ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.7%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
IA Akranes Win 36%
Draw 12.3%
KR Reykjavik Win 51.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
IA Akranes1.93
KR Reykjavik2.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
IA Akranes IA Akranes
WWDLW
36 GF / 40 GA
KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik
WLDWL
72 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
3.6
1.9
Average Goals Conceded
2.25
15
BTTS Yes
18
14
Over 2.5
18
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

IA Akranes IA Akranes 21 matches
KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 20 matches
IA Akranes Statistic KR Reykjavik
7 Wins 13
6 Draws 4
8 Losses 3
36 Goals For 72
40 Goals Against 45
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 3.6
1.9 Avg Goals Conceded 2.25
15 BTTS Yes 18
18 Over 1.5 20
14 Over 2.5 18
11 Over 3.5 18
3 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around KR Reykjavik's more proactive style and IA Akranes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. KR Reykjavik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 43 points while IA Akranes sit 6 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring KR Reykjavik. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KR Reykjavik having the stronger overall control.

IA Akranes Analysis

So far, IA Akranes have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 26 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 34:38 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

KR Reykjavik Analysis

KR Reykjavik come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 43 points after 20 matches. The return of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 72:45, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, IA Akranes won 3 times, KR Reykjavik won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:44 from IA Akranes's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
H2H summary: IA Akranes wins 3, draws 2, KR Reykjavik wins 10

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 3 1 64:18 46 51
W W D D W
2 21 13 5 3 54:40 14 44
D W W L W
3 20 13 4 3 72:45 27 43
W D W D W
4 21 8 6 7 42:39 3 30
L L D L L
5 21 8 4 9 32:36 -4 28
L W W L W
6 21 7 6 8 36:40 -4 27
D D W W D
7 21 8 3 10 40:48 -8 27
W W L W W
8 21 7 3 11 37:44 -7 24
D L D W L
9 21 4 9 8 27:38 -11 21
W D L W D
10 21 5 3 13 21:50 -29 18
W L L L W
11 21 4 5 12 30:43 -13 17
L L L D L
12 21 4 5 12 33:47 -14 17
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs