BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Humaitá
Match Timeline
Araguaína
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
Thalyson Coimbra
Araguaína
20'
Ailton
Araguaína
31'
G. Viana Pinheiro Rodrigues
Araguaína
68'
Alan Calbergue
Araguaína
72'
Alan Calbergue
Araguaína
82'
L. Andre
Araguaína
90'
L. Neto
Araguaína

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 95.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 18.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
95.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
18.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Humaitá Win 4.4%
Draw 0%
Araguaína Win 95.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Humaitá0.56
Araguaína2.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Humaitá Humaitá
WWDLW
2 GF / 18 GA
Araguaína Araguaína
WLDWL
12 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.4
Average Goals Scored
2.4
3.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.8
2
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Humaitá Humaitá 5 matches
Araguaína Araguaína 5 matches
Humaitá Statistic Araguaína
0 Wins 3
0 Draws 2
5 Losses 0
2 Goals For 12
18 Goals Against 4
0.4 Avg Goals Scored 2.4
3.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.8
2 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Araguaína's more proactive style and Humaitá's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Araguaína. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Araguaína having the stronger overall control. Humaitá have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Araguaína carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 11 points while Humaitá sit 6 on 0, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Humaitá Analysis

Humaitá sit 6 with 0 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 2:18, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Erick Silva (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Araguaína Analysis

Araguaína approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 11 points after 5 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with a 12:4 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on G. Viana Pinheiro Rodrigues (3 goals), Alan Calbergue (2 goals), Ailton (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Humaitá won 0 times, Araguaína won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:13 from Humaitá's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 6.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Humaitá wins 0, draws 0, Araguaína wins 2
Last matches: Humaitá
14.06.26
Ser
Humaitá
Porto Velho
0
13
L
31.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
0
4
L
23.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Guaporé
0
4
L
16.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Galvez
2
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Araguaína
0
6
L
26.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Galvez
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Guaporé
1
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Porto Velho
1
5
L
27.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Tuna Luso
0
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manaus FC
1
2
L
12.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
1
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Trem
2
4
L
28.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
GAS
1
2
L
15.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manauara
2
2
D
07.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Águia de Marabá
0
6
L
01.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Águia de Marabá
1
3
L
24.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manauara
0
5
L
18.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
GAS
2
4
L
14.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
Trem
1
5
L
Last matches: Araguaína
28.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Nacional AM
0
0
D
21.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Nacional AM
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Galvez
9
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Guaporé
2
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Porto Velho
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Independência
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Humaitá
6
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Independência
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Porto Velho
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Guaporé
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Galvez
2
1
W
H2H: Humaitá vs Araguaína
10.05.26
H2H
Humaitá
Araguaína
0
7
L
03.05.26
H2H
Araguaína
Humaitá
6
0
L
Last matches: Humaitá
31.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
0
4
L
23.05.26
Ser
Humaitá
Guaporé
0
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Galvez
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Humaitá
Porto Velho
1
5
L
20.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manaus FC
1
2
L
06.07.25
Ser
Humaitá
Trem
2
4
L
15.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Manauara
2
2
D
01.06.25
Ser
Humaitá
Águia de Marabá
1
3
L
18.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
GAS
2
4
L
04.05.25
Ser
Humaitá
Independência
1
3
L
19.04.25
Ser
Humaitá
Tuna Luso
0
3
L
H2H at home: Humaitá
10.05.26
H2H
Humaitá
Araguaína
0
7
L
Last matches: Araguaína
28.06.26
Ser
Araguaína
Nacional AM
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Guaporé
2
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Araguaína
Independência
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Porto Velho
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Araguaína
Galvez
2
1
W
H2H away: Araguaína
10.05.26
H2H
Humaitá
Araguaína
0
7
W

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)