ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.7%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
IA Akranes Win 29.7%
Draw 3.6%
Vikingur Reykjavik Win 66.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
IA Akranes1.29
Vikingur Reykjavik2.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
IA Akranes IA Akranes
WWDLW
26 GF / 34 GA
Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik
WLDWL
59 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
3.11
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
11
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IA Akranes IA Akranes 16 matches
Vikingur Reykjavik Vikingur Reykjavik 19 matches
IA Akranes Statistic Vikingur Reykjavik
5 Wins 16
3 Draws 2
8 Losses 1
26 Goals For 59
34 Goals Against 15
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 3.11
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
11 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 12
2 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0.5
0 Total Shots 2.5
0 Corners 1
0% Ball Possession 9.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Vikingur Reykjavik's more proactive style and IA Akranes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Vikingur Reykjavik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 43 points while IA Akranes sit 7 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Vikingur Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. Vikingur Reykjavik look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Vikingur Reykjavik. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

IA Akranes Analysis

IA Akranes sit 7 with 18 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 26:34, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vikingur Reykjavik Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 43 points from 16 games, Vikingur Reykjavik bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 14 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 54:12, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, IA Akranes won 2 times, Vikingur Reykjavik won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:31 from IA Akranes's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: IA Akranes - / Vikingur Reykjavik 4-3-3
H2H summary: IA Akranes wins 2, draws 3, Vikingur Reykjavik wins 10
Last matches: IA Akranes
26.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
5
1
W
20.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Keflavik
2
5
L
12.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KA Akureyri
2
3
L
04.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Breidablik
1
2
L
29.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Fram Reykjavik
0
2
L
22.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KR Reykjavik
3
5
L
16.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
W
29.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
FH hafnarfjordur
1
0
W
21.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
2
D
17.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
2
1
W
08.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
L
03.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
2
1
W
27.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
4
L
22.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KA Akureyri
1
1
D
17.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Breidablik
0
1
L
12.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Fram Reykjavik
3
3
D
Last matches: Vikingur Reykjavik
24.07.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
5
1
W
21.07.26
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2
1
W
18.07.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
1
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gyori ETO FC
2
2
D
07.07.26
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gyori ETO FC
1
0
W
02.07.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
3
2
W
25.06.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Breidablik
4
1
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
5
0
W
16.06.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
2
0
W
31.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
5
1
W
26.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
3
1
W
22.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
5
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
0
W
08.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
6
0
W
03.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
1
W
27.04.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
4
0
W
23.04.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
3
2
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
2
0
W
10.04.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Breidablik
1
1
D
14.08.25
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Brondby
0
4
L
H2H: IA Akranes vs Vikingur Reykjavik
12.06.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
2
L
27.04.26
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
4
0
L
06.12.25
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
5
3
L
17.08.25
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
1
L
24.05.25
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
2
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
4
L
19.08.24
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
1
2
W
25.05.24
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
1
L
28.02.24
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
1
D
09.07.22
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
3
2
L
24.04.22
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
0
W
16.10.21
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
3
L
05.07.21
H2H
Vikingur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
1
0
L
08.05.21
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
1
D
27.09.20
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
2
D
Last matches: IA Akranes
26.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
5
1
W
04.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Breidablik
1
2
L
29.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Fram Reykjavik
0
2
L
16.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
W
21.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
2
D
08.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
L
22.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KA Akureyri
1
1
D
H2H at home: IA Akranes
12.06.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
2
L
17.08.25
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
1
L
19.10.24
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
4
L
25.05.24
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
1
L
28.02.24
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
1
D
24.04.22
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
0
W
16.10.21
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
3
L
08.05.21
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
1
D
27.09.20
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
2
D
Last matches: Vikingur Reykjavik
18.07.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
1
2
L
14.07.26
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Gyori ETO FC
2
2
D
25.06.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Breidablik
4
1
W
21.06.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
5
0
W
31.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Valur Reykjavik
5
1
W
26.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
3
1
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
0
W
03.05.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
Keflavik
3
1
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Vikingur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
2
0
W
14.08.25
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Brondby
0
4
L
24.07.25
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Vllaznia Shkodër
1
2
L
10.07.25
UEF
Vikingur Reykjavik
Malisheva
1
0
W
H2H away: Vikingur Reykjavik
12.06.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
2
W
17.08.25
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
4
W
25.05.24
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
1
W
28.02.24
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
1
D
24.04.22
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
3
0
L
16.10.21
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
3
W
08.05.21
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
1
D
27.09.20
H2H
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
2
D

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 14 1 1 54:12 42 43
W L W W W
2 16 11 2 3 58:36 22 35
W W D L W
3 16 10 4 2 41:28 13 34
D W W D W
4 16 8 5 3 35:26 9 29
W D W W L
5 16 6 1 9 26:32 -6 19
L L L W D
6 16 5 4 7 25:33 -8 19
L W L D W
7 16 5 3 8 26:34 -8 18
W L L L L
8 16 4 4 8 26:34 -8 16
L D L W D
9 16 4 3 9 24:32 -8 15
D D W L L
10 16 4 3 9 29:41 -12 15
L L D W L
11 16 2 7 7 20:31 -11 13
D D W D D
12 16 3 3 10 17:42 -25 12
D W L D L