ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
24.02.2026 19:45
MKM Stadium
Referee: A. Herczeg
Hull City
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Patrick Agyemang
Derby
⚽
9'
C. Elder
Hull City
⚽
17'
C. Forsyth
Derby
⚽
39'
O. McBurnie · Assist: J. Gelhardt
Hull City
⚽
42'
S. Szmodics
Derby
🔄
46'
C. Elder ↔ J. Ward
Derby
🔄
53'
R. Giles ↔ C. Drameh
Hull City
🟨
60'
Lewie Coyle
Hull City
🟨
60'
Joe Ward
Derby
⚽
75'
J. Egan · Assist: O. McBurnie
Hull City
🔄
79'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ C. Morris
Derby
🔄
79'
D. Ozoh ↔ R. Brewster
Derby
🔄
82'
J. Gelhardt ↔ L. Koumas
Hull City
🔄
82'
L. Millar ↔ P. McNair
Hull City
⚽
84'
L. Koumas · Assist: K. Joseph
Hull City
🔄
89'
O. McBurnie ↔ K. Dowell
Hull City
🟨
90+5'
Kyle Joseph
Hull City

Hull City vs Derby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Hull City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hull City1.42
Derby1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hull City Hull City
WWDLW
51 GF / 50 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
48 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
20
BTTS Yes
23
22
Over 2.5
17
4.24
Shots on Goal
3.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hull City Hull City 34 matches
Derby Derby 34 matches
Hull City Statistic Derby
16 Wins 13
7 Draws 9
11 Losses 12
51 Goals For 48
50 Goals Against 44
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
20 BTTS Yes 23
26 Over 1.5 27
22 Over 2.5 17
14 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 3
4.24 Shots On Goal 3.26
11.41 Total Shots 9.82
4.79 Corners 4.74
45.6% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hull City won 3 times, Derby won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:26 from Hull City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Hull City 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hull City wins 3, draws 2, Derby wins 10

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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