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SWEDEN › SUPERETTAN
11.10.2026 13:00
Finnvedsvallen
Referee: Sars Joakim
IFK Varnamo
Match Timeline
Falkenbergs FF
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
4'
albin andersson
Falkenbergs FF
⚽
13'
Hugo Andersson Mella · Assist: Axel Bjornström
IFK Varnamo
🟨
32'
Argjend Miftari
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
46'
Argjend Miftari ↔ Tim·Stalheden
Falkenbergs FF
🟨
47'
Godwin Aguda
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
65'
Ayo Rupia-Ellis ↔ Nils Bertilsson
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
68'
August Ljungberg ↔ Musa Oluwaseyi Akinfenwa
IFK Varnamo
🟨
74'
Hampus Källström
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
83'
Elias Mohammad ↔ Hugo Komano
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
83'
calle johansson ↔ Sigge Skorpan Jansson
IFK Varnamo
🔄
83'
Hugo Andersson Mella ↔ Carl Johansson
IFK Varnamo
⚽
85'
albin andersson · Assist: Nils Bertilsson
Falkenbergs FF
🔄
86'
Kai Meriluoto ↔ Simon Thern
IFK Varnamo
🔄
88'
Hampus Källström ↔ Noel Hansson
Falkenbergs FF

IFK Varnamo vs Falkenbergs FF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.7%
Odds 2.85
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.7%
2.85 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.67 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.14 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
IFK Varnamo Win 23%
Draw 17.3%
Falkenbergs FF Win 59.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
IFK Varnamo1.32
Falkenbergs FF1.94
Recent Form (Last 5)
IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo
WWDLW
47 GF / 58 GA
Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF
WLDWL
72 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
2.06
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
20
BTTS Yes
24
19
Over 2.5
24
2.82
Shots on Goal
2.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 33 matches
Falkenbergs FF Falkenbergs FF 35 matches
IFK Varnamo Statistic Falkenbergs FF
10 Wins 20
8 Draws 8
15 Losses 7
47 Goals For 72
58 Goals Against 41
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 2.06
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
20 BTTS Yes 24
26 Over 1.5 30
19 Over 2.5 24
14 Over 3.5 13
5 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 2
2.82 Shots On Goal 2.57
5.23 Total Shots 3.87
3.59 Corners 2.87
33.3% Ball Possession 30.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Falkenbergs FF's more proactive style and IFK Varnamo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Falkenbergs FF. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Falkenbergs FF carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 45 points while IFK Varnamo sit 11 on 29, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

IFK Varnamo Analysis

IFK Varnamo are currently 11 in the standings with 29 points from 25 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 33:45 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Axel Björnström (2 goals), Simon Thern (1 goals), Marcus Antonsson (1 goals), with creative support from Simon Thern (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Falkenbergs FF Analysis

Falkenbergs FF approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 45 points after 25 outings. They have recorded 13 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a 46:33 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Albin Andersson (1 goals), Oskar Lindberg (1 goals), Hugo Komano (1 goals), with creative support from Melker Nilsson (2 assists), Albin Andersson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, IFK Varnamo won 3 times, Falkenbergs FF won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:16 from IFK Varnamo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.7%)
Predicted formations: IFK Varnamo 4-4-2 / Falkenbergs FF 4-4-2
H2H summary: IFK Varnamo wins 3, draws 1, Falkenbergs FF wins 5

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 26 13 6 7 45:34 11 45
D W W L D
4 26 11 11 4 34:25 9 44
D D W D W
5 26 12 7 7 42:28 14 43
W W W L W
6 26 10 9 7 40:34 6 39
W L D W W
7 26 11 3 12 38:40 -2 36
L L W L L
8 26 9 9 8 38:42 -4 36
L L D L W
9 26 9 7 10 43:38 5 34
L W D L W
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 26 7 8 11 34:37 -3 29
D L L W D
12 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
13 26 5 12 9 30:35 -5 27
W D L L L
14 26 5 10 11 28:40 -12 25
D L D W L
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
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