SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
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Finnvedsvallen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.5%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
IFK Varnamo Win 20.4%
Draw 24.1%
Varbergs BoIS FC Win 55.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
IFK Varnamo1.26
Varbergs BoIS FC1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WWDLW
39 GF / 51 GA
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC
WLDWL
44 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
16
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
16
1.89
Shots on Goal
3.41

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 29 matches
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC 27 matches
IFK Varnamo Statistic Varbergs BoIS FC
8 Wins 15
7 Draws 5
14 Losses 7
39 Goals For 44
51 Goals Against 31
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
16 BTTS Yes 14
22 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 7
1.89 Shots On Goal 3.41
3.33 Total Shots 5.18
2.39 Corners 2.53
29.7% Ball Possession 30.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Varbergs BoIS FC's more proactive style and IFK Varnamo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Varbergs BoIS FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Varbergs BoIS FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 34 points while IFK Varnamo sit 15 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IFK Varnamo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Varbergs BoIS FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Varbergs BoIS FC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Varbergs BoIS FC.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

IFK Varnamo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 19 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 24:38 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Varbergs BoIS FC Analysis

Varbergs BoIS FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 34 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 35:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, IFK Varnamo won 6 times, Varbergs BoIS FC won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:13 from IFK Varnamo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (79.6%)
Predicted formations: IFK Varnamo 4-4-2 / Varbergs BoIS FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: IFK Varnamo wins 6, draws 2, Varbergs BoIS FC wins 4
Last matches: IFK Varnamo
29.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
1
0
W
24.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
1
1
D
16.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK
1
1
D
11.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
2
1
W
03.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
3
1
W
25.07.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
0
0
D
19.07.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
2
3
L
13.07.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Naestved
0
2
L
28.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
0
1
L
21.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
1
5
L
16.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
0
1
L
09.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Osters IF
0
3
L
31.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
United Nordic
0
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Falkenbergs FF
1
3
L
17.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Norrby IF
2
2
D
12.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
1
L
08.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Oddevold
3
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Sandviken
1
0
W
Last matches: Varbergs BoIS FC
25.08.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Orebro SK
1
2
L
15.08.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
United Nordic
0
0
D
09.08.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Sandviken
0
1
L
01.08.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Falkenbergs FF
2
1
W
27.07.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Osters IF
0
3
L
18.07.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Oddevold
4
2
W
11.07.26
Fri
Varbergs BoIS FC
Norrby IF
4
2
W
27.06.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Osters IF
2
1
W
22.06.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Landskrona BoIS
2
3
L
15.06.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
IFK Norrkoping
0
2
L
10.06.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Norrby IF
2
0
W
30.05.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ljungskile SK
3
1
W
24.05.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
GIF Sundsvall
1
0
W
19.05.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Helsingborg
3
1
W
13.05.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Falkenbergs FF
3
0
W
08.05.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
IFK Varnamo
3
2
W
02.05.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Orebro SK
0
0
D
26.04.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
IK brage
2
2
D
18.04.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
United Nordic
4
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Sandviken
2
2
D
H2H: IFK Varnamo vs Varbergs BoIS FC
08.05.26
H2H
Varbergs BoIS FC
IFK Varnamo
3
2
L
19.08.23
H2H
Varbergs BoIS FC
IFK Varnamo
0
3
W
09.05.23
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
3
1
W
11.03.23
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
2
L
17.09.22
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
0
W
03.07.22
H2H
Varbergs BoIS FC
IFK Varnamo
3
0
L
03.09.18
H2H
Varbergs BoIS FC
IFK Varnamo
2
2
D
24.04.18
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
0
W
09.09.17
H2H
Varbergs BoIS FC
IFK Varnamo
2
1
L
14.05.17
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
0
0
D
05.11.16
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
5
0
W
16.04.16
H2H
Varbergs BoIS FC
IFK Varnamo
0
2
W
Last matches: IFK Varnamo
24.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
1
1
D
16.08.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK
1
1
D
25.07.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
0
0
D
19.07.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
2
3
L
13.07.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Naestved
0
2
L
16.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
0
1
L
31.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
United Nordic
0
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Norrby IF
2
2
D
12.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Oddevold
3
1
W
14.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
GIF Sundsvall
3
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Kalmar FF
2
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
3
L
13.02.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
4
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Eskilsminne
6
1
W
22.01.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Jonkopings Sodra
1
1
D
H2H at home: IFK Varnamo
09.05.23
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
3
1
W
11.03.23
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
2
L
17.09.22
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
0
W
24.04.18
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
0
W
14.05.17
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
0
0
D
05.11.16
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
5
0
W
Last matches: Varbergs BoIS FC
25.08.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Orebro SK
1
2
L
15.08.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
United Nordic
0
0
D
27.07.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Osters IF
0
3
L
18.07.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Oddevold
4
2
W
15.06.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
IFK Norrkoping
0
2
L
30.05.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Ljungskile SK
3
1
W
19.05.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Helsingborg
3
1
W
13.05.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Falkenbergs FF
3
0
W
26.04.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
IK brage
2
2
D
12.04.26
Sup
Varbergs BoIS FC
Sandviken
2
2
D
28.03.26
Fri
Varbergs BoIS FC
Hässleholms IF
1
0
W
10.03.26
Fri
Varbergs BoIS FC
Gais
2
1
W
H2H away: Varbergs BoIS FC
09.05.23
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
3
1
L
11.03.23
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
2
W
17.09.22
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
0
L
24.04.18
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
0
L
14.05.17
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
0
0
D
05.11.16
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
5
0
L

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 2 4 41:13 28 47
W W W W W
2 21 11 5 5 41:30 11 38
W L W D L
3 21 9 8 4 30:23 7 35
D D D W W
4 20 10 4 6 35:26 9 34
L D L W L
5 21 8 8 5 32:30 2 32
L W D D D
6 20 10 2 8 31:29 2 32
W W L L W
7 21 8 7 6 27:22 5 31
D D D W L
8 20 7 8 5 33:28 5 29
W D W D D
9 20 7 5 8 33:30 3 26
D L W W L
10 20 7 4 9 33:40 -7 25
L D L L D
11 21 6 6 9 27:28 -1 24
L D L L D
12 20 4 11 5 25:27 -2 23
D L W D D
13 21 6 4 11 25:38 -13 22
W D D W W
14 21 5 6 10 35:42 -7 21
L L D L W
15 20 4 7 9 20:32 -12 19
W D L L D
16 20 3 1 16 14:44 -30 10
L D L L L
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