SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
16.06.2026 17:00
Finnvedsvallen
Referee: O. Johnson
IFK Varnamo
Match Timeline
Helsingborg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
H. Andersson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
29'
J. Voelkerling Persson ↔ L. Hyppanen
Helsingborg
34'
L. Sadiku · Assist: M. Svensson
Helsingborg
🟨
45'
F. Awodesu
Helsingborg
🔄
62'
N. Shamoun ↔ J. Rapp
IFK Varnamo
🔄
62'
S. Jansson ↔ B. Zulovic
IFK Varnamo
🔄
66'
L. Sadiku ↔ A. Johansson
Helsingborg
🔄
66'
K. Appiah Nyarko ↔ D. Amadou
Helsingborg
🔄
73'
I. Abdulrazak ↔ A. Kujundzic
IFK Varnamo
🟨
78'
J. Voelkerling Persson
Helsingborg
🟨
83'
C. Johansson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
84'
M. Kamara ↔ F. Bozicevic
IFK Varnamo
🔄
86'
E. Gigovic ↔ A. Akimey
Helsingborg
🔄
86'
A. Nordin ↔ L. Persson
Helsingborg
🟨
90+2'
J. Brattberg
Helsingborg

IFK Varnamo vs Helsingborg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.6%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
IFK Varnamo Win 47.5%
Draw 10.4%
Helsingborg Win 42.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
IFK Varnamo1.64
Helsingborg1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WWDLW
28 GF / 35 GA
Helsingborg Helsingborg
WLDWL
31 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
10
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
14
2.82
Shots on Goal
1.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 18 matches
Helsingborg Helsingborg 17 matches
IFK Varnamo Statistic Helsingborg
5 Wins 8
4 Draws 3
9 Losses 6
28 Goals For 31
35 Goals Against 30
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
10 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 2
2.82 Shots On Goal 1.73
4.73 Total Shots 0.91
3.18 Corners 1.45
39.3% Ball Possession 16.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IFK Varnamo expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Helsingborg in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Helsingborg having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Helsingborg. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

IFK Varnamo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 10 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 14:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Helsingborg Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Helsingborg have collected 14 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 18:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, IFK Varnamo won 9 times, Helsingborg won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:12 from IFK Varnamo's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
Predicted formations: IFK Varnamo 3-5-2 / Helsingborg 4-4-2
H2H summary: IFK Varnamo wins 9, draws 1, Helsingborg wins 2

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 16 4 4 45:15 30 52
D W D W W
2 24 13 5 6 46:33 13 44
W W L W L
3 24 11 9 4 33:24 9 42
W D W D D
4 24 12 5 7 41:31 10 41
W L D W L
5 24 9 9 6 37:32 5 36
D W W L W
6 24 9 9 6 37:36 1 36
D L W L W
7 23 9 7 7 31:25 6 34
L W D D D
8 23 10 3 10 34:34 0 33
L L D W W
9 23 8 6 9 36:32 4 30
L W D D L
10 24 8 5 11 36:45 -9 29
L W L D L
11 24 7 7 10 31:33 -2 28
L W D L D
12 23 7 5 11 30:41 -11 26
W D W D D
13 24 5 9 10 25:35 -10 24
D W L D W
14 24 4 11 9 28:35 -7 23
L L L L D
15 23 5 7 11 36:44 -8 22
D L L L D
16 23 5 1 17 16:47 -31 16
L W W L D
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