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NIGERIA › NPFL
10.10.2026 15:00
Mobolaji Johnson Arena
Ikorodu City
Match Timeline
Kwara United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
F. Salami
Ikorodu City
🔄
31'
F. Ganiyu ↔ M. Bada
Ikorodu City
🔄
31'
A. Adeoye ↔ D. Mse
Ikorodu City
⚽
36'
E. Ikechukwu
Ikorodu City
🔄
46'
A. Tomiwa ↔ A. Ayodeji
Ikorodu City
🟨
57'
Kwara United
Kwara United
🟨
72'
Kwara United
Kwara United
🔄
73'
E. Ikechukwu ↔ D. Obiajulu
Ikorodu City
🔄
87'
↔ B. Ayinde
Ikorodu City

Ikorodu City vs Kwara United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.55
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.48
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.7%
1.55 ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
1.48 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.5%
1.56 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.30 ▥
Correct Score 1-0
-
3.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Ikorodu City Win 75.7%
Draw 14.8%
Kwara United Win 9.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ikorodu City1.08
Kwara United1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ikorodu City Ikorodu City
WWDLW
8 GF / 7 GA
Kwara United Kwara United
WLDWL
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ikorodu City Ikorodu City 7 matches
Kwara United Kwara United 7 matches
Ikorodu City Statistic Kwara United
2 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
2 Losses 3
8 Goals For 9
7 Goals Against 7
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1.29
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 1
3 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Kwara United. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kwara United having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ikorodu City Analysis

Ikorodu City sit 9 with 9 points after 7 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:7 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Kwara United Analysis

Kwara United sit 8 with 10 points after 7 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, while the 9:7 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Ikorodu City won 2 times, Kwara United won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Ikorodu City's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.6%)
H2H summary: Ikorodu City wins 2, draws 2, Kwara United wins 0

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
D W W L W
2 8 4 4 0 13:2 11 16
D W D D W
3 8 4 2 2 13:8 5 14
W L W D W
4 8 3 4 1 12:9 3 13
D L D W D
5 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L W L D L
6 8 3 3 2 10:7 3 12
W L D W L
7 8 4 0 4 14:13 1 12
L W L W L
8 8 3 3 2 10:9 1 12
W D D D W
9 8 3 3 2 10:11 -1 12
W D D W L
10 8 2 5 1 11:11 0 11
L D D D D
11 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
W D W L D
12 9 3 2 4 10:12 -2 11
W L D D L
13 8 3 1 4 9:9 0 10
L W L W L
14 8 3 1 4 6:7 -1 10
W L L W D
15 8 2 3 3 6:7 -1 9
D W L D L
16 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
D L W L W
17 9 2 2 5 10:13 -3 8
L D L D L
18 8 2 2 4 7:14 -7 8
W L W L L
19 8 2 1 5 11:14 -3 7
L W W D L
20 8 1 2 5 5:13 -8 2
L D L D W
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation