SWEDEN SUPERETTAN
15.06.2026 17:05
Norrkopings Idrottspark
Referee: Max Persson, Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
Match Timeline
Varbergs BoIS FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
C. Nyman · Assist: N. Sernelius
IFK Norrkoping
🟨
28'
Erion Sadiku
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
60'
A. Bitiqi ↔ S. Borgelin
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
62'
J. Nilsson ↔ W. Arlig
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
64'
T. Prica ↔ A. Bronner
IFK Norrkoping
🔄
65'
V. Christiansson ↔ A. Fransson
IFK Norrkoping
🟨
71'
Axel Brönner
IFK Norrkoping
73'
R. Nelson · Assist: T. Sandberg
IFK Norrkoping
🔄
76'
N. Dahlstrom ↔ H. Zackrisson
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
76'
S. Nioule ↔ O. Silverholt
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
76'
A. Winbo ↔ N. Johansson
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
80'
A. Eriksson ↔ F. Dagerstal
IFK Norrkoping
🔄
80'
R. Nelson ↔ F. Holst-Larsen
IFK Norrkoping
🟨
82'
Emil Hellman
Varbergs BoIS FC
🔄
85'
C. Nyman ↔ K. Seka
IFK Norrkoping
🟨
86'
Elias Jemal
IFK Norrkoping

IFK Norrkoping vs Varbergs BoIS FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.8%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
IFK Norrkoping Win 41.8%
Draw 11.2%
Varbergs BoIS FC Win 47%
Expected Goals (xG)
IFK Norrkoping1.5
Varbergs BoIS FC1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
IFK Norrkoping IFK Norrkoping
WWDLW
39 GF / 19 GA
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC
WLDWL
29 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.95
Average Goals Scored
1.71
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
11
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
9
3.64
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IFK Norrkoping IFK Norrkoping 20 matches
Varbergs BoIS FC Varbergs BoIS FC 17 matches
IFK Norrkoping Statistic Varbergs BoIS FC
12 Wins 11
4 Draws 4
4 Losses 2
39 Goals For 29
19 Goals Against 14
1.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
11 BTTS Yes 8
16 Over 1.5 11
10 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 3
3.64 Shots On Goal 4
5.55 Total Shots 3.18
2.91 Corners 2.27
34.4% Ball Possession 31.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Varbergs BoIS FC. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

IFK Norrkoping Analysis

Placed 4 with 17 points from 10 outings, IFK Norrkoping continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 17:8 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Varbergs BoIS FC Analysis

Varbergs BoIS FC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 21 points from 10 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 22:11 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, IFK Norrkoping won 7 times, Varbergs BoIS FC won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:11 from IFK Norrkoping's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.8%)
Predicted formations: IFK Norrkoping 4-3-3 / Varbergs BoIS FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: IFK Norrkoping wins 7, draws 1, Varbergs BoIS FC wins 2

Standings

Superettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 17 4 4 48:16 32 55
W D W D W
2 25 13 6 6 46:33 13 45
D W W L W
3 25 13 5 7 44:33 11 44
W W L D W
4 25 11 10 4 33:24 9 43
D W D W D
5 25 11 7 7 39:26 13 40
W W L W D
6 25 9 9 7 38:34 4 36
L D W W L
7 25 11 3 11 38:38 0 36
L W L L D
8 25 9 9 7 38:40 -2 36
L D L W L
9 25 9 7 9 41:35 6 34
W D L W D
10 25 8 6 11 36:45 -9 30
D L W L D
11 25 8 5 12 33:45 -12 29
W L W D W
12 25 7 7 11 33:36 -3 28
L L W D L
13 25 4 12 9 28:35 -7 24
D L L L L
14 25 5 9 11 27:39 -12 24
L D W L D
15 25 5 8 12 39:48 -9 23
L D D L L
16 25 6 1 18 19:53 -34 19
W L L W W
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