SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
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Finnvedsvallen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 77.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
77.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
IFK Varnamo Win 12.1%
Draw 10.5%
IK brage Win 77.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
IFK Varnamo1.45
IK brage1.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WWDLW
29 GF / 44 GA
IK brage IK brage
WLDWL
37 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.85
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
11
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
14
2.21
Shots on Goal
1.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 22 matches
IK brage IK brage 20 matches
IFK Varnamo Statistic IK brage
5 Wins 9
4 Draws 4
13 Losses 7
29 Goals For 37
44 Goals Against 33
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
11 BTTS Yes 13
17 Over 1.5 15
13 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 3
2.21 Shots On Goal 1.64
3.71 Total Shots 2.57
2.5 Corners 2.21
30.9% Ball Possession 23.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring IK brage. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. IFK Varnamo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

IFK Varnamo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 10 points from 14 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 15:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

IK brage Analysis

So far, IK brage have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 16 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 26:26 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, IFK Varnamo won 2 times, IK brage won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:11 from IFK Varnamo's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.5%)
Predicted formations: IFK Varnamo 4-4-2 / IK brage 4-4-2
H2H summary: IFK Varnamo wins 2, draws 0, IK brage wins 3
Last matches: IFK Varnamo
13.07.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Naestved
0
2
L
28.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
0
1
L
21.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
1
5
L
16.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
0
1
L
09.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Osters IF
0
3
L
31.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
United Nordic
0
2
L
23.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Falkenbergs FF
1
3
L
17.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Norrby IF
2
2
D
12.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
1
L
08.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
3
L
03.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Ostersunds FK
2
3
L
26.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Oddevold
3
1
W
18.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Sandviken
1
0
W
14.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
GIF Sundsvall
3
0
W
04.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
IFK Norrkoping
0
6
L
28.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Kalmar FF
2
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
3
L
14.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Trelleborg
0
0
D
13.02.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
4
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Eskilsminne
6
1
W
Last matches: IK brage
18.07.26
Sup
IK brage
Osters IF
2
3
L
26.06.26
Sup
IK brage
Falkenbergs FF
2
4
L
21.06.26
Sup
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
5
1
W
14.06.26
Sup
IK brage
Sandviken
2
3
L
09.06.26
Sup
IK brage
Ljungskile SK
2
2
D
30.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Landskrona BoIS
2
2
D
23.05.26
Sup
IK brage
United Nordic
0
1
L
16.05.26
Sup
IK brage
IFK Norrkoping
0
0
D
13.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Ostersunds FK
2
4
L
08.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Orebro SK
3
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Helsingborg
0
2
L
26.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Varbergs BoIS FC
2
2
D
20.04.26
Sup
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall
2
1
W
12.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Oddevold
3
4
L
05.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Norrby IF
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
IK brage
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
IK brage
Gefle IF
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
IK brage
IF Karlstad
1
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
IK brage
Sandviken
3
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall
2
1
W
H2H: IFK Varnamo vs IK brage
21.06.26
H2H
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
5
1
L
20.11.21
H2H
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
3
1
L
24.04.21
H2H
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
1
0
W
28.07.18
H2H
IK brage
IFK Varnamo
0
1
W
30.06.18
H2H
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
2
3
L
Last matches: IFK Varnamo
13.07.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Naestved
0
2
L
16.06.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Helsingborg
0
1
L
31.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
United Nordic
0
2
L
17.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Norrby IF
2
2
D
12.05.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
1
L
26.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
Oddevold
3
1
W
14.04.26
Sup
IFK Varnamo
GIF Sundsvall
3
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Kalmar FF
2
3
L
21.03.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Orebro SK
0
3
L
13.02.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Landskrona BoIS
4
2
W
07.02.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Eskilsminne
6
1
W
22.01.26
Fri
IFK Varnamo
Jonkopings Sodra
1
1
D
H2H at home: IFK Varnamo
24.04.21
H2H
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
1
0
W
30.06.18
H2H
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
2
3
L
Last matches: IK brage
18.07.26
Sup
IK brage
Osters IF
2
3
L
14.06.26
Sup
IK brage
Sandviken
2
3
L
30.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Landskrona BoIS
2
2
D
23.05.26
Sup
IK brage
United Nordic
0
1
L
08.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Orebro SK
3
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
IK brage
Helsingborg
0
2
L
20.04.26
Sup
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall
2
1
W
05.04.26
Sup
IK brage
Norrby IF
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
IK brage
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
IK brage
Sandviken
3
2
W
30.01.26
Fri
IK brage
GIF Sundsvall
2
1
W
H2H away: IK brage
24.04.21
H2H
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
1
0
L
30.06.18
H2H
IFK Varnamo
IK brage
2
3
W

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 9 3 3 32:19 13 30
W W L L W
2 14 8 4 2 28:20 8 28
W W D L W
3 14 8 2 4 23:10 13 26
L W W W W
4 14 7 4 3 22:14 8 25
W W W W D
5 14 6 4 4 22:19 3 22
W L D D W
6 14 6 4 4 23:22 1 22
D D L D W
7 15 5 5 5 28:26 2 20
L D D W L
8 14 6 2 6 21:23 -2 20
L L W W W
9 14 6 2 6 26:29 -3 20
L W W L L
10 14 5 4 5 24:20 4 19
W D W W W
11 14 4 4 6 26:26 0 16
L W L D D
12 14 4 4 6 18:18 0 16
W D D D L
13 14 2 8 4 16:20 -4 14
W D L L L
14 14 3 5 6 13:20 -7 14
L D D L L
15 14 3 1 10 15:31 -16 10
L L L L L
16 14 3 0 11 11:31 -20 9
L L L W L
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