ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
MKM Stadium
Referee: L. Doughty
Hull City
Match Timeline
Watford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Stephen Mfuni
Watford
🟨
45+1'
Jeremy Ngakia
Watford
🔄
61'
A. Hadziahmetovic ↔ J. Lundstram
Hull City
🔄
61'
K. Dowell ↔ L. Koumas
Hull City
🔄
66'
S. Mfuni ↔ K. Keben
Watford
🔄
66'
J. Ngakia ↔ J. Petris
Watford
🟨
72'
Mamadou Doumbia
Watford
🟨
73'
Lewie Coyle
Hull City
🔄
75'
J. Gelhardt ↔ R. Giles
Hull City
🔄
75'
M. Jacob ↔ L. Millar
Hull City
🔄
75'
M. Doumbia ↔ L. Kjerrumgaard
Watford
🔄
75'
G. Chakvetadze ↔ K. Baah
Watford
🟨
79'
Ryan Giles
Hull City
🟨
82'
John Lundstram
Hull City
🔄
82'
Y. Hirakawa ↔ K. Joseph
Hull City
🟨
87'
Oliver McBurnie
Hull City
🔄
90+4'
O. Maamma ↔ T. Ince
Watford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Hull City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Watford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hull City1.49
Watford1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hull City Hull City
WWDLW
48 GF / 40 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
40 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.6
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
18
BTTS Yes
20
19
Over 2.5
15
4.3
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hull City Hull City 30 matches
Watford Watford 30 matches
Hull City Statistic Watford
16 Wins 11
6 Draws 10
8 Losses 9
48 Goals For 40
40 Goals Against 40
1.6 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
18 BTTS Yes 20
23 Over 1.5 24
19 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 6
4.3 Shots On Goal 4.53
11.6 Total Shots 13.63
4.67 Corners 4.67
45.3% Ball Possession 51.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Hull City won 4 times, Watford won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:12 from Hull City's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Hull City 4-2-3-1 / Watford 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hull City wins 4, draws 5, Watford wins 5
Stats
Hull City Hull City
Watford Watford
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
7
6 Corner Kicks 5
12 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 1
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 7
0 Blocked Shots 7
5 Shots insidebox 8
1 Shots outsidebox 8
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
330 Total passes 496
219 Passes accurate 395
0.30 expected_goals 0.93
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Hull City
Formation
Watford
I. Pandur
I. Pandur
L. Coyle
L. Coyle
J. Egan
J. Egan
C. Hughes
C. Hughes
M. Jacob
M. Jacob
R. Slater
R. Slater
A. Hadziahmetovic
A. Hadziahmetovic
J. Gelhardt
J. Gelhardt
K. Dowell
K. Dowell
Y. Hirakawa
Y. Hirakawa
O. McBurnie
O. McBurnie
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Ngakia
J. Ngakia
J. Abankwah
J. Abankwah
S. Mfuni
S. Mfuni
M. Bola
M. Bola
N. Mendy
N. Mendy
I. Louza
I. Louza
O. Maamma
O. Maamma
E. Kayembe
E. Kayembe
G. Chakvetadze
G. Chakvetadze
M. Doumbia
M. Doumbia
Hull City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
I. Pandur
G
2
L. Coyle
🟨 73'
D
15
J. Egan
D
4
C. Hughes
D
16
M. Jacob
↓ 75'
D
27
R. Slater
M
20
A. Hadziahmetovic
↓ 61'
M
21
J. Gelhardt
↓ 75'
M
26
K. Dowell
↓ 61'
M
13
Y. Hirakawa
↓ 82'
M
9
O. McBurnie
🟨 87'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Phillips
G
3
R. Giles
↑ 75' 🟨 79'
D
5
J. Lundstram
↑ 61' 🟨 82'
M
7
L. Millar
↑ 75'
F
22
K. Joseph
↑ 82'
F
23
A. Famewo
D
36
L. Koumas
↑ 61'
F
37
P. McNair
D
58
C. McCarthy
D
Watford 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
2
J. Ngakia
↓ 66' 🟨 45+1'
D
25
J. Abankwah
D
21
S. Mfuni
↓ 66' 🟨 34'
D
16
M. Bola
D
23
N. Mendy
M
10
I. Louza
M
42
O. Maamma
↓ 90+4'
M
39
E. Kayembe
M
8
G. Chakvetadze
↓ 75'
M
20
M. Doumbia
↓ 75' 🟨 72'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
4
K. Keben
↑ 66'
D
7
T. Ince
↑ 90+4'
M
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
↑ 75'
F
18
V. Semedo
F
29
J. Petris
↑ 66'
D
27
F. Mendy
D
34
K. Baah
↑ 75'
F
43
J. Grieves
F
Last matches: Hull City
08.08.26
Fri
Hull City
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Hull City
Kasımpaşa
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Hull City
Rizespor
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Hull City
Konyaspor
3
0
W
23.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
11.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
2
0
W
08.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Norwich
2
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Charlton
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Leicester
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Birmingham
1
1
D
11.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Coventry
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Oxford United
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Hull City
West Brom
0
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Wrexham
2
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
1
3
L
03.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Ipswich
0
1
L
28.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Portsmouth
1
0
W
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
H2H: Hull City vs Watford
03.02.26
H2H
Hull City
Watford
0
0
D
27.09.25
H2H
Watford
Hull City
2
1
L
08.04.25
H2H
Watford
Hull City
1
0
L
11.12.24
H2H
Hull City
Watford
1
1
D
20.04.24
H2H
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
02.12.23
H2H
Hull City
Watford
1
2
L
22.04.23
H2H
Hull City
Watford
1
0
W
11.12.22
H2H
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
22.04.17
H2H
Hull City
Watford
2
0
W
29.10.16
H2H
Watford
Hull City
1
0
L
02.04.13
H2H
Hull City
Watford
0
1
L
08.12.12
H2H
Watford
Hull City
1
2
W
14.04.12
H2H
Watford
Hull City
1
1
D
22.10.11
H2H
Hull City
Watford
3
2
W
Last matches: Hull City
23.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
08.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Norwich
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Birmingham
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Coventry
0
0
D
21.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
1
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Derby
4
2
W
21.02.26
Cha
Hull City
QPR
1
3
L
13.02.26
FA
Hull City
Chelsea
0
4
L
07.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Bristol City
2
3
L
24.01.26
Cha
Hull City
Swansea
2
1
W
11.01.26
FA
Hull City
Blackburn
0
0
D
01.01.26
Cha
Hull City
Stoke City
0
1
L
20.12.25
Cha
Hull City
West Brom
1
0
W
10.12.25
Cha
Hull City
Wrexham
2
0
W
05.12.25
Cha
Hull City
Middlesbrough
1
4
L
25.11.25
Cha
Hull City
Ipswich
0
2
L
08.11.25
Cha
Hull City
Portsmouth
3
2
W
25.10.25
Cha
Hull City
Charlton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Hull City
03.02.26
H2H
Hull City
Watford
0
0
D
11.12.24
H2H
Hull City
Watford
1
1
D
02.12.23
H2H
Hull City
Watford
1
2
L
22.04.23
H2H
Hull City
Watford
1
0
W
22.04.17
H2H
Hull City
Watford
2
0
W
02.04.13
H2H
Hull City
Watford
0
1
L
22.10.11
H2H
Hull City
Watford
3
2
W
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Watford
Coventry
1
3
L
H2H away: Watford
03.02.26
H2H
Hull City
Watford
0
0
D
11.12.24
H2H
Hull City
Watford
1
1
D
02.12.23
H2H
Hull City
Watford
1
2
W
22.04.23
H2H
Hull City
Watford
1
0
L
22.04.17
H2H
Hull City
Watford
2
0
L
02.04.13
H2H
Hull City
Watford
0
1
W
22.10.11
H2H
Hull City
Watford
3
2
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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