FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Tammelan Stadion
Referee: A. Hajizadeh
Ilves
Match Timeline
Turku PS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Luke Ivanovic
Turku PS
🔄
21'
M. Konkkola ↔ S. Anini
Turku PS
🟨
54'
Yiandro Raap
Ilves
🔄
58'
L. Ikonen ↔ P. Juvanteny
Turku PS
🔄
58'
L. Ivanovic ↔ M. Kauppila
Turku PS
🔄
60'
Y. Raap ↔ A. Popovitch
Ilves
🔄
65'
O. Tiitinen ↔ J. Veteli
Ilves
🟨
72'
Samuel Anini Jr.
Turku PS
🟨
76'
Oscar Haggstrom
Turku PS
🔄
77'
↔ N. Talo
Turku PS
🔄
77'
E. Vauhkonen ↔ T. Vakiparta
Turku PS
78'
J. Kanga · Assist: J. Kilo
Ilves
🔄
82'
M. Stjopin ↔ S. Syrjanen
Ilves

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ilves Win 62.7%
Draw 6.6%
Turku PS Win 30.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ilves1.49
Turku PS1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ilves Ilves
WWDLW
26 GF / 23 GA
Turku PS Turku PS
WLDWL
15 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.07
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
8
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
4
2
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ilves Ilves 14 matches
Turku PS Turku PS 14 matches
Ilves Statistic Turku PS
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 4
6 Losses 4
26 Goals For 15
23 Goals Against 13
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.07
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
8 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 4
7 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 2
2 Shots On Goal 2
5.6 Total Shots 5.33
2.1 Corners 3.22
22.8% Ball Possession 22.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Turku PS's more proactive style and Ilves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Turku PS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 15 points while Ilves sit 9 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Turku PS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ilves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Turku PS in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control.

Ilves Analysis

So far, Ilves have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 9 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 13:21 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by T. Hytonen (4 goals), M. Stjopin (3 goals), Jardell Kanga (2 goals), with creative support from J. Kilo (3 assists), T. Hytonen (1 assists), M. Rale (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Turku PS Analysis

Turku PS arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 15 points after 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 11:8 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by A. Muzaci (3 goals), T. Tsirigotis (3 goals), Lasse Ikonen (1 goals), with creative support from E. Turkki (4 assists), T. Tsirigotis (1 assists), Elmer Vauhkonen (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 10 times, Turku PS won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:2 from Ilves's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: Ilves 3-4-2-1 / Turku PS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Ilves wins 10, draws 0, Turku PS wins 0

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9
Ilves Home
22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)