Fabrizio Sartori ↔ Rodrigo Atencio
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
76'
Ezequiel Bonifacio ↔ Juan Manuel Elordi
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
79'
Juan Perdomo ↔ Cesar Da Silva
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
79'
José Alí Meza ↔ Yackson Rivas
Deportivo La Guaira
🔄
82'
José Florentín ↔ Leonel Bucca
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
82'
Alex Arce ↔ Victorio Ramis
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
87'
Matías Fernández ↔ Gonzalo Ríos
Independ. Rivadavia

Independ. Rivadavia vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Independ. Rivadavia Win 51.6%
Draw 9.2%
Deportivo La Guaira Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Independ. Rivadavia1.36
Deportivo La Guaira0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
WWDLW
33 GF / 15 GA
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
WLDWL
18 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.65
11
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
4
5.06
Shots on Goal
1.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 18 matches
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 17 matches
Independ. Rivadavia Statistic Deportivo La Guaira
13 Wins 7
3 Draws 8
2 Losses 2
33 Goals For 18
15 Goals Against 11
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.65
11 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 9
9 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 10
2 Failed To Score 4
5.06 Shots On Goal 1.5
13.47 Total Shots 5
4.18 Corners 2.5
45.5% Ball Possession 32%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Independ. Rivadavia won 2 times, Deportivo La Guaira won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:3 from Independ. Rivadavia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 5.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Independ. Rivadavia 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo La Guaira 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Independ. Rivadavia wins 2, draws 0, Deportivo La Guaira wins 0

Standings

Group C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 15:6 9 16
W W D W W
2 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
W W D L L
3 6 1 2 3 6:8 -2 5
L L D W D
4 6 0 3 3 6:13 -7 3
L L D L D
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals