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16.07.2026 16:00
Tammelan Stadion
Referee: J. Sundberg
Ilves
Match Timeline
FC Differdange 03
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Bamba Abdoul Goudouss
Ilves
⚽
45'
S. Thill · Assist: E. Rivas
FC Differdange 03
🔄
46'
G. Bamba ↔ O. Pettersson
Ilves
⚽
57'
Y. Raap · Assist: J. Kanga
Ilves
🔄
60'
T. Miettunen ↔ R. Riski
Ilves
🔄
60'
J. Veteli ↔ J. Kilo
Ilves
🟥
68'
Yiandro Raap
Ilves
⚽
68'
J. Kanga
Ilves
🟨
69'
Bruno Reis
FC Differdange 03
🟥
69'
Juan Bedouret
FC Differdange 03
🟥
69'
Gustavo Vintecinco
FC Differdange 03
🔄
75'
Bruninho ↔ B. Mfoumou
FC Differdange 03
🔄
75'
E. Rivas ↔ S. Melhor
FC Differdange 03
⚽
75'
R. Riski · Assist: J. Kanga
Ilves
🔄
78'
T. Hytonen ↔ O. Multala
Ilves
🔄
78'
S. Thill ↔ R. Pinto
FC Differdange 03
🔄
78'
G. Franzoni ↔ M. Mabuza
FC Differdange 03
🟨
81'
Ville Kumpu
Ilves
🔄
85'
J. Kanga ↔ S. Vaisanen
Ilves

Ilves vs FC Differdange 03 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 45.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 64%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
45.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
64%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ilves Win 45.2%
Draw 17.7%
FC Differdange 03 Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ilves1.34
FC Differdange 031.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ilves Ilves
D L D L W
11 GF / 8 GA
FC Differdange 03 FC Differdange 03
D W W D
5 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
11
BTTS Yes
2
12
Over 2.5
1
3.07
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ilves Ilves 20 matches
FC Differdange 03 FC Differdange 03 4 matches
Ilves Statistic FC Differdange 03
7 Wins 2
5 Draws 2
8 Losses 0
38 Goals For 5
31 Goals Against 2
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
11 BTTS Yes 2
15 Over 1.5 3
12 Over 2.5 1
10 Over 3.5 0
7 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
3.07 Shots On Goal 0
6.93 Total Shots 0
2.4 Corners 0
29.6% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 1 times, FC Differdange 03 won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Ilves's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.3%)
Predicted formations: Ilves 3-4-2-1 / FC Differdange 03 3-5-1-1
H2H summary: Ilves wins 1, draws 1, FC Differdange 03 wins 0

Standings

UEFA Conference League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 7:2 5 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 8:4 4 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 6:2 4 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:2 4 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
7 2 2 0 0 3:0 3 6
W W
8 2 2 0 0 3:1 2 6
W W
9 2 1 1 0 4:0 4 4
D W
10 2 1 1 0 5:2 3 4
D W
11 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
12 2 1 1 0 3:1 2 4
D W
13 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
14 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
15 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
16 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
W L
17 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
L W
18 2 1 0 1 3:5 -2 3
L W
19 2 0 2 0 3:3 0 2
D D
20 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
D D
21 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
D D
22 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
D L
23 2 0 1 1 3:4 -1 1
D L
24 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
25 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
26 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
D L
27 2 0 1 1 2:4 -2 1
D L
28 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
L D
29 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
D L
30 2 0 1 1 3:6 -3 1
L D
31 2 0 1 1 2:6 -4 1
L D
32 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
L L
33 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
34 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
35 2 0 0 2 1:5 -4 0
L L
36 2 0 0 2 1:8 -7 0
L L
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)