SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
--.--.---- --:--
Finnvedsvallen
IFK Varnamo
Match Timeline
Ljungskile SK
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
C. Johansson
IFK Varnamo
33'
M. Uzel · Assist: S. Omar
Ljungskile SK
🔄
45+1'
D. Bergqvist ↔ L. Robertsson
IFK Varnamo
🟨
45+3'
E. Reljanovic
Ljungskile SK
🔄
46'
B. Zulovic ↔ H. Andersson
IFK Varnamo
57'
A. Rasheed · Assist: S. Omar
Ljungskile SK
🔄
59'
A. Rasheed ↔ A. Boren
Ljungskile SK
61'
V. Claesson · Assist: A. Bjornstrom
IFK Varnamo
64'
S. Omar · Assist: W. Nilsson
Ljungskile SK
66'
K. Meriluoto · Assist: C. Johansson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
67'
H. Borstam ↔ D. Lagerlof
Ljungskile SK
🔄
67'
S. Omar ↔ D. Frisk
Ljungskile SK
🔄
76'
A. Motaraghebjafarpour ↔ F. Bozicevic
IFK Varnamo
🔄
84'
W. Nilsson ↔ M. Solheim
Ljungskile SK
🔄
84'
M. Uzel ↔ R. Nafors Dahlin
Ljungskile SK
🔄
84'
A. Kujundzic ↔ I. Abdulrazak
IFK Varnamo
🟨
86'
I. Maric
Ljungskile SK

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.2%
Odds 2.52
2 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.68
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.2%
2.52
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.68
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
2.36
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
IFK Varnamo Win 11.2%
Draw 9.6%
Ljungskile SK Win 79.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
IFK Varnamo1.28
Ljungskile SK1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WWDLW
29 GF / 44 GA
Ljungskile SK Ljungskile SK
WLDWL
40 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.67
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
11
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
12
2.21
Shots on Goal
2.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 22 matches
Ljungskile SK Ljungskile SK 24 matches
IFK Varnamo Statistic Ljungskile SK
5 Wins 11
4 Draws 6
13 Losses 7
29 Goals For 40
44 Goals Against 29
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.21
11 BTTS Yes 15
17 Over 1.5 17
13 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 6
2.21 Shots On Goal 2.93
3.71 Total Shots 6.43
2.5 Corners 3.29
30.9% Ball Possession 32.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ljungskile SK. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. IFK Varnamo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IFK Varnamo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Ljungskile SK in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ljungskile SK having the stronger overall control.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

With 10 points from 14 games and a place of 15, IFK Varnamo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 15:31, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ljungskile SK Analysis

From their first 14 matches, Ljungskile SK have collected 16 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 18:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, IFK Varnamo won 0 times, Ljungskile SK won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:9 from IFK Varnamo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
Predicted formations: IFK Varnamo 4-4-2 / Ljungskile SK 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: IFK Varnamo wins 0, draws 0, Ljungskile SK wins 4
Last matches: IFK Varnamo
13.07.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Naestved
0
2
L
28.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
0
1
L
21.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
1
5
L
16.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
0
1
L
09.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Osters IF
0
3
L
31.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
United Nordic
0
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Falkenbergs FF
1
3
L
17.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Norrby IF
2
2
D
12.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
1
L
08.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Oddevold
3
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Sandviken
1
0
W
14.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
GIF Sundsvall
3
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IFK Norrkoping
0
6
L
28.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Kalmar FF
2
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
3
L
14.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Trelleborg
0
0
D
13.02.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
4
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Eskilsminne
6
1
W
Last matches: Ljungskile SK
27.06.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Orebro SK
3
2
W
22.06.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Oddevold
0
0
D
14.06.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Ostersunds FK
1
1
D
09.06.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
IK brage
2
2
D
30.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Varbergs BoIS FC
1
3
L
23.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Osters IF
4
1
W
14.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
GIF Sundsvall
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Sandviken
0
1
L
02.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
United Nordic
0
2
L
24.04.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Helsingborg
4
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Landskrona BoIS
0
1
L
11.04.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
IFK Norrkoping
0
1
L
06.04.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Falkenbergs FF
1
1
D
28.03.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
Rosengård
1
0
W
20.03.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
Oskarshamns AIK
3
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
2
1
W
24.02.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
IFK Goteborg
4
2
W
20.02.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
Trollhättan
2
1
W
H2H: IFK Varnamo vs Ljungskile SK
29.09.19
H2H
Ljungskile SK
IFK Varnamo
3
0
L
02.06.19
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
0
2
L
02.10.16
H2H
Ljungskile SK
IFK Varnamo
2
0
L
10.04.16
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
0
2
L
Last matches: IFK Varnamo
13.07.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Naestved
0
2
L
16.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
0
1
L
31.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
United Nordic
0
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Norrby IF
2
2
D
12.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Oddevold
3
1
W
14.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
GIF Sundsvall
3
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Kalmar FF
2
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
3
L
13.02.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
4
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Eskilsminne
6
1
W
22.01.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Jonkopings Sodra
1
1
D
H2H at home: IFK Varnamo
02.06.19
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
0
2
L
10.04.16
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
0
2
L
Last matches: Ljungskile SK
22.06.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Oddevold
0
0
D
09.06.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
IK brage
2
2
D
23.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Norrby IF
1
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Osters IF
4
1
W
09.05.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Sandviken
0
1
L
18.04.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Landskrona BoIS
0
1
L
06.04.26
Sup
Ljungskile SK
Falkenbergs FF
1
1
D
14.03.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
Falkenbergs FF
1
1
D
31.01.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
IF Karlstad
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Ljungskile SK
Orgryte IS
3
3
D
H2H away: Ljungskile SK
02.06.19
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
0
2
W
10.04.16
H2H
IFK Varnamo
Ljungskile SK
0
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.52
Draw 3.48
Home 2.64
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 2.37
Home 3.15
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.20
Over 2.25 1.49
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.85
Over 3.0 2.11
Over 3.25 2.39
Over 3.5 2.65
Over 4.5 4.70
Under 1.5 4.42
Under 2.25 2.60
Under 2.5 2.17
Under 2.75 1.95
Under 3.0 1.72
Under 3.25 1.56
Under 3.5 1.47
Under 4.5 1.18
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 3.40
Home 2.55
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.30
Home 3.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.60
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.5 1.70
Over 3.5 2.62
Over 4.5 5.00
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.10
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 4.5 1.17
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.48
Draw 3.42
Home 2.61
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.16
Home 3.18
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.69
Draw 2.58
Home 2.85
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.08
Over 1.5 1.17
Over 1.75 1.22
Over 2.0 1.28
Over 2.25 1.49
Over 2.5 1.68
Over 2.75 1.85
Over 3.0 2.04
Over 3.25 2.29
Over 3.5 2.56
Over 3.75 3.03
Over 4.0 3.92
Over 4.25 4.30
Over 4.5 4.60
Over 4.75 5.75
Over 5.0 8.00
Over 5.5 8.70
Over 6.5 21.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 11.30
Under 1.0 8.40
Under 1.25 5.49
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 1.75 3.66
Under 2.0 3.18
Under 2.25 2.52
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 2.75 1.90
Under 3.0 1.65
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 3.75 1.29
Under 4.0 1.18
Under 4.25 1.15
Under 4.5 1.13
Under 4.75 1.07
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 3.50
Home 2.43
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.38
Home 2.88
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.70
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.18
Over 2.0 1.27
Over 2.25 1.44
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 2.75 1.77
Over 3.0 2.02
Over 3.25 2.28
Over 3.5 2.55
Over 3.75 3.00
Over 4.0 3.80
Over 4.25 4.10
Over 4.5 4.40
Over 4.75 5.40
Over 5.0 7.50
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 2.0 3.35
Under 2.25 2.55
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 2.75 1.91
Under 3.0 1.68
Under 3.25 1.54
Under 3.5 1.44
Under 3.75 1.33
Under 4.0 1.21
Under 4.25 1.18
Under 4.5 1.16
Under 4.75 1.11
Under 5.0 1.06

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 9 3 3 32:19 13 30
W W L L W
2 15 9 2 4 26:10 16 29
W L W W W
3 14 8 4 2 28:20 8 28
W W D L W
4 15 7 4 4 22:16 6 25
L W W W W
5 15 7 4 4 24:19 5 25
W W L D D
6 15 7 2 6 24:25 -1 23
W L L W W
7 14 6 4 4 23:22 1 22
D D L D W
8 15 5 5 5 28:26 2 20
L D D W L
9 14 6 2 6 26:29 -3 20
L W W L L
10 15 5 4 6 24:23 1 19
L W D W W
11 14 4 4 6 18:18 0 16
W D D D L
12 15 4 4 7 28:29 -1 16
L L W L D
13 14 2 8 4 16:20 -4 14
W D L L L
14 14 3 5 6 13:20 -7 14
L D D L L
15 14 3 1 10 15:31 -16 10
L L L L L
16 14 3 0 11 11:31 -20 9
L L L W L
Promotion - Allsvenskan
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Division 1 - Norra (Relegation)
Relegation