ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.5%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
IA Akranes Win 84.5%
Draw 7.7%
Thor Akureyri Win 7.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
IA Akranes1.97
Thor Akureyri1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
IA Akranes IA Akranes
WWDLW
28 GF / 36 GA
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
WLDWL
21 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.17
2.12
Average Goals Conceded
2.44
12
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IA Akranes IA Akranes 17 matches
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 18 matches
IA Akranes Statistic Thor Akureyri
5 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
8 Losses 10
28 Goals For 21
36 Goals Against 44
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
2.12 Avg Goals Conceded 2.44
12 BTTS Yes 11
14 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Thor Akureyri. IA Akranes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Thor Akureyri having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

IA Akranes Analysis

IA Akranes sit 7 with 18 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 26:34, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Thor Akureyri Analysis

Thor Akureyri are currently 12 in the standings with 12 points from 16 matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 17:42 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, IA Akranes won 7 times, Thor Akureyri won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:6 from IA Akranes's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (92.3%)
Predicted formations: IA Akranes - / Thor Akureyri 4-3-3
H2H summary: IA Akranes wins 7, draws 1, Thor Akureyri wins 0
Last matches: IA Akranes
02.08.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
2
D
26.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
5
1
W
20.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Keflavik
2
5
L
12.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KA Akureyri
2
3
L
04.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Breidablik
1
2
L
29.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Fram Reykjavik
0
2
L
22.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KR Reykjavik
3
5
L
16.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
W
29.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
FH hafnarfjordur
1
0
W
21.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
2
D
17.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
2
1
W
08.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
L
03.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
2
1
W
27.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
4
L
22.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KA Akureyri
1
1
D
17.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Breidablik
0
1
L
12.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Fram Reykjavik
3
3
D
Last matches: Thor Akureyri
04.08.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
1
0
W
27.07.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KA Akureyri
0
0
D
18.07.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
1
W
12.07.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Fram Reykjavik
1
6
L
02.07.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
3
3
D
28.06.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
2
4
L
21.06.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
FH hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
14.06.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
4
L
31.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Stjarnan
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Keflavik
0
1
L
17.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
IA Akranes
1
2
L
08.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
6
L
02.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KA Akureyri
0
1
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
0
4
L
23.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
2
5
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
W
04.03.26
Fri
Thor Akureyri
Moss
3
2
W
H2H: IA Akranes vs Thor Akureyri
17.05.26
H2H
Thor Akureyri
IA Akranes
1
2
W
07.02.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
1
1
D
02.09.23
H2H
Thor Akureyri
IA Akranes
2
3
W
29.06.23
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
4
0
W
12.02.22
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
3
1
W
01.03.19
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
4
1
W
27.07.18
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
5
0
W
10.05.18
H2H
Thor Akureyri
IA Akranes
0
1
W
Last matches: IA Akranes
02.08.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Vikingur Reykjavik
2
2
D
26.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Stjarnan
5
1
W
04.07.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Breidablik
1
2
L
29.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Fram Reykjavik
0
2
L
16.06.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Valur Reykjavik
1
0
W
21.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
2
2
D
08.05.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
Keflavik
1
3
L
22.04.26
Úrv
IA Akranes
KA Akureyri
1
1
D
H2H at home: IA Akranes
07.02.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
1
1
D
29.06.23
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
4
0
W
12.02.22
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
3
1
W
01.03.19
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
4
1
W
27.07.18
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
5
0
W
Last matches: Thor Akureyri
27.07.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KA Akureyri
0
0
D
12.07.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Fram Reykjavik
1
6
L
21.06.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
FH hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
22.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Keflavik
0
1
L
08.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
6
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
0
4
L
17.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
2
5
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
W
H2H away: Thor Akureyri
07.02.26
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
1
1
D
29.06.23
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
4
0
L
12.02.22
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
3
1
L
01.03.19
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
4
1
L
27.07.18
H2H
IA Akranes
Thor Akureyri
5
0
L

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 14 2 1 56:14 42 44
D W L W W
2 17 11 4 2 43:29 14 37
W D W W D
3 16 11 2 3 58:36 22 35
W W D L W
4 17 8 5 4 35:27 8 29
L W D W W
5 17 6 1 10 28:35 -7 19
L L L L W
6 17 5 4 8 28:36 -8 19
D W L L L
7 16 5 4 7 25:33 -8 19
L W L D W
8 17 5 3 9 32:43 -11 18
W L L D W
9 17 4 4 9 27:36 -9 16
L L D L W
10 16 4 3 9 24:32 -8 15
D D W L L
11 17 4 3 10 18:42 -24 15
W D W L D
12 16 2 7 7 20:31 -11 13
D D W D D