ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
MKM Stadium
Referee: J. Smith
Hull City
Match Timeline
Norwich
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Matt Crooks
Hull City
26'
M. Toure · Assist: A. Slimane
Norwich
28'
O. McBurnie
Hull City
🟨
35'
Kellen Fisher
Norwich
🔄
46'
J. Egan ↔ P. McNair
Hull City
🔄
46'
A. Forson ↔ P. Maghoma
Norwich
🔄
46'
A. Ahmed ↔ L. Gibbs
Norwich
🔄
59'
M. Belloumi ↔ K. Dowell
Hull City
🔄
60'
J. Gelhardt ↔ K. Joseph
Hull City
67'
O. McBurnie · Assist: M. Crooks
Hull City
🔄
70'
A. Slimane ↔ S. Field
Norwich
🟨
71'
Kyle Joseph
Hull City
🔄
82'
L. Millar ↔ L. Koumas
Hull City
🔄
82'
M. Toure ↔ M. Kvistgaarden
Norwich
🔄
86'
J. Wright ↔ E. Mundle Smith
Norwich
🔄
87'
M. Crooks ↔ J. Lundstram
Hull City
🟨
90+5'
Paris Maghoma
Norwich

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 10%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88%
-
BTTS BTTS No
10%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hull City Win 45.6%
Draw 12%
Norwich Win 42.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hull City1.36
Norwich1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hull City Hull City
WWDLW
68 GF / 69 GA
Norwich Norwich
WLDWL
70 GF / 59 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
29
BTTS Yes
29
30
Over 2.5
24
4
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hull City Hull City 47 matches
Norwich Norwich 48 matches
Hull City Statistic Norwich
20 Wins 21
11 Draws 8
16 Losses 19
68 Goals For 70
69 Goals Against 59
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
29 BTTS Yes 29
36 Over 1.5 40
30 Over 2.5 24
18 Over 3.5 9
12 Clean Sheets 9
10 Failed To Score 10
4 Shots On Goal 4.71
11.4 Total Shots 12.88
4.74 Corners 5.44
45.6% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Norwich.

Hull City Analysis

So far, Hull City have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 70 points from 45 matches. Their overall return of 20 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses with goals at 68:65 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Oliver McBurnie (15 goals), J. Gelhardt (14 goals), K. Joseph (8 goals), with creative support from R. Giles (8 assists), Oliver McBurnie (7 assists), K. Joseph (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Norwich Analysis

From their first 45 matches, Norwich have collected 65 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. Their overall return of 19 wins, 8 draws, and 18 losses with goals at 62:54 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Makama (10 goals), M. Toure (8 goals), J. Sargent (7 goals), with creative support from M. Nunez (8 assists), K. McLean (4 assists), M. Toure (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with G. Forsyth, T. Springett unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Hull City won 5 times, Norwich won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Hull City's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
Predicted formations: Hull City 4-2-3-1 / Norwich 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Hull City 0, Norwich 2
H2H summary: Hull City wins 5, draws 3, Norwich wins 6
Stats
Hull City Hull City
Norwich Norwich
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
4
1 Corner Kicks 7
10 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
35% Ball Possession 65%
8 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 2
2 Shots off Goal 6
0 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 9
0 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
256 Total passes 481
159 Passes accurate 390
1.82 expected_goals 0.97
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Hull City
Formation
Norwich
I. Pandur
I. Pandur
L. Coyle
L. Coyle
J. Egan
J. Egan
C. Hughes
C. Hughes
R. Giles
R. Giles
R. Slater
R. Slater
M. Crooks
🎯
M. Crooks
M. Belloumi
M. Belloumi
J. Gelhardt
J. Gelhardt
L. Millar
L. Millar
O. McBurnie
⚽ 2
O. McBurnie
V. Kovacevic
V. Kovacevic
J. Stacey
J. Stacey
R. McConville
R. McConville
J. Cordoba
J. Cordoba
K. Fisher
K. Fisher
J. Wright
J. Wright
P. Mattsson
P. Mattsson
A. Forson
A. Forson
A. Slimane
🎯
A. Slimane
A. Ahmed
A. Ahmed
M. Toure
M. Toure
Hull City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
I. Pandur
G
2
L. Coyle
D
15
J. Egan
↓ 46'
D
4
C. Hughes
D
3
R. Giles
D
27
R. Slater
M
25
M. Crooks
🎯 67' ↓ 87' 🟨 -5'
M
10
M. Belloumi
↓ 59'
M
21
J. Gelhardt
↓ 60'
M
7
L. Millar
↓ 82'
M
9
O. McBurnie
⚽ 28' ⚽ 67'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Phillips
G
5
J. Lundstram
↑ 87'
M
37
P. McNair
↑ 46'
D
6
S. Ajayi
D
26
K. Dowell
↑ 59'
M
22
K. Joseph
↑ 60' 🟨 71'
F
24
D. Gyabi
M
36
L. Koumas
↑ 82'
F
13
Y. Hirakawa
F
Norwich 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Kovacevic
G
3
J. Stacey
D
15
R. McConville
D
33
J. Cordoba
D
35
K. Fisher
🟨 35'
D
16
J. Wright
↓ 86'
M
7
P. Mattsson
M
18
A. Forson
↓ 46'
M
20
A. Slimane
🎯 26' ↓ 70'
M
21
A. Ahmed
↓ 46'
M
37
M. Toure
⚽ 26' ↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
32
D. Grimshaw
G
27
J. Schlupp
M
25
P. Maghoma
↑ 46' 🟨 90+5'
M
6
H. Darling
D
42
T. Springett
F
30
M. Kvistgaarden
↑ 82'
F
26
S. Field
↑ 70'
M
8
L. Gibbs
↑ 46'
M
46
E. Mundle Smith
↑ 86'
F
Last matches: Hull City
23.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
11.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
2
0
W
08.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Charlton
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Leicester
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Birmingham
1
1
D
11.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Coventry
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Oxford United
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Hull City
West Brom
0
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Wrexham
2
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
1
3
L
03.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Ipswich
0
1
L
28.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Portsmouth
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Derby
4
2
W
21.02.26
Cha
Hull City
QPR
1
3
L
13.02.26
FA
Hull City
Chelsea
0
4
L
07.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Bristol City
2
3
L
03.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Watford
0
0
D
Last matches: Norwich
25.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Swansea
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Derby
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Bristol City
4
2
W
11.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Ipswich
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Millwall
2
1
W
03.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Portsmouth
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Charlton
1
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Southampton
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Preston
2
0
W
11.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
08.03.26
FA
Norwich
Leeds
0
3
L
28.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Leicester
2
0
W
25.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Birmingham
1
2
L
14.02.26
FA
Norwich
West Brom
3
1
W
10.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Oxford United
3
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Blackburn
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
26.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Coventry
2
1
W
20.01.26
Cha
Norwich
West Brom
5
0
W
H2H: Hull City vs Norwich
02.05.26
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
2
1
W
01.11.25
H2H
Norwich
Hull City
0
2
W
15.02.25
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
1
1
D
05.10.24
H2H
Norwich
Hull City
4
0
L
12.01.24
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
1
2
L
05.08.23
H2H
Norwich
Hull City
2
1
L
14.02.23
H2H
Norwich
Hull City
3
1
L
13.08.22
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
2
1
W
13.03.19
H2H
Norwich
Hull City
3
2
L
27.11.18
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
0
0
D
10.03.18
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
4
3
W
14.10.17
H2H
Norwich
Hull City
1
1
D
18.01.14
H2H
Norwich
Hull City
1
0
L
24.08.13
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
1
0
W
Last matches: Hull City
23.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
08.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
0
0
D
18.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Birmingham
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Coventry
0
0
D
21.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
1
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Derby
4
2
W
21.02.26
Cha
Hull City
QPR
1
3
L
13.02.26
FA
Hull City
Chelsea
0
4
L
07.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Bristol City
2
3
L
03.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Watford
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Hull City
Swansea
2
1
W
11.01.26
FA
Hull City
Blackburn
0
0
D
01.01.26
Cha
Hull City
Stoke City
0
1
L
20.12.25
Cha
Hull City
West Brom
1
0
W
10.12.25
Cha
Hull City
Wrexham
2
0
W
05.12.25
Cha
Hull City
Middlesbrough
1
4
L
25.11.25
Cha
Hull City
Ipswich
0
2
L
08.11.25
Cha
Hull City
Portsmouth
3
2
W
25.10.25
Cha
Hull City
Charlton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Hull City
02.05.26
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
2
1
W
15.02.25
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
1
1
D
12.01.24
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
1
2
L
13.08.22
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
2
1
W
27.11.18
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
0
0
D
10.03.18
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
4
3
W
24.08.13
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
1
0
W
Last matches: Norwich
18.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Bristol City
4
2
W
06.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Millwall
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Charlton
1
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Southampton
0
1
L
08.03.26
FA
Norwich
Leeds
0
3
L
28.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Leicester
2
0
W
10.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Oxford United
3
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
20.01.26
Cha
Norwich
West Brom
5
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Wrexham
2
1
W
01.01.26
Cha
Norwich
QPR
2
1
W
20.12.25
Cha
Norwich
Preston
1
1
D
09.12.25
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Norwich
Watford
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Norwich
Birmingham
1
4
L
05.11.25
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Norwich
Swansea
1
2
L
21.10.25
Cha
Norwich
Derby
0
1
L
05.10.25
Cha
Norwich
Ipswich
1
3
L
27.09.25
Cha
Norwich
Stoke City
1
1
D
H2H away: Norwich
02.05.26
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
2
1
L
15.02.25
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
1
1
D
12.01.24
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
1
2
W
13.08.22
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
2
1
L
27.11.18
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
0
0
D
10.03.18
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
4
3
L
24.08.13
H2H
Hull City
Norwich
1
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Hull City 0 missing
No missing players data
Norwich 2 missing
-
G. Forsyth
Missing Fixture Jumpers knee
OUT
-
T. Springett
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT