SWEDEN ALLSVENSKAN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
68.4%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
IF Elfsborg Win 27.6%
Draw 4%
Sirius Win 68.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
IF Elfsborg1.29
Sirius1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
WWDLW
28 GF / 27 GA
Sirius Sirius
WLDWL
43 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
2.39
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
14
BTTS Yes
13
10
Over 2.5
14
3.69
Shots on Goal
5.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg 22 matches
Sirius Sirius 18 matches
IF Elfsborg Statistic Sirius
8 Wins 13
7 Draws 3
7 Losses 2
28 Goals For 43
27 Goals Against 24
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 2.39
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
14 BTTS Yes 13
18 Over 1.5 17
10 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 1
3.69 Shots On Goal 5.75
10.77 Total Shots 14.75
3.69 Corners 5.33
45.8% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sirius. Sirius carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 29 points while IF Elfsborg sit 4 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with IF Elfsborg expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sirius in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sirius having the stronger overall control. Sirius look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

IF Elfsborg Analysis

IF Elfsborg arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 18 points after 12 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 17:13 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ari Sigurpálsson (1 goals), with creative support from Julius Magnusson (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sirius Analysis

Sirius come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 29 points after 11 matches. They have recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 31:14 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on R. Ure (4 goals), with creative support from M. Lindberg (1 assists), I. Bjerkebo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, IF Elfsborg won 8 times, Sirius won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:25 from IF Elfsborg's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: IF Elfsborg 4-2-3-1 / Sirius 4-3-3
H2H summary: IF Elfsborg wins 8, draws 3, Sirius wins 4
Last matches: IF Elfsborg
12.07.26
All
IF Elfsborg
Gais
0
1
L
05.07.26
All
IF Elfsborg
Hammarby FF
1
2
L
28.06.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
Fredrikstad
0
0
D
29.05.26
All
IF Elfsborg
Orgryte IS
2
2
D
25.05.26
All
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
1
1
D
21.05.26
All
IF Elfsborg
Mjallby AIF
1
1
D
16.05.26
All
IF Elfsborg
Halmstad
1
1
D
08.05.26
All
IF Elfsborg
IF Brommapojkarna
2
0
W
03.05.26
All
IF Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm
1
1
D
27.04.26
All
IF Elfsborg
Kalmar FF
1
2
L
22.04.26
All
IF Elfsborg
Djurgardens IF
2
1
W
17.04.26
All
IF Elfsborg
Degerfors IF
1
0
W
11.04.26
All
IF Elfsborg
Vasteras SK FK
2
2
D
06.04.26
All
IF Elfsborg
IFK Goteborg
2
0
W
26.03.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
Osters IF
3
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm
3
2
W
14.03.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
Gais
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
Fredrikstad
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
Daejeon Citizen
1
0
W
Last matches: Sirius
12.07.26
All
Sirius
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
03.07.26
All
Sirius
Mjallby AIF
4
4
D
26.06.26
Fri
Sirius
Djurgardens IF
1
1
D
30.05.26
All
Sirius
AIK Stockholm
3
0
W
24.05.26
All
Sirius
Gais
2
1
W
18.05.26
All
Sirius
Djurgardens IF
3
2
W
11.05.26
All
Sirius
Orgryte IS
2
0
W
02.05.26
All
Sirius
Kalmar FF
3
2
W
27.04.26
All
Sirius
BK Hacken
2
2
D
23.04.26
All
Sirius
Malmo FF
3
2
W
18.04.26
All
Sirius
Vasteras SK FK
4
1
W
13.04.26
All
Sirius
Hammarby FF
2
0
W
04.04.26
All
Sirius
Degerfors IF
3
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Sirius
Inter Turku
0
1
L
15.02.26
Fri
Sirius
Aalesund
3
2
W
05.02.26
Fri
Sirius
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2
3
L
30.01.26
Fri
Sirius
Silkeborg
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Sirius
Degerfors IF
2
1
W
H2H: IF Elfsborg vs Sirius
08.03.26
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
1
2
L
26.10.25
H2H
Sirius
IF Elfsborg
4
0
L
23.04.25
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
4
3
W
06.10.24
H2H
Sirius
IF Elfsborg
4
1
L
29.04.24
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
2
0
W
06.08.23
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
1
0
W
08.05.23
H2H
Sirius
IF Elfsborg
3
4
W
18.09.22
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
3
0
W
14.05.22
H2H
Sirius
IF Elfsborg
2
0
L
24.10.21
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
3
0
W
12.05.21
H2H
Sirius
IF Elfsborg
0
2
W
29.11.20
H2H
Sirius
IF Elfsborg
1
1
D
03.08.20
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
3
3
D
31.08.19
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
1
1
D
27.04.19
H2H
Sirius
IF Elfsborg
2
4
W
Last matches: IF Elfsborg
05.07.26
All
IF Elfsborg
Hammarby FF
1
2
L
25.05.26
All
IF Elfsborg
BK Hacken
1
1
D
21.05.26
All
IF Elfsborg
Mjallby AIF
1
1
D
08.05.26
All
IF Elfsborg
IF Brommapojkarna
2
0
W
03.05.26
All
IF Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm
1
1
D
22.04.26
All
IF Elfsborg
Djurgardens IF
2
1
W
06.04.26
All
IF Elfsborg
IFK Goteborg
2
0
W
26.03.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
Osters IF
3
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
AIK Stockholm
3
2
W
14.03.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
Fredrikstad
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
Daejeon Citizen
1
0
W
26.01.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
Aarhus
1
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
IF Elfsborg
B 93
1
3
L
H2H at home: IF Elfsborg
08.03.26
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
1
2
L
23.04.25
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
4
3
W
29.04.24
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
2
0
W
06.08.23
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
1
0
W
18.09.22
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
3
0
W
24.10.21
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
3
0
W
03.08.20
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
3
3
D
31.08.19
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
1
1
D
Last matches: Sirius
12.07.26
All
Sirius
IF Brommapojkarna
2
1
W
30.05.26
All
Sirius
AIK Stockholm
3
0
W
18.05.26
All
Sirius
Djurgardens IF
3
2
W
27.04.26
All
Sirius
BK Hacken
2
2
D
23.04.26
All
Sirius
Malmo FF
3
2
W
04.04.26
All
Sirius
Degerfors IF
3
0
W
H2H away: Sirius
08.03.26
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
1
2
W
23.04.25
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
4
3
L
29.04.24
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
2
0
L
06.08.23
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
1
0
L
18.09.22
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
3
0
L
24.10.21
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
3
0
L
03.08.20
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
3
3
D
31.08.19
H2H
IF Elfsborg
Sirius
1
1
D