WORLD UEFA EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Tammela Stadium
Referee: Jacob A. Sundberg, Denmark
Ilves
Match Timeline
FC Differdange 03
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Bamba Abdoul Goudouss
Ilves
45'
S. Thill · Assist: E. Rivas
FC Differdange 03
🔄
46'
G. Bamba ↔ O. Pettersson
Ilves
57'
Y. Raap · Assist: J. Kanga
Ilves
🔄
60'
T. Miettunen ↔ R. Riski
Ilves
🔄
60'
J. Veteli ↔ J. Kilo
Ilves
🟥
68'
Yiandro Raap
Ilves
68'
J. Kanga
Ilves
🟨
69'
Bruno Reis
FC Differdange 03
🟥
69'
Juan Bedouret
FC Differdange 03
🟥
69'
Gustavo Vintecinco
FC Differdange 03
🔄
75'
Bruninho ↔ B. Mfoumou
FC Differdange 03
🔄
75'
E. Rivas ↔ S. Melhor
FC Differdange 03
75'
R. Riski · Assist: J. Kanga
Ilves
🔄
78'
T. Hytonen ↔ O. Multala
Ilves
🔄
78'
S. Thill ↔ R. Pinto
FC Differdange 03
🔄
78'
G. Franzoni ↔ M. Mabuza
FC Differdange 03
🟨
81'
Ville Kumpu
Ilves
🔄
85'
J. Kanga ↔ S. Vaisanen
Ilves

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 45.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 64%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
45.2%
-
BTTS Yes
64%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.4%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ilves Win 45.2%
Draw 17.7%
FC Differdange 03 Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ilves1.34
FC Differdange 031.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ilves Ilves
WWDLW
38 GF / 31 GA
FC Differdange 03 FC Differdange 03
WLDWL
5 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
11
BTTS Yes
2
12
Over 2.5
1
3.07
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ilves Ilves 20 matches
FC Differdange 03 FC Differdange 03 4 matches
Ilves Statistic FC Differdange 03
7 Wins 2
5 Draws 2
8 Losses 0
38 Goals For 5
31 Goals Against 2
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
11 BTTS Yes 2
15 Over 1.5 3
12 Over 2.5 1
10 Over 3.5 0
7 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
3.07 Shots On Goal 0
6.93 Total Shots 0
2.4 Corners 0
29.6% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Ilves won 1 times, FC Differdange 03 won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Ilves's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.3%)
Predicted formations: Ilves 3-4-2-1 / FC Differdange 03 3-5-1-1
H2H summary: Ilves wins 1, draws 1, FC Differdange 03 wins 0

Lineups

Ilves
Formation
FC Differdange 03
F. Krkalic
F. Krkalic
V. Kumpu
V. Kumpu
T. Miettunen
T. Miettunen
M. Rale
M. Rale
G. Bamba
G. Bamba
Y. Raap
Y. Raap
A. Popovitch
A. Popovitch
K. Wallius
K. Wallius
J. Kanga
🎯
J. Kanga
J. Veteli
J. Veteli
T. Hytonen
T. Hytonen
Felipe
Felipe
K. D'Anzico
K. D'Anzico
Leandro Borges
Leandro Borges
J. Bedouret
J. Bedouret
G. Franzoni
G. Franzoni
Bruninho
Bruninho
M. Grilo
M. Grilo
L. Rauch
L. Rauch
E. Rivas
🎯
E. Rivas
S. Thill
S. Thill
Gustavo Vintecinco
Gustavo Vintecinco
Ilves 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
12
F. Krkalic
G
24
V. Kumpu
🟨 81'
D
16
T. Miettunen
↓ 60'
D
3
M. Rale
D
19
G. Bamba
↓ 46' 🟨 21'
D
6
Y. Raap
⚽ 57' 🟥 68'
D
14
A. Popovitch
M
13
K. Wallius
M
30
J. Kanga
⚽ 68' 🎯 57' 🎯 75' ↓ 85'
M
7
J. Veteli
↓ 60'
M
9
T. Hytonen
↓ 78'
F
Substitutes
1
O. Virtanen
G
31
R. Leislahti
G
4
O. Pettersson
↑ 46'
5
S. Vaisanen
↑ 85'
D
10
R. Riski
⚽ 75' ↑ 60'
F
15
L. Ala-Myllymaki
M
17
S. Baranov
M
20
O. Tiitinen
M
22
O. Multala
↑ 78'
M
25
S. Suvanne
D
28
J. Kilo
↑ 60'
M
FC Differdange 03 3-5-1-1
Starting XI
1
Felipe
G
4
K. D'Anzico
77
Leandro Borges
M
14
J. Bedouret
🟥 69'
D
25
G. Franzoni
↓ 78'
D
8
Bruninho
↓ 75' 🟨 69'
M
16
M. Grilo
21
L. Rauch
M
24
E. Rivas
🎯 45' ↓ 75'
31
S. Thill
⚽ 45' ↓ 78'
M
95
Gustavo Vintecinco
🟥 69'
F
Substitutes
99
H. Wolf
G
30
R. Da Silva Correia
G
7
B. Mfoumou
↑ 75'
F
13
I. Nabais
17
M. Soares Delgado
M
20
R. Pinto
↑ 78'
M
26
F. Mendes
42
M. Mabuza
↑ 78'
D
88
S. Melhor
↑ 75'
D
Last matches: Ilves
30.07.26
UEF
Ilves
Stjarnan
1
0
W
26.07.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
1
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ilves
Stjarnan
0
1
L
20.07.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
3
1
W
08.07.26
UEF
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
0
0
D
04.07.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
1
2
L
27.06.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
2
2
D
23.06.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
3
4
L
17.06.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
30.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
0
5
L
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
16.05.26
Vei
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
2
2
D
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
02.05.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
1
1
D
24.04.26
Vei
Ilves
VPS
2
3
L
18.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Mariehamn
2
2
D
11.04.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
2
L
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
Last matches: FC Differdange 03
08.07.26
UEF
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
FC Differdange 03
Metz
2
1
W
01.07.26
Fri
FC Differdange 03
F91 Dudelange
2
0
W
19.06.26
Fri
FC Differdange 03
UNA Strassen
1
1
D
28.08.25
UEF
FC Differdange 03
Drita
0
1
L
21.08.25
UEF
FC Differdange 03
Drita
1
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
FC Differdange 03
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
1
W
07.08.25
UEF
FC Differdange 03
FC Levadia Tallinn
2
3
L
29.07.25
UEF
FC Differdange 03
The New Saints
1
0
W
23.07.25
UEF
FC Differdange 03
The New Saints
1
0
W
15.07.25
UEF
FC Differdange 03
Drita
2
3
L
08.07.25
UEF
FC Differdange 03
Drita
0
1
L
H2H: Ilves vs FC Differdange 03
16.07.26
H2H
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
3
1
W
08.07.26
H2H
FC Differdange 03
Ilves
0
0
D
Last matches: Ilves
30.07.26
UEF
Ilves
Stjarnan
1
0
W
26.07.26
Vei
Ilves
Lahti
1
0
W
27.06.26
Vei
Ilves
SJK
2
2
D
17.06.26
Vei
Ilves
FF Jaro
5
0
W
13.06.26
Vei
Ilves
Turku PS
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Gnistan
2
0
W
20.05.26
Vei
Ilves
Inter Turku
1
3
L
08.05.26
Vei
Ilves
AC Oulu
1
0
W
04.04.26
Vei
Ilves
KuPS
1
3
L
27.03.26
Fri
Ilves
MP
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Ilves
Haka
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Gnistan
1
0
W
17.01.26
Fri
Ilves
Ilves II
10
1
W
24.07.25
UEF
Ilves
AZ Alkmaar
4
3
W
17.07.25
UEF
Ilves
Shakhtar Donetsk
0
0
D
H2H at home: Ilves
16.07.26
H2H
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
3
1
W
Last matches: FC Differdange 03
04.07.26
Fri
FC Differdange 03
Metz
2
1
W
21.08.25
UEF
FC Differdange 03
Drita
1
2
L
14.08.25
UEF
FC Differdange 03
FC Levadia Tallinn
3
1
W
23.07.25
UEF
FC Differdange 03
The New Saints
1
0
W
08.07.25
UEF
FC Differdange 03
Drita
0
1
L
H2H away: FC Differdange 03
16.07.26
H2H
Ilves
FC Differdange 03
3
1
L