🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
10.09.2026 00:30
Shell Energy Stadium
Referee: Ramy Touchan, USA
Houston Dynamo
Match Timeline
Real Salt Lake
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Diego Luna
Real Salt Lake
🟨
33'
Juan Jose Arias
Real Salt Lake
🔄
46'
L. Engel ↔ P. Quinton
Real Salt Lake
🟨
54'
Héctor Herrera
Houston Dynamo
57'
Guilherme · Assist: L. Ennali
Houston Dynamo
🟨
67'
Colin Guske
Real Salt Lake
🔄
69'
A. Bouzat ↔ D. Samassekou
Houston Dynamo
🔄
70'
D. Yedlin ↔ A. Katranis
Real Salt Lake
🔄
70'
J. Shokalook ↔ S. Lobjanidze
Real Salt Lake
🔄
70'
D. Luna ↔ Lineker Rodrigues
Real Salt Lake
76'
S. Lobjanidze · Assist: Lineker Rodrigues
Real Salt Lake
🔄
80'
H. Herrera ↔ M. Arana
Houston Dynamo
🔄
80'
I. Aliyu ↔ D. McGuire
Houston Dynamo
87'
M. Bogusz · Assist: Guilherme
Houston Dynamo
🟨
90+5'
Philip Quinton
Real Salt Lake
🔄
90+1'
L. Ennali ↔ D. Holmes
Houston Dynamo
🔄
90+1'
Guilherme ↔ N. Markanich
Houston Dynamo
🔄
90+1'
C. Guske ↔ O. Anderson
Real Salt Lake

Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85%
Odds 1.84
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85%
1.84
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.79
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.1%
1.24
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.75
Probability Distribution
Houston Dynamo Win 85%
Draw 5.7%
Real Salt Lake Win 9.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Houston Dynamo1.59
Real Salt Lake1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
WWDLW
51 GF / 36 GA
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
WLDWL
46 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.59
Average Goals Scored
1.77
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
15
BTTS Yes
21
14
Over 2.5
18
4.52
Shots on Goal
5.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 32 matches
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 26 matches
Houston Dynamo Statistic Real Salt Lake
19 Wins 10
6 Draws 7
7 Losses 9
51 Goals For 46
36 Goals Against 41
1.59 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
15 BTTS Yes 21
23 Over 1.5 24
14 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 10
13 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 3
4.52 Shots On Goal 5.45
13.26 Total Shots 14.36
4.39 Corners 4.68
47% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Real Salt Lake. Real Salt Lake arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Houston Dynamo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Real Salt Lake in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Salt Lake having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Houston Dynamo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 39 points compared to Real Salt Lake in 10 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Houston Dynamo Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 39 points from 22 games, Houston Dynamo bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 12 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 30:26, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Guilherme (6 goals), Mateusz Bogusz (3 goals), Lawrence Ennali (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Lawrence Ennali (2 assists), Jack McGlynn (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Real Salt Lake Analysis

Real Salt Lake sit 10 with 28 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 34:33 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Sergi Solans (4 goals), Zavier Gozo (4 goals), Diego Luna (4 goals), with creative support from Sergi Solans (3 assists), Zavier Gozo (2 assists), Diego Luna (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Houston Dynamo won 5 times, Real Salt Lake won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:19 from Houston Dynamo's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Houston Dynamo 4-2-3-1 / Real Salt Lake 3-4-3
Missing players: Houston Dynamo 4, Real Salt Lake 8
H2H summary: Houston Dynamo wins 5, draws 4, Real Salt Lake wins 6

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 4 6 56:23 33 49
W L W L W
2 26 13 5 8 34:30 4 44
D L W D D
3 26 12 8 6 45:36 9 44
W W D W D
4 26 12 8 6 49:42 7 44
D W W W D
5 26 12 6 8 46:38 8 42
D W W D D
6 27 11 8 8 43:29 14 41
D L W D D
7 26 11 3 12 36:35 1 36
D W D L W
8 27 8 9 10 34:42 -8 33
W D L W L
9 26 9 5 12 47:48 -1 32
L L D W L
10 26 8 7 11 44:44 0 31
D L L L W
11 26 7 9 10 32:44 -12 30
D W D D W
12 25 8 5 12 37:42 -5 29
L L L D L
13 24 7 8 9 28:33 -5 29
D D D D D
14 26 7 8 11 39:46 -7 29
L L L L D
15 25 5 3 17 29:63 -34 18
L W L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)