Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Ilves
SJK
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ilves
17 matches
SJK
17 matches
| Ilves | Statistic | SJK |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 35 | Goals For | 19 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 2.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.23 | Shots On Goal | 2.08 |
| 7.15 | Total Shots | 5.08 |
| 2.62 | Corners | 2.25 |
| 29.6% | Ball Possession | 21% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. SJK arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors SJK. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ilves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and SJK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SJK having the stronger overall control.
Ilves sit 8 with 15 points after 12 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 19:21 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by T. Hytonen (6 goals), Jardell Kanga (5 goals), M. Stjopin (3 goals), with creative support from J. Kilo (5 assists), T. Hytonen (1 assists), Jardell Kanga (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
SJK approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 9 points from 11 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 12:18, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Streng (3 goals), Olatoundji Tessilimi (3 goals), K. Paananen (2 goals), with creative support from K. Paananen (2 assists), E. Mastokangas (2 assists), S. Yussif (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 2 times, SJK won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:26 from Ilves's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Lineups
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Lahti
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
SJK
Ilves
VPS
Ilves
Mariehamn
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
MP
Ilves
Haka
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Ilves II
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
SJK
VPS
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
VPS
SJK
Lahti
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
AC Oulu
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
KuPS
SJK
Ilves
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
Mariehamn
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
KuPS
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
FF Jaro
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
KI Klaksvik
Ilves
FF Jaro
Ilves
Turku PS
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Inter Turku
Ilves
AC Oulu
Ilves
KuPS
Ilves
MP
Ilves
Haka
Ilves
Gnistan
Ilves
Ilves II
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
SJK
VPS
SJK
Inter Turku
SJK
Lahti
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
KuPS
SJK
Turku PS
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
Gnistan
SJK
KI Klaksvik
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:15 | 12 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 30 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 22:11 | 11 | 27 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 26 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 22 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 |
Ilves
Home
|
15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 10 |
SJK
Away
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 14 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
| 11 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8:33 | -25 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|