Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
83.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
89.5%
|
- |
Houston Dynamo
San Diego
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Houston Dynamo
14 matches
San Diego
13 matches
| Houston Dynamo | Statistic | San Diego |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 6 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 5 |
| 27 | Goals For | 25 |
| 25 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.93 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.92 |
| 1.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.69 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.71 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 14.57 | Total Shots | 10.25 |
| 5.86 | Corners | 4.83 |
| 42.7% | Ball Possession | 57.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and San Diego's more proactive style and Houston Dynamo's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. San Diego seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward San Diego. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Houston Dynamo expected to line up in 3-4-3 and San Diego in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Diego having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
With 9 points from 7 games and a place of 10, Houston Dynamo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 10:16, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Guilherme (5 goals), Felipe Andrade (2 goals), L. Ennali (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (4 assists), J. McGlynn (2 assists), M. Bogusz (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without Lucas Halter, J. McGlynn, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
San Diego sit 9 with 11 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 14:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Ingvartsen (5 goals), A. Dreyer (4 goals), O. Valakari (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (3 assists), M. Ingvartsen (2 assists), O. Valakari (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Reyes, A. Alvarado Jr, K. Sargeant unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Houston Dynamo won 2 times, San Diego won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:7 from Houston Dynamo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.67 goals per game.
Houston Dynamo
3
1
6
4
2
4
Lineups
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CD Olimpia
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FC Cincinnati
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Austin
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Real Salt Lake
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DC United
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America de Cali
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CD Olimpia
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Vancouver Whitecaps
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Colorado Rapids
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Seattle Sounders
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Portland Timbers
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Los Angeles FC
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Chicago Fire
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New York Red Bulls
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Atlanta United FC
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San Antonio
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FC Cincinnati
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Louisville City
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Colorado Rapids
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Seattle Sounders
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Real Salt Lake
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San Jose Earthquakes
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Toluca
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FC Dallas
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Sporting Kansas City
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U.N.A.M. - Pumas