SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
30.08.2026 14:30
Gamla Ullevi
Referee: Adam Ladeback, Sweden
IFK Goteborg
Match Timeline
Orgryte IS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
24'
A. Erlingmark ↔ J. Bager
IFK Goteborg
🟨
37'
Felix Eriksson
IFK Goteborg
61'
H. Hermannsson · Assist: T. Heintz
IFK Goteborg
🔄
73'
D. Paulson ↔ M. Parker
Orgryte IS
🔄
73'
W. Hofvander ↔ J. Tibbling
Orgryte IS
🔄
81'
J. Hammar ↔ A. Andreasson
Orgryte IS
🔄
83'
S. Clemmensen ↔ M. Fenger
IFK Goteborg
🟨
87'
Adam Bergmark Wiberg
IFK Goteborg

IFK Goteborg vs Orgryte IS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73.2%
Odds 1.58
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.52
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73.2%
1.58
BTTS Yes
75%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.52
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.09
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.38
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
IFK Goteborg Win 73.2%
Draw 6.6%
Orgryte IS Win 20.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
IFK Goteborg1.87
Orgryte IS1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
WWDLW
51 GF / 60 GA
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS
WLDWL
29 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.94
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
22
BTTS Yes
13
20
Over 2.5
13
4.18
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg 31 matches
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS 25 matches
IFK Goteborg Statistic Orgryte IS
10 Wins 5
8 Draws 7
13 Losses 13
51 Goals For 29
60 Goals Against 55
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.94 Avg Goals Conceded 2.2
22 BTTS Yes 13
29 Over 1.5 22
20 Over 2.5 13
13 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 8
4.18 Shots On Goal 4
13.91 Total Shots 11.44
5.73 Corners 4.11
46.6% Ball Possession 43.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Orgryte IS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Orgryte IS arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IFK Goteborg expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Orgryte IS in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Orgryte IS having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

IFK Goteborg Analysis

From their first 17 matches, IFK Goteborg have collected 19 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 22:38 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Sam Larsson (3 goals), Sebastian Clemmensen (2 goals), David Kruse (1 goals), with creative support from Tobias Heintz (2 assists), Sam Larsson (1 assists), Felix Eriksson (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Orgryte IS Analysis

Orgryte IS approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 14 points from 18 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 22:41, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Noah Christoffersson (6 goals), Jerome Tibbling Ugwo (2 goals), Tobias Sana (1 goals), with creative support from Owen Parker-Price (4 assists), Noah Christoffersson (1 assists), Jerome Tibbling Ugwo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, IFK Goteborg won 2 times, Orgryte IS won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from IFK Goteborg's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
Predicted formations: IFK Goteborg 4-4-2 / Orgryte IS 3-4-3
Missing players: IFK Goteborg 2, Orgryte IS 2
H2H summary: IFK Goteborg wins 2, draws 0, Orgryte IS wins 0

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 3 3 52:28 24 51
W W W L L
2 22 13 4 5 49:20 29 43
W W D L W
3 22 13 2 7 47:21 26 41
L W W W W
4 22 10 7 5 31:22 9 37
W W L W D
5 22 9 9 4 39:30 9 36
W D D L W
6 22 10 5 7 34:35 -1 35
W W L W D
7 22 10 3 9 37:33 4 33
L W D W L
8 22 9 6 7 31:34 -3 33
L D L D W
9 22 9 5 8 31:41 -10 32
W W W W D
10 22 8 6 8 28:20 8 30
W L D W L
11 22 7 6 9 30:36 -6 27
L L W L W
12 22 5 7 10 27:38 -11 22
L D D L L
13 22 5 4 13 21:36 -15 19
L L L L D
14 22 5 4 13 19:34 -15 19
L L W L L
15 22 3 6 13 25:49 -24 15
L L D L D
16 22 3 5 14 16:40 -24 14
W L L W D
Qualifying
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation