FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Tammela Stadium
Referee: Peiman Simani, Finland
Ilves
Match Timeline
Inter Turku
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
O. Virtanen
Inter Turku
18'
G. Bamba · Assist: M. Rale
Ilves
🟨
25'
Oskari Multala
Ilves
28'
J. Tauriainen
Inter Turku
🟨
46'
Jasse Tuominen
Inter Turku
58'
J. Tuominen
Inter Turku
🔄
64'
C. Jephta ↔ H. Salomaa
Inter Turku
🔄
64'
V. Ulundu ↔ L. Essomba
Inter Turku
🔄
65'
Y. Raap ↔ J. Kanga
Ilves
🔄
65'
G. Bamba ↔ S. Suvanne
Ilves
🟨
68'
Ilari Kangasniemi
Inter Turku
🔄
78'
O. Multala ↔ S. Baranov
Ilves
🔄
78'
M. Stjopin ↔ O. Tiitinen
Ilves
🔄
78'
J. Tuominen ↔ P. Ahiabu
Inter Turku
🔄
78'
B. Ampofo ↔ J. Yli-Kokko
Inter Turku
🔄
90+2'
↔ A. Raymond
Ilves
🔄
90'
J. Botue ↔ A. Conteh
Inter Turku

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ilves Win 29%
Draw 11.4%
Inter Turku Win 59.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ilves1.59
Inter Turku1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ilves Ilves
WWDLW
23 GF / 15 GA
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WLDWL
14 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.09
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
7
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
4
2.43
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ilves Ilves 11 matches
Inter Turku Inter Turku 12 matches
Ilves Statistic Inter Turku
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
4 Losses 3
23 Goals For 14
15 Goals Against 10
2.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
7 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 4
2.43 Shots On Goal 3
6.71 Total Shots 8.38
2.29 Corners 4.63
25.3% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Inter Turku's more proactive style and Ilves's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Inter Turku. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Inter Turku carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 17 points while Ilves sit 9 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ilves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Inter Turku in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter Turku having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Ilves Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Ilves have collected 6 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 10:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Stjopin (3 goals), T. Hytonen (3 goals), Jardell Kanga (1 goals), with creative support from J. Kilo (3 assists), T. Hytonen (1 assists), O. Pettersson (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Inter Turku Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 17 points from 8 games, Inter Turku bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 11:5 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on A. Conteh (3 goals), C. Jephta (2 goals), Johannes Yli-Kokko (2 goals), with creative support from Johannes Yli-Kokko (2 assists), C. Jephta (1 assists), J. Niska (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 4 times, Inter Turku won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:26 from Ilves's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Ilves 3-4-2-1 / Inter Turku 4-3-3
H2H summary: Ilves wins 4, draws 1, Inter Turku wins 10

Lineups

Ilves
Formation
Inter Turku
O. Virtanen
O. Virtanen
G. Bamba
G. Bamba
V. Kumpu
V. Kumpu
M. Rale
🎯
M. Rale
O. Pettersson
O. Pettersson
O. Multala
O. Multala
Y. Raap
Y. Raap
J. Kilo
J. Kilo
K. Wallius
K. Wallius
M. Stjopin
M. Stjopin
T. Hytonen
T. Hytonen
E. Huuhtanen
E. Huuhtanen
S. Saarinen
S. Saarinen
L. Kuittinen
L. Kuittinen
I. Kangasniemi
I. Kangasniemi
J. Tauriainen
J. Tauriainen
J. Laine
J. Laine
B. Ampofo
B. Ampofo
V. Ulundu
V. Ulundu
J. Tuominen
J. Tuominen
C. Jephta
C. Jephta
J. Botue
J. Botue
Ilves 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
O. Virtanen
⚽ 2'
G
19
G. Bamba
⚽ 18' ↓ 65'
D
24
V. Kumpu
D
3
M. Rale
🎯 18'
D
4
O. Pettersson
22
O. Multala
↓ 78' 🟨 25'
M
6
Y. Raap
↓ 65'
D
28
J. Kilo
M
13
K. Wallius
M
8
M. Stjopin
↓ 78'
M
9
T. Hytonen
F
Substitutes
12
F. Krkalic
G
10
R. Riski
F
16
T. Miettunen
D
30
J. Kanga
↑ 65'
M
23
A. Raymond
↑ 90+2'
D
33
O. Paavola
25
S. Suvanne
↑ 65'
D
17
S. Baranov
↑ 78'
M
20
O. Tiitinen
↑ 78'
M
Inter Turku 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Huuhtanen
G
18
S. Saarinen
D
22
L. Kuittinen
D
21
I. Kangasniemi
24
J. Tauriainen
⚽ 28'
D
14
J. Laine
M
17
B. Ampofo
↓ 78'
M
27
V. Ulundu
↓ 64'
M
9
J. Tuominen
⚽ 58' ↓ 78' 🟨 46'
F
16
C. Jephta
↓ 64'
11
J. Botue
↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
12
E. Vuorjoki
G
5
A. Granlund
D
4
P. Ahiabu
↑ 78'
M
2
J. Niska
D
8
J. Yli-Kokko
↑ 78'
M
25
H. Salomaa
↑ 64'
M
10
A. Conteh
↑ 90'
3
J. Hamalainen
D
23
L. Essomba
↑ 64'
Last matches: Ilves
17.06.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
0
5
L
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
16.05.26
Vei
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
Ilves
VPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Mariehamn
2
2
D
11.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Ilves
MP
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Ilves
Haka
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Gnistan
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Ilves II
10
1
W
31.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
0
5
L
24.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
W
17.07.25
UEF
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
10.07.25
UEF
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
6
L
Last matches: Inter Turku
17.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
13.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
AC Oulu
0
0
D
30.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Turku PS
2
1
W
16.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
3
1
W
09.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
0
W
05.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
0
2
L
29.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
25.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Mariehamn
1
0
W
18.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Lahti
2
0
W
11.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Ilves
2
1
W
04.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
VPS
0
0
D
28.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
Sirius
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fri
Inter Turku
FF Jaro
2
1
W
04.02.26
Fri
Inter Turku
PK-35
0
3
L
H2H: Ilves vs Inter Turku
20.05.26
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
11.04.26
H2H
Inter Turku
Ilves
2
1
L
14.03.26
H2H
Inter Turku
Ilves
3
2
L
09.11.25
H2H
Inter Turku
Ilves
2
0
L
19.10.25
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
L
23.08.25
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
0
W
17.05.25
H2H
Inter Turku
Ilves
3
1
L
08.03.25
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
0
4
L
12.06.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Ilves
0
2
W
22.05.24
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
3
0
W
16.03.24
H2H
Inter Turku
Ilves
2
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
0
1
L
27.06.23
H2H
Inter Turku
Ilves
2
1
L
15.04.23
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
2
1
W
11.09.22
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
1
D
Last matches: Ilves
17.06.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Ilves
MP
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Ilves
Haka
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Gnistan
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Ilves II
10
1
W
24.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
W
17.07.25
UEF
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
H2H at home: Ilves
20.05.26
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
19.10.25
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
L
23.08.25
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
0
W
08.03.25
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
0
4
L
22.05.24
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
3
0
W
09.03.24
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
0
1
L
15.04.23
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
2
1
W
11.09.22
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
1
D
Last matches: Inter Turku
17.06.26
Vei
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
3
3
D
30.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
KuPS
1
1
D
16.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
SJK
3
1
W
05.05.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Gnistan
0
2
L
18.04.26
Vei
Inter Turku
Lahti
2
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
Sirius
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fri
Inter Turku
ODD Ballklubb
0
1
L
H2H away: Inter Turku
20.05.26
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
W
19.10.25
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
W
23.08.25
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
0
L
08.03.25
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
0
4
W
22.05.24
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
3
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
0
1
W
15.04.23
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
2
1
L
11.09.22
H2H
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
1
D

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 5 1 20:11 9 26
D D D W W
2 12 8 1 3 18:9 9 25
W D W W W
3 13 6 6 1 19:12 7 24
W D D W W
4 12 5 4 3 21:13 8 19
D W W L D
5 11 5 2 4 17:15 2 17
W W W L W
6 11 4 5 2 11:9 2 17
W D L W D
7 11 4 3 4 12:11 1 15
L L W L L
8
Ilves Home
12 4 3 5 19:21 -2 15
W W L W L
9 11 3 2 6 14:14 0 11
L L W L D
10 11 2 3 6 12:18 -6 9
L W L L L
11 12 1 4 7 10:27 -17 7
L L L W L
12 11 0 4 7 6:19 -13 4
L L L L D
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)