TURKEY 1. LIG
02.05.2026 13:00
Igdir Sehir Stadyumu
Referee: A. Yilmaz
Iğdır FK
Match Timeline
Amed
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
M. Fofana
Iğdır FK
🟨
14'
Güray Vural
Iğdır FK
19'
H. A. Kaldirim · Assist: D. Saba
Amed
🟨
33'
Marius Tresor Doh
Iğdır FK
VAR
33'
Leandro Bacuna
Iğdır FK
🟨
37'
Ahmet Engin
Iğdır FK
VAR
43'
Mehmet Yeşil
Amed
🟨
44'
Atakan Çankaya
Iğdır FK
45'
M. Diagne
Amed
45'
M. Diagne
Iğdır FK
🔄
46'
M. Doh ↔ D. Erdogan
Iğdır FK
49'
D. Saba · Assist: M. Diagne
Amed
🔄
59'
M. Yesil ↔ T. Serbest
Amed
🔄
69'
A. Engin ↔ R. Mendes
Iğdır FK
🔄
69'
O. K. Guctekin ↔ A. K. Guneren
Iğdır FK
80'
A. R. Cankaya
Iğdır FK
🔄
84'
M. Fofana ↔ F. Loshaj
Iğdır FK
🔄
84'
C. Ustundag ↔ A. Mujde
Amed
🔄
85'
D. Moreno ↔ Z. Dimitrov
Amed
🟨
86'
Leandro Bacuna
Iğdır FK
🟨
87'
Florian Loshaj
Iğdır FK
🟨
90+5'
Gianni Bruno
Iğdır FK
🟨
90+3'
Ryan Mendes
Iğdır FK
🟨
90+3'
Emrah Başsan
Amed
🔄
90+2'
F. Afena-Gyan ↔ E. Bassan
Amed
🔄
90+2'
D. Saba ↔ F. Hasani
Amed

Iğdır FK vs Amed Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 83.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
86.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
83.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
54.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Iğdır FK Win 83%
Draw 12.5%
Amed Win 86.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Iğdır FK1.21
Amed1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Iğdır FK Iğdır FK
WWDLW
49 GF / 51 GA
Amed Amed
WLDWL
78 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
2.11
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
23
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
21
4.19
Shots on Goal
5.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Iğdır FK Iğdır FK 37 matches
Amed Amed 37 matches
Iğdır FK Statistic Amed
13 Wins 21
10 Draws 10
14 Losses 6
49 Goals For 78
51 Goals Against 39
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
23 BTTS Yes 20
30 Over 1.5 32
19 Over 2.5 21
8 Over 3.5 11
6 Clean Sheets 13
11 Failed To Score 6
4.19 Shots On Goal 5.57
11.46 Total Shots 15.65
5.68 Corners 6.08
56.6% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Amed's more proactive style and Iğdır FK's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Amed carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 73 points while Iğdır FK sit 13 on 49, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Amed. Iğdır FK have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Iğdır FK expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Amed in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Amed having the stronger overall control.

Iğdır FK Analysis

Iğdır FK sit 13 with 49 points after 37 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 13 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 49:51, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through G. Bruno (16 goals), F. Koita (7 goals), Valon Ethemi (7 goals), with creative support from Valon Ethemi (8 assists), G. Vural (7 assists), Gökcan Kaya (6 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Amed Analysis

Amed arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 73 points after 37 matches. The record of 21 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 78:39 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Diagne (29 goals), Daniel Moreno (10 goals), D. Saba (8 goals), with creative support from D. Saba (9 assists), M. Ucar (9 assists), F. Afena-Gyan (6 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Iğdır FK won 1 times, Amed won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Iğdır FK's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (99.2%)
Predicted formations: Iğdır FK 4-1-4-1 / Amed 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Iğdır FK wins 1, draws 4, Amed wins 1

Standings

1. Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 23 12 3 82:27 55 81
D D D W W
2
Amed Away
38 21 11 6 81:42 39 74
D D L D D
3 38 21 11 6 81:35 46 74
L D L W W
4 38 21 8 9 63:39 24 71
W W L W D
5 38 18 10 10 71:39 32 64
L W W L D
6 38 16 15 7 58:33 25 63
L D W D D
7 38 16 12 10 73:43 30 60
L W W L D
8 38 16 12 10 47:34 13 60
W D W D D
9 38 16 7 15 57:56 1 55
W L W W W
10 38 14 11 13 47:43 4 53
L W L L W
11 38 13 13 12 57:55 2 52
W W W W L
12 38 15 7 16 44:44 0 52
W W L W D
13 38 13 11 14 52:54 -2 50
D L D W L
14 38 13 10 15 52:47 5 49
L L W L W
15 38 14 6 18 61:57 4 48
W L W L L
16 38 13 7 18 47:51 -4 46
L W L D W
17 38 11 6 21 44:75 -31 39
L W L D L
18 38 8 10 20 45:72 -27 34
L L D L L
19 38 2 8 28 33:102 -69 14
W L D L W
20 38 1 3 34 22:169 -147 -57
L L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Qualification Playoffs
Relegation