BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Imperatriz Win 53.1%
Draw 19.4%
Tuna Luso Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Imperatriz1.31
Tuna Luso1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Imperatriz Imperatriz
WWDLW
11 GF / 10 GA
Tuna Luso Tuna Luso
WLDWL
14 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Imperatriz Imperatriz 9 matches
Tuna Luso Tuna Luso 9 matches
Imperatriz Statistic Tuna Luso
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
11 Goals For 14
10 Goals Against 13
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
4 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tuna Luso. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tuna Luso having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Imperatriz have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Imperatriz Analysis

Imperatriz sit 4 with 9 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats with a 10:10 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Ivan (2 goals), Wyldson (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tuna Luso Analysis

Placed 3 with 10 points from 8 outings, Tuna Luso continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 13:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Franklin Douglas (3 goals), J. Alves (3 goals), Daniel GTA (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Imperatriz won 0 times, Tuna Luso won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Imperatriz's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.6%)
H2H summary: Imperatriz wins 0, draws 1, Tuna Luso wins 0
Last matches: Imperatriz
31.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
4
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
3
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tuna Luso
0
0
D
24.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
0
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
2
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Parnahyba
3
2
W
19.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Iguatu
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maranhão
1
0
W
05.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Sampaio Correa
0
3
L
28.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
4
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Altos
0
1
L
08.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
3
2
W
Last matches: Tuna Luso
31.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Oratório
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
2
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Oratório
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
3
3
D
05.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Imperatriz
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Maranhão
2
0
W
02.08.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Maranhão
1
4
L
27.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Humaitá
2
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
1
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Manauara
2
1
W
06.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Manaus FC
1
2
L
29.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Independência
3
0
W
07.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
GAS
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
GAS
3
0
W
28.05.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Independência
0
0
D
H2H: Imperatriz vs Tuna Luso
05.04.26
H2H
Tuna Luso
Imperatriz
0
0
D
Last matches: Imperatriz
23.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Águia de Marabá
0
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Trem
4
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Imperatriz
Oratório
3
1
W
17.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
America-RN
0
1
L
09.08.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Manaus FC
0
2
L
26.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Parnahyba
3
2
W
12.07.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maranhão
1
0
W
28.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Tocantinópolis
4
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Altos
0
1
L
31.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Maracanã
0
0
D
10.05.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
Imperatriz
Iguatu
2
1
W
Last matches: Tuna Luso
24.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Oratório
3
3
D
02.05.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Tocantinópolis
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
3
3
D
02.08.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Maranhão
1
4
L
19.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Trem
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Manaus FC
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
GAS
0
0
D
28.05.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Independência
0
0
D
17.05.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Águia de Marabá
0
0
D
03.05.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Manauara
0
3
L
19.04.25
Ser
Tuna Luso
Humaitá
3
0
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
L W W W D
1 9 5 3 1 18:7 11 18
D D W W W
1 9 5 3 1 12:7 5 18
D D D W W
1 9 5 1 3 13:9 4 16
W W L L W
1 9 5 3 1 14:6 8 18
W W D L W
1 9 4 5 0 14:8 6 17
D D W W D
1 9 5 1 3 14:9 5 16
W W W L W
1 9 6 1 2 14:7 7 19
W W L D L
1 9 5 4 0 12:5 7 19
W D W D W
1 9 6 3 0 17:7 10 21
W W D W D
1 9 8 1 0 21:4 17 25
W W W W W
1 9 6 2 1 14:6 8 20
W D W W D
1 9 5 3 1 20:9 11 18
W W L W W
1 9 4 5 0 13:7 6 17
D D D W D
1 9 5 3 1 14:7 7 18
D W W D W
2 9 3 5 1 11:7 4 14
D W L D W
2 9 4 3 2 10:6 4 15
D D W W L
2 9 3 3 3 10:8 2 12
?
2 9 4 4 1 13:6 7 16
W D W D D
2 9 5 2 2 16:7 9 17
W W D D W
2 9 3 3 3 11:7 4 12
D L W W W
2 9 4 3 2 9:3 6 15
D W L W D
2 8 4 3 1 9:4 5 15
D W W W L
2 9 5 2 2 12:8 4 17
D W L W D
2 9 4 3 2 22:9 13 15
L D L W W
2 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
D L D W D
2 9 4 4 1 12:7 5 16
D D L D W
2 9 5 2 2 17:13 4 17
L W W L W
2 9 4 4 1 10:6 4 16
W W D D D
2 9 3 5 1 12:8 4 14
D W D L D
2 9 5 3 1 12:3 9 18
W D W D D
3 9 4 2 3 14:12 2 14
L L D W W
3 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
D D L L L
3 9 3 3 3 6:6 0 12
L D W D W
3 9 4 2 3 12:8 4 14
D W D W L
3 9 3 5 1 14:7 7 14
D D W D L
3 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 9:5 4 15
W D L L D
3 9 3 3 3 3:4 -1 12
L D L D W
3 9 3 4 2 10:6 4 13
W D L L D
3 9 4 3 2 20:9 11 15
W D D W D
3 9 3 3 3 9:11 -2 12
D L W W W
3 9 2 5 2 9:8 1 11
D D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 14:13 1 13
W D W L D
3 9 3 4 2 12:5 7 13
W W W D L
3 9 4 2 3 12:10 2 14
W L W D L
3 8 2 4 2 6:4 2 10
D D D D L
4 9 2 4 3 6:6 0 10
L D D L D
4 9 2 4 3 13:15 -2 10
W D D D L
4 9 3 3 3 11:13 -2 12
D D W W L
4 9 3 3 3 8:11 -3 12
D L L D D
4 9 2 4 3 10:12 -2 10
L L D D D
4 9 2 3 4 10:21 -11 9
D L W L D
4 9 3 2 4 8:11 -3 11
W D L L L
4 9 4 1 4 8:8 0 13
L D W L W
4 9 2 4 3 5:8 -3 10
W D D W D
4 9 2 4 3 10:11 -1 10
L D W W D
4 9 4 2 3 15:8 7 14
W W W L D
4 9 3 3 3 7:10 -3 12
D W L L L
4 9 3 2 4 8:9 -1 11
D W L L W
4 9 3 3 3 11:10 1 12
W L L W L
4 9 3 2 4 10:13 -3 11
D L L W W
4 9 2 4 3 9:8 1 10
D W D W L
5 8 3 1 4 4:7 -3 10
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 10:15 -5 9
D D W L L
5 9 2 3 4 10:16 -6 9
D D L L W
5 9 2 3 4 8:10 -2 9
W L W L L
5 9 3 1 5 9:17 -8 10
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 10:16 -6 8
L D L W L
5 9 2 4 3 7:9 -2 10
L D L D D
5 9 3 3 3 8:8 0 12
D L W W L
5 9 2 3 4 8:11 -3 9
L D D L L
5 9 2 4 3 7:10 -3 10
D D W L D
5 9 3 1 5 14:22 -8 10
L L W L D
5 9 2 5 2 9:9 0 11
D W L L D
5 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
D L W D L
5 9 2 3 4 11:17 -6 9
L L W W D
5 9 2 3 4 8:14 -6 9
L L D L W
5 9 2 2 5 6:13 -7 8
D L L L W
6 9 0 2 7 2:18 -16 2
L D L L L
6 8 2 1 5 9:15 -6 7
W L L L W
6 9 1 2 6 4:13 -9 5
D D L L W
6 9 2 3 4 7:9 -2 9
W W L D D
6 9 1 4 4 6:11 -5 7
D D D W L
6 9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
L L L W D
6 9 2 3 4 6:10 -4 9
L W W D D
6 9 1 1 7 2:17 -15 4
L L L W L
6 8 1 2 5 5:10 -5 5
L W L D L
6 9 0 2 7 5:16 -11 2
L L L D L
6 9 0 0 9 4:37 -33 0
L L L L L
6 9 0 1 8 3:16 -13 1
L L D L L
6 9 1 2 6 7:15 -8 5
L D L W L
6 9 1 1 7 11:22 -11 4
L D L L L
6 9 0 4 5 10:18 -8 4
L D D L L
6 9 1 4 4 4:11 -7 7
L L L W D