ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: G. F. Robertsson
IA Akranes
Match Timeline
Valur Reykjavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
7'
B. Berndsen ↔ J. Vall
IA Akranes
40'
V. Jonsson
IA Akranes
🟨
50'
J. Palsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
64'
O. Stephensen
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
66'
K. Arnarsson ↔ I. Stole
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
66'
M. Nakkim ↔ M. Veldman
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
67'
O. Stephensen ↔ J. Jonsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
68'
G. Thorarinsson
IA Akranes
🔄
73'
O. Stefansson ↔ S. Thorsteinsson
IA Akranes
🟨
75'
T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
75'
A. Skoglund
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
81'
B. Antonsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
84'
B. Bodvarsson
IA Akranes
🔄
84'
G. Thorarinsson ↔ R. Sigurjonsson
IA Akranes
🟨
86'
L. Heimisson
Valur Reykjavik

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds 3.06
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.34
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.8%
3.06
BTTS Yes
86%
1.36
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.34
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.01
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
IA Akranes Win 22.5%
Draw 15.8%
Valur Reykjavik Win 61.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
IA Akranes1.68
Valur Reykjavik1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
IA Akranes IA Akranes
WWDLW
12 GF / 16 GA
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
WLDWL
19 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
6
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IA Akranes IA Akranes 9 matches
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 10 matches
IA Akranes Statistic Valur Reykjavik
3 Wins 5
3 Draws 0
3 Losses 5
12 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 22
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 2.2
6 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valur Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Valur Reykjavik arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Valur Reykjavik.

IA Akranes Analysis

IA Akranes are currently 6 in the standings with 12 points from 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:16 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. P. Ellertsson (6 goals), V. Jonsson (3 goals), G. Eyjolfsson (1 goals), with creative support from G. Thorarinsson (3 assists), H. Haraldsson (2 assists), J. Vall (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Valur Reykjavik Analysis

Valur Reykjavik approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 15 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats with a 19:22 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Haraldsson (5 goals), A. Palsson (3 goals), D. Gardarson (2 goals), with creative support from T. Haraldsson (5 assists), L. Heimisson (3 assists), A. Palsson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, IA Akranes won 4 times, Valur Reykjavik won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:36 from IA Akranes's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
H2H summary: IA Akranes wins 4, draws 3, Valur Reykjavik wins 8

Lineups

Valur Reykjavik
Formation
IA Akranes
F. Schram
F. Schram
J. Palsson
J. Palsson
M. Nakkim
M. Nakkim
H. Eyjolfsson
H. Eyjolfsson
O. Stephensen
O. Stephensen
S. Fridjonsson
S. Fridjonsson
B. Antonsson
B. Antonsson
K. Arnarsson
K. Arnarsson
A. Skoglund
A. Skoglund
L. Heimisson
L. Heimisson
T. Haraldsson
T. Haraldsson
J. S. Simonarson
J. S. Simonarson
G. E. Gislason J.
G. E. Gislason J.
E. T. Sandberg
E. T. Sandberg
B. Berndsen
B. Berndsen
B. Bodvarsson
B. Bodvarsson
M. P. Ellertsson
M. P. Ellertsson
G. Thorarinsson
G. Thorarinsson
H. Haraldsson
H. Haraldsson
O. Stefansson
O. Stefansson
G. Eyjolfsson
G. Eyjolfsson
V. Jonsson
V. Jonsson
Valur Reykjavik 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
18
F. Schram
21
J. Palsson
🟨 50'
4
M. Nakkim
↓ 66'
15
H. Eyjolfsson
66
O. Stephensen
↓ 67' 🟨 64'
28
S. Fridjonsson
6
B. Antonsson
🟨 81'
5
K. Arnarsson
↓ 66'
14
A. Skoglund
🟨 75'
17
L. Heimisson
🟨 86'
12
T. Haraldsson
🟨 75'
Substitutes
25
S. Agustsson
11
I. Stole
↑ 66'
24
M. Veldman
↑ 66'
23
A. Palsson
8
J. Jonsson
↑ 67'
13
K. Haagensen
27
P. Eiriksson
16
L. Kristjansson
30
G. Heiddalur
IA Akranes 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
37
J. S. Simonarson
66
G. E. Gislason J.
13
E. T. Sandberg
5
B. Berndsen
↓ 7'
21
B. Bodvarsson
🟨 84'
25
M. P. Ellertsson
8
G. Thorarinsson
↓ 84' 🟨 68'
7
H. Haraldsson
22
O. Stefansson
↓ 73'
11
G. Eyjolfsson
9
V. Jonsson
⚽ 40'
Substitutes
31
I. Eidem
16
R. Sigurjonsson
↑ 84'
17
G. Unnarsson
20
I. Gudjonsson
15
G. Gunnarsson
28
D. Grzegorzsson
3
J. Vall
↑ 7'
10
S. Thorsteinsson
↑ 73'
35
A. Zumbergs
Last matches: IA Akranes
29.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
FH hafnarfjordur
1
0
W
21.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
2
D
17.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
2
1
W
08.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
L
03.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
2
1
W
27.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
4
L
22.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KA Akureyri
1
1
D
17.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Breidablik
0
1
L
12.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Fram Reykjavik
3
3
D
Last matches: Valur Reykjavik
31.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
5
L
26.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
1
0
W
17.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Breidablik
3
2
W
08.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
3
L
02.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
1
4
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
4
2
W
23.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
FH hafnarfjordur
3
0
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
1
W
12.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Thor Akureyri
1
2
L
31.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
L
24.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
17.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Flora Tallinn
2
1
W
10.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Flora Tallinn
3
0
W
H2H: IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik
16.06.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
W
26.02.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
W
05.08.25
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
2
2
D
10.05.25
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
6
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
1
D
26.10.24
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
6
1
L
28.06.24
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
3
2
W
07.04.24
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
2
0
L
20.03.24
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
1
1
D
18.02.23
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
0
2
L
08.08.22
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
2
L
11.05.22
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
4
0
L
17.07.21
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
W
30.04.21
H2H
Valur Reykjavik
IA Akranes
2
0
L
17.09.20
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
2
4
L
Last matches: IA Akranes
21.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
2
D
08.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
L
22.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KA Akureyri
1
1
D
H2H at home: IA Akranes
16.06.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
W
26.02.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
W
05.08.25
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
2
2
D
15.02.25
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
1
D
28.06.24
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
3
2
W
18.02.23
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
0
2
L
08.08.22
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
2
L
17.07.21
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
W
17.09.20
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
2
4
L
Last matches: Valur Reykjavik
26.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KR Reykjavik
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
KA Akureyri
1
0
W
08.05.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Fram Reykjavik
2
3
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Valur Reykjavik
Stjarnan
4
2
W
24.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
17.07.25
UEF
Valur Reykjavik
Flora Tallinn
2
1
W
H2H away: Valur Reykjavik
16.06.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
L
26.02.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
L
05.08.25
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
2
2
D
15.02.25
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
1
D
28.06.24
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
3
2
L
18.02.23
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
0
2
W
08.08.22
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
2
W
17.07.21
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
L
17.09.20
H2H
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
2
4
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.06
Draw 4.06
Home 2.09
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.37
Draw 2.75
Home 2.53
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.34
Over 3.0 1.49
Over 3.25 1.67
Over 3.5 1.85
Over 3.75 2.04
Over 4.0 2.32
Over 4.5 2.81
Over 5.5 4.82
Under 1.5 7.01
Under 2.5 3.23
Under 3.0 2.65
Under 3.25 2.23
Under 3.5 1.99
Under 3.75 1.80
Under 4.0 1.61
Under 4.5 1.43
Under 5.5 1.18
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 3.75
Home 2.05
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.60
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 3.00
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.36
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 4.5 3.00
Over 5.5 4.50
Over 6.5 8.00
Over 7.5 11.00
Over 8.5 17.00
Over 9.5 21.00
Under 0.5 13.00
Under 1.5 6.50
Under 2.5 3.00
Under 3.5 1.83
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 5.5 1.17
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Under 9.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.98
Draw 3.85
Home 2.09
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.45
Home 2.51
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.06
Draw 2.96
Home 2.29
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.5 1.04
Over 1.75 1.05
Over 2.0 1.07
Over 2.25 1.17
Over 2.5 1.28
Over 2.75 1.35
Over 3.0 1.43
Over 3.25 1.65
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 3.75 1.96
Over 4.0 2.26
Over 4.25 2.48
Over 4.5 2.74
Over 4.75 3.20
Over 5.0 4.10
Over 5.25 4.40
Over 5.5 4.75
Over 6.0 8.10
Over 6.5 8.00
Over 7.5 11.00
Over 8.5 17.00
Under 0.5 17.50
Under 1.0 13.00
Under 1.5 6.95
Under 1.75 6.45
Under 2.0 5.95
Under 2.25 3.94
Under 2.5 3.08
Under 2.75 2.82
Under 3.0 2.52
Under 3.25 2.19
Under 3.5 1.93
Under 3.75 1.71
Under 4.0 1.53
Under 4.25 1.42
Under 4.5 1.35
Under 4.75 1.26
Under 5.0 1.16
Under 5.25 1.14
Under 5.5 1.12
Under 6.0 1.02
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.85
Draw 3.60
Home 2.08
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 2.60
Home 2.45
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.90
Draw 2.90
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 2.5 1.34
Over 3.5 1.86
Over 4.5 3.00
Over 5.5 5.00
Under 1.5 5.60
Under 2.5 2.85
Under 3.5 1.78
Under 4.5 1.30
Under 5.5 1.11

Standings

Besta deild 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 34:6 28 28
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 38:23 15 25
W W L D W
3 9 6 2 1 25:16 9 20
W W D W W
4 9 4 3 2 22:15 7 15
L W L D W
5 10 5 0 5 19:22 -3 15
L L W W L
6 9 3 3 3 12:16 -4 12
W D W L W
7 9 3 2 4 12:18 -6 11
L W D W L
8 9 3 1 5 12:15 -3 10
L L W W W
9 10 3 1 6 18:22 -4 10
W L L D L
10 9 2 0 7 7:23 -16 6
L L L L L
11 9 1 2 6 14:23 -9 5
W D L L L
12 9 0 2 7 12:26 -14 2
L L L D L
Championship round
Relegation Round