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SWEDEN › SUPERETTAN
11.10.2026 15:00
Domnarvsvallen
Referee: Fredrik Oppong
IK brage
Match Timeline
Helsingborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
A. Zetterstrom · Assist: L. Madsen
IK brage
🟨
35'
Lasse Bruun Madsen
IK brage
🔄
42'
M. Sise ↔ V. Okeke
IK brage
🟨
69'
Julian Larsson
Helsingborg
🔄
70'
E. Lindell ↔ O. Addo
Helsingborg
🔄
70'
M. Svensson ↔ L. Hedenberg
Helsingborg
🔄
70'
J. Larsson ↔ T. Rupil
Helsingborg
⚽
77'
N. Ostberg · Assist: J. Stensson
IK brage
🔄
78'
L. Madsen ↔ G. Berggren
IK brage
🔄
80'
Y. Rafael ↔ A. Mortensen
IK brage
🟨
83'
Anton Lundin
IK brage
🔄
85'
A. Akimey ↔ L. Persson
Helsingborg
🔄
86'
A. Lundin ↔ P. Jonsson
IK brage
🟨
90'
Ozor Victor Okeke
IK brage

IK brage vs Helsingborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds 2.21
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
70.3%
1.53 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
2.21 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73%
5.60 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
IK brage Win 29.7%
Draw 25%
Helsingborg Win 45.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
IK brage1.62
Helsingborg1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
IK brage IK brage
WWDLW
49 GF / 53 GA
Helsingborg Helsingborg
WLDWL
49 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
21
BTTS Yes
21
20
Over 2.5
20
1.77
Shots on Goal
1.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IK brage IK brage 31 matches
Helsingborg Helsingborg 32 matches
IK brage Statistic Helsingborg
10 Wins 12
9 Draws 7
12 Losses 13
49 Goals For 49
53 Goals Against 54
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
21 BTTS Yes 21
24 Over 1.5 28
20 Over 2.5 20
13 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 7
1.77 Shots On Goal 1.59
3.45 Total Shots 2.32
2.27 Corners 1.86
26.8% Ball Possession 18.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. IK brage have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IK brage expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Helsingborg in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Helsingborg having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Helsingborg. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

IK brage Analysis

IK brage sit 15 with 23 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 12 defeats with a 39:48 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Felix Hörberg (2 goals), Albin Sporrong (1 goals), Gideon Granström (1 goals), with creative support from Albin Sporrong (1 assists), Alexander Zetterstrom (1 assists), Gustav Berggren (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Helsingborg Analysis

From their first 25 matches, Helsingborg have collected 30 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 36:45 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Alexander Johansson (1 goals), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, IK brage won 2 times, Helsingborg won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:19 from IK brage's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.36 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75%)
Predicted formations: IK brage 4-4-2 / Helsingborg 3-5-2
H2H summary: IK brage wins 2, draws 3, Helsingborg wins 6

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 18 4 4 52:16 36 58
W W D W D
2 26 14 6 6 48:34 14 48
W D W W L
3 26 13 6 7 45:34 11 45
D W W L D
4 26 11 11 4 34:25 9 44
D D W D W
5 26 12 7 7 42:28 14 43
W W W L W
6 26 10 9 7 40:34 6 39
W L D W W
7 26 11 3 12 38:40 -2 36
L L W L L
8 26 9 9 8 38:42 -4 36
L L D L W
9 26 9 7 10 43:38 5 34
L W D L W
10 26 8 6 12 36:47 -11 30
L D L W L
11 26 7 8 11 34:37 -3 29
D L L W D
12 26 8 5 13 34:47 -13 29
L W L W D
13 26 5 12 9 30:35 -5 27
W D L L L
14 26 6 8 12 41:48 -7 26
W L D D L
15 26 5 10 11 28:40 -12 25
D L D W L
16 26 6 1 19 19:57 -38 19
L W L L W
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