ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
16.06.2026 19:15
Referee: G. F. Robertsson
IA Akranes
Match Timeline
Valur Reykjavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
7'
B. Berndsen ↔ J. Vall
IA Akranes
40'
V. Jonsson
IA Akranes
🟨
50'
J. Palsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
64'
O. Stephensen
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
66'
K. Arnarsson ↔ I. Stole
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
66'
M. Nakkim ↔ M. Veldman
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
67'
O. Stephensen ↔ J. Jonsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
68'
G. Thorarinsson
IA Akranes
🔄
73'
O. Stefansson ↔ S. Thorsteinsson
IA Akranes
🟨
75'
T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
75'
A. Skoglund
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
81'
B. Antonsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
84'
B. Bodvarsson
IA Akranes
🔄
84'
G. Thorarinsson ↔ R. Sigurjonsson
IA Akranes
🟨
86'
L. Heimisson
Valur Reykjavik

IA Akranes vs Valur Reykjavik Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.8%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
IA Akranes Win 22.5%
Draw 15.8%
Valur Reykjavik Win 61.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
IA Akranes1.68
Valur Reykjavik1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
IA Akranes IA Akranes
WWDLW
12 GF / 16 GA
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
WLDWL
19 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.78
Average Goals Conceded
2.2
6
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IA Akranes IA Akranes 9 matches
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 10 matches
IA Akranes Statistic Valur Reykjavik
3 Wins 5
3 Draws 0
3 Losses 5
12 Goals For 19
16 Goals Against 22
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.78 Avg Goals Conceded 2.2
6 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valur Reykjavik having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Valur Reykjavik arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Valur Reykjavik.

IA Akranes Analysis

IA Akranes are currently 6 in the standings with 12 points from 9 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 12:16 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. P. Ellertsson (6 goals), V. Jonsson (3 goals), G. Eyjolfsson (1 goals), with creative support from G. Thorarinsson (3 assists), H. Haraldsson (2 assists), J. Vall (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Valur Reykjavik Analysis

Valur Reykjavik approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 15 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats with a 19:22 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on T. Haraldsson (5 goals), A. Palsson (3 goals), D. Gardarson (2 goals), with creative support from T. Haraldsson (5 assists), L. Heimisson (3 assists), A. Palsson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, IA Akranes won 4 times, Valur Reykjavik won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:36 from IA Akranes's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
H2H summary: IA Akranes wins 4, draws 3, Valur Reykjavik wins 8

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 16 5 1 67:21 46 53
W D D W W
2 22 13 6 3 56:42 14 45
D D W W L
3 22 13 5 4 74:49 25 44
W L D W D
4 22 8 6 8 43:41 2 30
L L L D L
5 22 8 6 8 39:41 -2 30
L W D D W
6 22 8 4 10 33:38 -5 28
L L L W W
7 22 8 4 10 42:50 -8 28
W D W W L
8 22 8 3 11 39:45 -6 27
W W D L D
9 22 4 9 9 27:39 -12 21
W L W D L
10 22 6 3 13 22:50 -28 21
L W W L L
11 22 5 5 12 35:48 -13 20
L W D L D
12 22 4 6 12 32:45 -13 18
L D L L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs