FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Tammelan Stadion
Referee: A. Hajizadeh
Ilves
Match Timeline
Turku PS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Luke Ivanovic
Turku PS
🔄
21'
M. Konkkola ↔ S. Anini
Turku PS
🟨
54'
Yiandro Raap
Ilves
🔄
58'
L. Ikonen ↔ P. Juvanteny
Turku PS
🔄
58'
L. Ivanovic ↔ M. Kauppila
Turku PS
🔄
60'
Y. Raap ↔ A. Popovitch
Ilves
🔄
65'
O. Tiitinen ↔ J. Veteli
Ilves
🟨
72'
Samuel Anini Jr.
Turku PS
🟨
76'
Oscar Haggstrom
Turku PS
🔄
77'
↔ N. Talo
Turku PS
🔄
77'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ T. Vakiparta
Turku PS
78'
J. Kanga · Assist: J. Kilo
Ilves
🔄
82'
M. Stjopin ↔ S. Syrjanen
Ilves

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ilves Win 62.7%
Draw 6.6%
Turku PS Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ilves1.49
Turku PS1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ilves Ilves
WWDLW
26 GF / 23 GA
Turku PS Turku PS
WLDWL
15 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
8
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
4
1.7
Shots on Goal
1.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ilves Ilves 14 matches
Turku PS Turku PS 14 matches
Ilves Statistic Turku PS
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 4
6 Losses 4
26 Goals For 15
23 Goals Against 13
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
8 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 4
7 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 2
1.7 Shots On Goal 1.67
4.7 Total Shots 4.22
1.6 Corners 2.56
17.7% Ball Possession 16%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Turku PS's more proactive style and Ilves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Turku PS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 15 points while Ilves sit 9 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Turku PS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ilves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Turku PS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control.

Ilves Analysis

So far, Ilves have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 9 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 13:21 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by T. Hytonen (4 goals), M. Stjopin (3 goals), Jardell Kanga (2 goals), with creative support from J. Kilo (3 assists), T. Hytonen (1 assists), M. Rale (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Turku PS Analysis

Turku PS arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 15 points after 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 11:8 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by A. Muzaci (3 goals), T. Tsirigotis (3 goals), Lasse Ikonen (1 goals), with creative support from E. Turkki (4 assists), T. Tsirigotis (1 assists), Elmer Vauhkonen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 9 times, Turku PS won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:1 from Ilves's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Ilves 3-4-2-1 / Turku PS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ilves wins 9, draws 0, Turku PS wins 0
Stats
Ilves Ilves
Turku PS Turku PS
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
6
3 Corner Kicks 4
10 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 0
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 6
5 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
548 Total passes 426
478 Passes accurate 359
1.56 expected_goals 0.95
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ilves
Formation
Turku PS
F. Krkalic
F. Krkalic
O. Pettersson
O. Pettersson
T. Miettunen
T. Miettunen
V. Kumpu
V. Kumpu
J. Kanga
J. Kanga
O. Tiitinen
O. Tiitinen
Y. Raap
Y. Raap
M. Rale
M. Rale
J. Kilo
🎯
J. Kilo
M. Stjopin
M. Stjopin
T. Hytonen
T. Hytonen
E. Henriksson
E. Henriksson
O. Haggstrom
O. Haggstrom
M. Hradecky
M. Hradecky
A. Sihvonen
A. Sihvonen
T. Karkulowski
T. Karkulowski
T. Zaal
T. Zaal
L. Ikonen
L. Ikonen
E. Vauhkonen
E. Vauhkonen
M. Konkkola
M. Konkkola
L. Ivanovic
L. Ivanovic
A. Muzaci
A. Muzaci
Ilves 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
12
F. Krkalic
G
4
O. Pettersson
16
T. Miettunen
D
24
V. Kumpu
D
30
J. Kanga
⚽ 78'
M
20
O. Tiitinen
↓ 65'
M
6
Y. Raap
↓ 60' 🟨 54'
M
3
M. Rale
M
28
J. Kilo
🎯 78'
M
8
M. Stjopin
↓ 82'
M
9
T. Hytonen
F
Substitutes
1
O. Virtanen
G
31
R. Leislahti
G
10
R. Riski
F
14
A. Popovitch
↑ 60'
M
74
S. Syrjanen
↑ 82'
F
7
J. Veteli
↑ 65'
M
23
A. Raymond
D
Turku PS 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
E. Henriksson
G
2
O. Haggstrom
🟨 76'
D
14
M. Hradecky
D
17
A. Sihvonen
D
77
T. Karkulowski
M
22
T. Zaal
M
26
L. Ikonen
↓ 58'
M
11
E. Vauhkonen
↓ 77'
M
10
M. Konkkola
↓ 21'
F
9
L. Ivanovic
↓ 58' 🟨 3'
F
29
A. Muzaci
F
Substitutes
35
D. Lauri
G
4
A. Sairinen
D
8
A. Coulibaly
M
41
S. Anini
↑ 21'
6
P. Juvanteny
↑ 58'
20
M. Kauppila
↑ 58'
M
24
N. Talo
↑ 77'
M
15
C. Azongnitode
D
28
T. Vakiparta
↑ 77'
M
Last matches: Ilves
17.06.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
0
5
L
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
Ilves
VPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Mariehamn
2
2
D
11.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Ilves
MP
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Ilves
Haka
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Gnistan
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Ilves II
10
1
W
31.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
0
5
L
24.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
W
17.07.25
UEF
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
6
L
Last matches: Turku PS
17.06.26
Vei
Turku PS
KuPS
1
2
L
30.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
08.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Gnistan
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
SJK
2
0
W
10.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Lahti
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
27.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
PK-35
1
0
W
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
14.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
VPS
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
Turku PS
Haka
1
2
L
H2H: Ilves vs Turku PS
13.06.26
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
27.05.26
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
26.04.23
H2H
Turku PS
Ilves
0
2
W
25.03.23
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
2
0
W
27.09.20
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
4
0
W
07.07.20
H2H
Turku PS
Ilves
0
1
W
25.08.18
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
2
0
W
30.07.18
H2H
Turku PS
Ilves
1
3
W
26.05.18
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
2
0
W
Last matches: Ilves
17.06.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Ilves
MP
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Ilves
Haka
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Gnistan
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Ilves II
10
1
W
24.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
W
17.07.25
UEF
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
H2H at home: Ilves
13.06.26
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
27.05.26
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
25.03.23
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
2
0
W
27.09.20
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
4
0
W
25.08.18
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
2
0
W
26.05.18
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
2
0
W
Last matches: Turku PS
23.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
Inter Turku
1
2
L
16.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
AC Oulu
0
1
L
02.05.26
Vei
Turku PS
FF Jaro
2
2
D
04.04.26
Vei
Turku PS
Mariehamn
1
1
D
21.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
EIF
0
2
L
07.03.26
Fri
Turku PS
SJK
1
1
D
H2H away: Turku PS
13.06.26
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
L
27.05.26
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
L
25.03.23
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
2
0
L
27.09.20
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
4
0
L
25.08.18
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
2
0
L
26.05.18
H2H
Ilves
Turku PS
2
0
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 5 1 20:11 9 26
D D D W W
2 12 8 1 3 18:9 9 25
W D W W W
3 13 6 6 1 19:12 7 24
W D D W W
4 12 5 4 3 21:13 8 19
D W W L D
5 11 5 2 4 17:15 2 17
W W W L W
6 11 4 5 2 11:9 2 17
W D L W D
7 11 4 3 4 12:11 1 15
L L W L L
8
Ilves Home
12 4 3 5 19:21 -2 15
W W L W L
9 11 3 2 6 14:14 0 11
L L W L D
10 11 2 3 6 12:18 -6 9
L W L L L
11 12 1 4 7 10:27 -17 7
L L L W L
12 11 0 4 7 6:19 -13 4
L L L L D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)