FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Tammelan Stadion
Referee: J. Kontinen
Ilves
Match Timeline
FF Jaro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
J. Kanga
Ilves
8'
T. Hytonen
Ilves
🟨
14'
Yiandro Raap
Ilves
26'
T. Hytonen · Assist: J. Kanga
Ilves
🟨
28'
Jesper Svenungsen Skau
FF Jaro
38'
J. Kanga
Ilves
🔄
46'
Y. Raap ↔ A. Popovitch
Ilves
🔄
58'
F. Kass ↔ R. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
58'
V. Vuorinen ↔ J. Vikstrom
FF Jaro
🔄
60'
T. Hytonen ↔ R. Riski
Ilves
🔄
60'
O. Tiitinen ↔ J. Veteli
Ilves
🔄
69'
T. Miettunen ↔ O. Pettersson
Ilves
🔄
71'
A. Bjonback ↔ L. Nyman
FF Jaro
🔄
78'
J. Kanga ↔ R. Halonen
Ilves
81'
R. Riski · Assist: J. Kilo
Ilves
🔄
82'
K. Harden ↔ V. Lofs
FF Jaro
🔄
82'
H. Sjogrell ↔ M. Najafi
FF Jaro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ilves Win 75.7%
Draw 16.7%
FF Jaro Win 7.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ilves1.83
FF Jaro1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ilves Ilves
WWDLW
27 GF / 23 GA
FF Jaro FF Jaro
WLDWL
16 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
8
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
9
1.91
Shots on Goal
1.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ilves Ilves 15 matches
FF Jaro FF Jaro 16 matches
Ilves Statistic FF Jaro
6 Wins 2
3 Draws 5
6 Losses 9
27 Goals For 16
23 Goals Against 30
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
8 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 5
1.91 Shots On Goal 1.55
5.09 Total Shots 4.18
1.73 Corners 1.73
21% Ball Possession 21.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FF Jaro. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ilves expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and FF Jaro in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FF Jaro having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Ilves Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Ilves have collected 9 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, while the 13:21 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on T. Hytonen (4 goals), M. Stjopin (3 goals), Jardell Kanga (2 goals), with creative support from J. Kilo (3 assists), T. Hytonen (1 assists), M. Rale (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FF Jaro Analysis

FF Jaro sit 10 with 7 points after 10 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 8:17 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through H. Sjogrell (3 goals), Rudi Vikstrom (2 goals), A. Bjonback (1 goals), with creative support from Michael Ogungbaro (1 assists), F. O. Ness (1 assists), J. Vikstrom (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 6 times, FF Jaro won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:9 from Ilves's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.38 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.4%)
Predicted formations: Ilves 3-4-2-1 / FF Jaro 4-5-1
H2H summary: Ilves wins 6, draws 0, FF Jaro wins 2
Stats
Ilves Ilves
FF Jaro FF Jaro
Shots on Goal
11
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 3
5 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 4
13 Shots insidebox 3
3 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
571 Total passes 548
502 Passes accurate 466
2.65 expected_goals 0.78
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ilves
Formation
FF Jaro
F. Krkalic
F. Krkalic
V. Kumpu
V. Kumpu
T. Miettunen
T. Miettunen
M. Rale
M. Rale
G. Bamba
G. Bamba
O. Tiitinen
O. Tiitinen
Y. Raap
Y. Raap
K. Wallius
K. Wallius
J. Kanga
⚽ 2 🎯
J. Kanga
T. Hytonen
⚽ 2
T. Hytonen
J. Kilo
🎯
J. Kilo
S. Vits
S. Vits
J. Skau
J. Skau
J. Brunell
J. Brunell
F. Kass
F. Kass
A. Bjonback
A. Bjonback
A. Vidjeskog
A. Vidjeskog
O. Kass Kawo
O. Kass Kawo
F. O. Ness
F. O. Ness
H. Sjogrell
H. Sjogrell
K. Harden
K. Harden
V. Vuorinen
V. Vuorinen
Ilves 3-4-3
Starting XI
12
F. Krkalic
G
24
V. Kumpu
D
16
T. Miettunen
↓ 69'
D
3
M. Rale
D
19
G. Bamba
M
20
O. Tiitinen
↓ 60'
M
6
Y. Raap
↓ 46' 🟨 14'
M
13
K. Wallius
M
30
J. Kanga
⚽ 4' ⚽ 38' 🎯 26' ↓ 78'
F
9
T. Hytonen
⚽ 8' ⚽ 26' ↓ 60'
F
28
J. Kilo
🎯 81'
F
Substitutes
1
O. Virtanen
G
31
R. Leislahti
G
10
R. Riski
⚽ 81' ↑ 60'
F
14
A. Popovitch
↑ 46'
M
74
S. Syrjanen
F
7
J. Veteli
↑ 60'
M
4
O. Pettersson
↑ 69'
23
A. Raymond
D
38
R. Halonen
↑ 78'
M
FF Jaro 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
S. Vits
G
7
J. Skau
🟨 28'
D
6
J. Brunell
D
2
F. Kass
↓ 58'
D
5
A. Bjonback
↓ 71'
M
16
A. Vidjeskog
M
8
O. Kass Kawo
M
19
F. O. Ness
M
11
H. Sjogrell
↓ 82'
M
22
K. Harden
↓ 82'
M
91
V. Vuorinen
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Snellman
G
18
E. Holmang
F
17
L. Nyman
↑ 71'
M
15
R. Vikstrom
↑ 58'
F
95
E. Mendy
F
20
T. Soderstrom
D
24
V. Lofs
↑ 82'
M
27
J. Vikstrom
↑ 58'
F
30
M. Najafi
↑ 82'
M
Last matches: Ilves
04.07.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
1
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
3
4
L
13.06.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
0
5
L
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
Ilves
VPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Mariehamn
2
2
D
11.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Ilves
MP
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Ilves
Haka
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Gnistan
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Ilves II
10
1
W
31.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
0
5
L
24.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
W
Last matches: FF Jaro
04.07.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Ilves
2
1
W
27.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
3
L
23.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
1
1
D
13.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
2
5
L
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Mariehamn
3
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
02.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
2
D
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
04.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Lahti
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
2
3
L
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
12.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Haka
1
1
D
28.02.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
FF Jaro
JBK
1
0
W
H2H: Ilves vs FF Jaro
17.06.26
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
31.01.26
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
4
2
W
20.07.25
H2H
FF Jaro
Ilves
0
1
W
12.04.25
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
2
1
W
22.02.25
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
4
0
W
16.08.15
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
1
0
W
16.06.15
H2H
FF Jaro
Ilves
3
0
L
29.04.15
H2H
FF Jaro
Ilves
3
1
L
Last matches: Ilves
27.06.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
2
2
D
13.06.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Ilves
MP
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Ilves
Haka
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Gnistan
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Ilves II
10
1
W
24.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
W
17.07.25
UEF
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
H2H at home: Ilves
17.06.26
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
31.01.26
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
4
2
W
12.04.25
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
2
1
W
22.02.25
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
4
0
W
16.08.15
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
1
0
W
Last matches: FF Jaro
27.06.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Turku PS
2
3
L
31.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
AC Oulu
1
2
L
20.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
KuPS
0
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Gnistan
0
5
L
09.05.26
Vei
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
0
2
L
24.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
SJK
1
1
D
10.04.26
Vei
FF Jaro
VPS
0
0
D
18.03.26
Fri
FF Jaro
SJK
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
FF Jaro
Inter Turku
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
FF Jaro
JBK
1
0
W
H2H away: FF Jaro
17.06.26
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
L
31.01.26
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
4
2
L
12.04.25
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
2
1
L
22.02.25
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
4
0
L
16.08.15
H2H
Ilves
FF Jaro
1
0
L

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 6 1 27:15 12 30
W W W D D
2 15 8 6 1 23:12 11 30
W D D D D
3 14 8 2 4 20:15 5 26
D L W D W
4 14 6 4 4 25:17 8 22
L W D W W
5 13 5 6 2 17:11 6 21
D W W D L
6 13 5 4 4 19:17 2 19
D D W W W
7 13 5 4 4 15:13 2 19
W D L L W
8
Ilves Home
14 4 4 6 24:27 -3 16
D L W W L
9 13 3 4 6 15:15 0 13
D D L L W
10 13 2 5 6 15:21 -6 11
D D L W L
11 14 1 5 8 13:31 -18 8
L D L L L
12 13 0 4 9 6:25 -19 4
L L L L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)