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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Hull City
FT
4 - 2
Derby
MKM Stadium
Referee: A. Herczeg
Hull City
Match Timeline
Derby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Patrick Agyemang
Derby
⚽
9'
C. Elder
Hull City
⚽
17'
C. Forsyth
Derby
⚽
39'
O. McBurnie · Assist: J. Gelhardt
Hull City
⚽
42'
S. Szmodics
Derby
🔄
46'
C. Elder ↔ J. Ward
Derby
🔄
53'
R. Giles ↔ C. Drameh
Hull City
🟨
60'
Lewie Coyle
Hull City
🟨
60'
Joe Ward
Derby
⚽
75'
J. Egan · Assist: O. McBurnie
Hull City
🔄
79'
B. Brereton Diaz ↔ C. Morris
Derby
🔄
79'
D. Ozoh ↔ R. Brewster
Derby
🔄
82'
J. Gelhardt ↔ L. Koumas
Hull City
🔄
82'
L. Millar ↔ P. McNair
Hull City
⚽
84'
L. Koumas · Assist: K. Joseph
Hull City
🔄
89'
O. McBurnie ↔ K. Dowell
Hull City
🟨
90+5'
Kyle Joseph
Hull City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Hull City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hull City1.42
Derby1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hull City Hull City
WWDLW
51 GF / 50 GA
Derby Derby
WLDWL
48 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
20
BTTS Yes
23
22
Over 2.5
17
4.24
Shots on Goal
3.26

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hull City Hull City 34 matches
Derby Derby 34 matches
Hull City Statistic Derby
16 Wins 13
7 Draws 9
11 Losses 12
51 Goals For 48
50 Goals Against 44
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
20 BTTS Yes 23
26 Over 1.5 27
22 Over 2.5 17
14 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 3
4.24 Shots On Goal 3.26
11.41 Total Shots 9.82
4.79 Corners 4.74
45.6% Ball Possession 42.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hull City won 3 times, Derby won 10 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:26 from Hull City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Hull City 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hull City wins 3, draws 2, Derby wins 10
Stats
Hull City Hull City
Derby Derby
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
10
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
7 Corner Kicks 3
19 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 0
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 10
3 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 14
3 Shots outsidebox 4
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
277 Total passes 292
161 Passes accurate 174
0.58 expected_goals 3.38
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Hull City
Formation
Derby
I. Pandur
I. Pandur
L. Coyle
L. Coyle
C. Hughes
C. Hughes
J. Egan
⚽
J. Egan
R. Giles
↓
R. Giles
A. Hadziahmetovic
A. Hadziahmetovic
R. Slater
R. Slater
K. Joseph
🎯
K. Joseph
J. Gelhardt
🎯 ↓
J. Gelhardt
L. Millar
↓
L. Millar
O. McBurnie
⚽ 🎯 ↓
O. McBurnie
J. Vickers
J. Vickers
C. Elder
⚽ ↓
C. Elder
M. Clarke
M. Clarke
C. Forsyth
⚽
C. Forsyth
D. Murkin
D. Murkin
D. Ozoh
↓
D. Ozoh
L. Travis
L. Travis
B. Brereton Diaz
↓
B. Brereton Diaz
S. Szmodics
⚽
S. Szmodics
B. Clark
B. Clark
P. Agyemang
P. Agyemang
Hull City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
I. Pandur
G
2
L. Coyle
🟨 60'
D
4
C. Hughes
D
15
J. Egan
⚽ 75'
D
3
R. Giles
↓ 53'
D
20
A. Hadziahmetovic
M
27
R. Slater
M
22
K. Joseph
🎯 84' 🟨 90+5'
M
21
J. Gelhardt
🎯 39' ↓ 82'
M
7
L. Millar
↓ 82'
M
9
O. McBurnie
⚽ 39' 🎯 75' ↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
12
D. Phillips
G
5
J. Lundstram
M
18
C. Drameh
↑ 53'
D
23
A. Famewo
D
25
M. Crooks
M
26
K. Dowell
↑ 89'
M
36
L. Koumas
⚽ 84' ↑ 82'
F
37
P. McNair
↑ 82'
D
58
C. McCarthy
D
Derby 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
J. Vickers
G
20
C. Elder
⚽ 9' ↓ 46'
D
5
M. Clarke
D
3
C. Forsyth
⚽ 17'
D
2
D. Murkin
D
18
D. Ozoh
↓ 79'
M
27
L. Travis
M
25
B. Brereton Diaz
↓ 79'
M
19
S. Szmodics
⚽ 42'
M
42
B. Clark
M
7
P. Agyemang
🟨 2'
F
Substitutes
12
R. O'Donnell
G
9
C. Morris
↑ 79'
F
10
R. Brewster
↑ 79'
F
23
J. Ward
↑ 46' 🟨 60'
M
28
D. Sanderson
D
29
O. Fraulo
M
37
O. Eames
M
44
I. Gordon
D
54
C. Allen
Last matches: Hull City
08.08.26
Fri
Hull City
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Hull City
Kasımpaşa
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Hull City
Rizespor
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Hull City
Konyaspor
3
0
W
23.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
11.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
2
0
W
08.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Norwich
2
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Charlton
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Leicester
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Birmingham
1
1
D
11.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Coventry
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Oxford United
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Hull City
West Brom
0
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Wrexham
2
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
1
3
L
03.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Ipswich
0
1
L
28.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Portsmouth
1
0
W
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
28.07.26
Fri
Derby
Valencia
1
2
L
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
H2H: Hull City vs Derby
24.02.26
H2H
Hull City
Derby
4
2
W
04.11.25
H2H
Derby
Hull City
2
1
L
26.04.25
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
1
L
26.10.24
H2H
Derby
Hull City
1
1
D
08.02.22
H2H
Derby
Hull City
3
1
L
18.08.21
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
1
L
18.01.20
H2H
Derby
Hull City
1
0
L
26.10.19
H2H
Hull City
Derby
2
0
W
09.02.19
H2H
Derby
Hull City
2
0
L
01.09.18
H2H
Hull City
Derby
1
2
L
28.08.18
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
4
L
26.12.17
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
0
D
08.09.17
H2H
Derby
Hull City
5
0
L
17.05.16
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
2
L
14.05.16
H2H
Derby
Hull City
0
3
W
Last matches: Hull City
23.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
08.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Hull City
Norwich
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Birmingham
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Hull City
Coventry
0
0
D
21.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Hull City
Millwall
1
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Hull City
QPR
1
3
L
13.02.26
FA
Hull City
Chelsea
0
4
L
07.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Bristol City
2
3
L
03.02.26
Cha
Hull City
Watford
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Hull City
Swansea
2
1
W
11.01.26
FA
Hull City
Blackburn
0
0
D
01.01.26
Cha
Hull City
Stoke City
0
1
L
20.12.25
Cha
Hull City
West Brom
1
0
W
10.12.25
Cha
Hull City
Wrexham
2
0
W
05.12.25
Cha
Hull City
Middlesbrough
1
4
L
25.11.25
Cha
Hull City
Ipswich
0
2
L
08.11.25
Cha
Hull City
Portsmouth
3
2
W
25.10.25
Cha
Hull City
Charlton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Hull City
24.02.26
H2H
Hull City
Derby
4
2
W
26.04.25
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
1
L
18.08.21
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
1
L
26.10.19
H2H
Hull City
Derby
2
0
W
01.09.18
H2H
Hull City
Derby
1
2
L
28.08.18
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
4
L
26.12.17
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
0
D
17.05.16
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
2
L
Last matches: Derby
04.08.26
Fri
Derby
Rotherham
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Derby
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.07.26
Fri
Derby
Mansfield Town
3
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
H2H away: Derby
24.02.26
H2H
Hull City
Derby
4
2
L
26.04.25
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
1
W
18.08.21
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
1
W
26.10.19
H2H
Hull City
Derby
2
0
L
01.09.18
H2H
Hull City
Derby
1
2
W
28.08.18
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
4
W
26.12.17
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
0
D
17.05.16
H2H
Hull City
Derby
0
2
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City Home
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby Away
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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