Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
78%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
67.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Hull City
Millwall
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Hull City
48 matches
Millwall
47 matches
| Hull City | Statistic | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 24 |
| 11 | Draws | 11 |
| 16 | Losses | 12 |
| 70 | Goals For | 65 |
| 70 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
| 30 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 37 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 31 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 18 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.04 | Shots On Goal | 4.28 |
| 11.33 | Total Shots | 12.94 |
| 4.67 | Corners | 5.66 |
| 45.4% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Millwall have the edge after taking the first leg 3-1, leaving Hull City needing to respond to a 2-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, Hull City had more of the ball in the first leg (56% possession compared to 44%). Hull City were also more accurate in attack, recording 5 shots on target to 4. Hull City also attempted more passes (412 to 329) and completed 294. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Millwall.
Ahead of this knockout test, Hull City arrive from a league campaign that has them 6 with 73 points after 46 matches. With 21 wins, 10 draws, and 15 losses plus a goal ratio of 70:66, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Oliver McBurnie (17 goals), J. Gelhardt (14 goals), K. Joseph (8 goals), with creative support from R. Giles (8 assists), Oliver McBurnie (7 assists), K. Joseph (5 assists), while defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 11 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with E. Matazo, T. Collyer, C. Drameh unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Ahead of this knockout test, Millwall arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 83 points after 46 matches. Their record of 24 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats with goals at 64:49 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on F. Azeez (11 goals), Josh Coburn (9 goals), M. Ivanovic (9 goals), with creative support from F. Azeez (7 assists), T. Crama (6 assists), T. Ballo (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Jensen, D. Kelly, M. Luongo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hull City won 7 times, Millwall won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:12 from Hull City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Hull City
1
2
5
6
0
7
Lineups
Hull City
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Millwall
Hull City
Norwich
Hull City
Charlton
Hull City
Leicester
Hull City
Birmingham
Hull City
Sheffield Utd
Hull City
Coventry
Hull City
Oxford United
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City
West Brom
Hull City
Wrexham
Hull City
Millwall
Hull City
Ipswich
Hull City
Portsmouth
Hull City
Derby
Hull City
QPR
Hull City
Chelsea
Hull City
Bristol City
Hull City
Watford
Millwall
Stevenage
Millwall
Gillingham
Millwall
Eldense
Millwall
FC Andorra
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Oxford United
Millwall
Leicester
Millwall
Stoke City
Millwall
QPR
Millwall
West Brom
Millwall
Norwich
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Ipswich
Millwall
Blackburn
Millwall
Derby
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Preston
Millwall
Birmingham
Millwall
Portsmouth
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Norwich
Hull City
Birmingham
Hull City
Coventry
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
Hull City
Millwall
Hull City
Derby
Hull City
QPR
Hull City
Chelsea
Hull City
Bristol City
Hull City
Watford
Hull City
Swansea
Hull City
Blackburn
Hull City
Stoke City
Hull City
West Brom
Hull City
Wrexham
Hull City
Middlesbrough
Hull City
Ipswich
Hull City
Portsmouth
Hull City
Charlton
Millwall
Stevenage
Millwall
Gillingham
Millwall
Eldense
Millwall
FC Andorra
Millwall
Leicester
Millwall
Stoke City
Millwall
West Brom
Millwall
Middlesbrough
Millwall
Ipswich
Millwall
Hull City
Millwall
Preston
Millwall
Sheffield Wednesday
Millwall
Wrexham
Millwall
Coventry
Millwall
Watford
Millwall
Burnley
Millwall
Southampton
Millwall
Blackburn
Millwall
Derby
Millwall
Bristol City
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Millwall
Away
|
46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 |
Hull City
Home
|
46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|