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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
28.09.2026 20:30
Estadio Municipal Raul Miranda
Ind. Yumbo
Match Timeline
Orsomarso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
J. Ampudia
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
28'
A. Garcia ↔ L. Farias
Ind. Yumbo
⚽
37'
L. Farias
Ind. Yumbo
🟨
39'
J. Barreiro
Orsomarso
🟨
48'
J. Lozano
Ind. Yumbo
⚽
54'
F. Pena
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
58'
R. A. Benitez Hernandez ↔ S. Arrechea
Orsomarso
🔄
58'
J. Barreiro ↔ J. Contreras
Orsomarso
⚽
60'
B. Caicedo
Orsomarso
🔄
66'
J. Rubiano ↔ D. Ferrer
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
66'
F. Pena ↔ J. Diaz
Ind. Yumbo
🟨
67'
S. Gonzalez
Orsomarso
🟨
74'
S. Agamez
Orsomarso
🔄
75'
J. Munoz ↔ A. Ruiz
Orsomarso
🔄
75'
B. Campaz ↔ J. Hernandez
Orsomarso
⚽
75'
L. Farias
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
77'
J. Palacios ↔ H. Mena
Ind. Yumbo
⚽
79'
H. Mena
Ind. Yumbo
⚽
83'
D. Barrios
Orsomarso
🔄
85'
J. Ampudia ↔ H. De Arco
Ind. Yumbo
🔄
85'
H. Moreyra ↔ J. Rodriguez
Ind. Yumbo
⚽
89'
S. Arrechea
Orsomarso
🔄
90'
S. Gonzalez ↔ J. Villarreal
Orsomarso

Ind. Yumbo vs Orsomarso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
61.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
88%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ind. Yumbo Win 50.6%
Draw 23.8%
Orsomarso Win 25.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ind. Yumbo0.98
Orsomarso0.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ind. Yumbo Ind. Yumbo
WWDLW
23 GF / 17 GA
Orsomarso Orsomarso
WLDWL
17 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
0.74
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ind. Yumbo Ind. Yumbo 24 matches
Orsomarso Orsomarso 23 matches
Ind. Yumbo Statistic Orsomarso
9 Wins 6
9 Draws 8
6 Losses 9
23 Goals For 17
17 Goals Against 23
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 0.74
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 6
16 Over 1.5 13
2 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Ind. Yumbo's more proactive style and Orsomarso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Orsomarso having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Orsomarso arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Orsomarso.

Ind. Yumbo Analysis

Ind. Yumbo are currently 7 in the standings with 36 points from 23 matches. The record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 23:16 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Orsomarso Analysis

Orsomarso sit 12 with 25 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 17:23 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ind. Yumbo won 0 times, Orsomarso won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Ind. Yumbo's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
H2H summary: Ind. Yumbo wins 0, draws 0, Orsomarso wins 1

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 17 9 7 41:29 12 60
D L W W W
2 35 15 12 8 47:32 15 57
D D D W D
3 33 16 9 8 34:25 9 57
L W W L L
4 35 15 11 9 55:41 14 56
D L D D L
5 33 15 9 9 47:33 14 54
D D W D W
6 33 12 10 11 33:27 6 46
D W D W D
7 27 11 10 6 29:21 8 43
D W W L W
8 33 9 12 12 28:35 -7 39
D D L W D
9 33 10 8 15 41:44 -3 38
W D L L L
10 27 9 9 9 33:30 3 36
L W W W W
11 27 9 8 10 30:34 -4 35
D L L L W
12 26 7 10 9 33:34 -1 31
D W W W W
13 26 6 9 11 20:28 -8 27
L D L D L
14 27 5 9 13 27:42 -15 24
D L L L W
15 27 4 10 13 23:41 -18 22
W L D D L
16 27 4 9 14 18:43 -25 21
D D L L D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)