BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
IAPE
Match Timeline
Parnahyba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
63'
Richarles
IAPE
75'
Junior Barbosa
Parnahyba
89'
Junior Barbosa
Parnahyba

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 87.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
87.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
IAPE Win 12.5%
Draw 50%
Parnahyba Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
IAPE1
Parnahyba1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
IAPE IAPE
WWDLW
5 GF / 10 GA
Parnahyba Parnahyba
WLDWL
5 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
2
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IAPE IAPE 5 matches
Parnahyba Parnahyba 5 matches
IAPE Statistic Parnahyba
0 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 2
5 Goals For 5
10 Goals Against 5
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 1
3 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Parnahyba. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Parnahyba having the stronger overall control. IAPE have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Parnahyba carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 7 points while IAPE sit 6 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

IAPE Analysis

IAPE approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 2 points from 5 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 5:10, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Gustavo Cutrim (2 goals), Esquerdinha (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Parnahyba Analysis

Parnahyba come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 7 points from 5 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 5:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Amilton (1 goals), Cremosinho (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, IAPE won 0 times, Parnahyba won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from IAPE's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (87.5%)
H2H summary: IAPE wins 0, draws 0, Parnahyba wins 2
Last matches: IAPE
07.06.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
0
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Iguatu
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
2
2
D
03.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
3
L
25.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
0
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Iguatu
2
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
2
2
D
Last matches: Parnahyba
27.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Águia de Marabá
0
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
07.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
2
2
D
24.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
1
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
IAPE
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Imperatriz
2
3
L
20.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
2
2
D
12.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Altos
2
4
L
06.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
2
0
W
29.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
1
2
L
15.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maranhão
2
2
D
07.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Tocantinópolis
0
0
D
01.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
24.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maranhão
1
1
D
H2H: IAPE vs Parnahyba
09.05.26
H2H
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
2
L
03.05.26
H2H
Parnahyba
IAPE
3
1
L
Last matches: IAPE
31.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Sampaio Correa
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
IAPE
Iguatu
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Moto Club
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
IAPE
Maracanã
2
2
D
H2H at home: IAPE
09.05.26
H2H
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
2
L
Last matches: Parnahyba
27.06.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Águia de Marabá
0
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
2
2
D
17.05.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
1
4
L
18.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Parnahyba
Moto Club
1
1
D
26.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Imperatriz
2
3
L
12.07.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Altos
2
4
L
29.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maracanã
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Tocantinópolis
0
0
D
24.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Maranhão
1
1
D
10.05.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Iguatu
0
3
L
26.04.25
Ser
Parnahyba
Sampaio Correa
0
1
L
H2H away: Parnahyba
09.05.26
H2H
IAPE
Parnahyba
1
2
W

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6
IAPE Home
10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)