Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Houston Dynamo
DC United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Houston Dynamo
23 matches
DC United
18 matches
| Houston Dynamo | Statistic | DC United |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 8 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 40 | Goals For | 22 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.61 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.86 | Shots On Goal | 4.4 |
| 13.14 | Total Shots | 12.27 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 4.67 |
| 42.8% | Ball Possession | 39.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring DC United. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Houston Dynamo expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and DC United in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward DC United having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Houston Dynamo are currently 7 in the standings with 22 points from 14 matches. The record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 19:23 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Guilherme (8 goals), L. Ennali (3 goals), Jack McGlynn (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (4 assists), Jack McGlynn (3 assists), L. Ennali (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, DC United have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 18 points from 15 matches. The record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 21:25 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Baribo (8 goals), Louis Munteanu (5 goals), Jackson Hopkins (2 goals), with creative support from João Peglow (3 assists), Keisuke Kurokawa (3 assists), S. Hefti (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Houston Dynamo won 7 times, DC United won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:18 from Houston Dynamo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Houston Dynamo
5
1
8
3
7
3
Lineups
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
Houston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas City
Houston Dynamo
Austin
Houston Dynamo
America de Cali
Houston Dynamo
CD Olimpia
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
Austin
Houston Dynamo
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
Orlando City SC
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
CF Montreal
DC United
Nashville SC
DC United
Toronto FC
DC United
CF Montreal
DC United
St. Louis City
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Nashville SC
DC United
New York City FC
DC United
Orlando City SC
DC United
New York Red Bulls
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
FC Dallas
DC United
Atlanta United FC
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Inter Miami
DC United
Austin
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
Minnesota United FC
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
Houston Dynamo
Austin
Houston Dynamo
America de Cali
Houston Dynamo
CD Olimpia
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
Atlanta United FC
Houston Dynamo
San Antonio
Houston Dynamo
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Louisville City
DC United
CF Montreal
DC United
Nashville SC
DC United
New York City FC
DC United
New York Red Bulls
DC United
Philadelphia Union
DC United
New England Revolution
DC United
Atlanta United FC
DC United
Chicago Fire
DC United
Austin
DC United
Portland Timbers
DC United
Los Angeles Galaxy
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Houston Dynamo
Home
|
20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40:18 | 22 | 37 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35:21 | 14 | 34 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 33 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38:29 | 9 | 33 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:26 | 2 | 30 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 30:25 | 5 | 28 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 28 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 37:36 | 1 | 27 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 25 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22:28 | -6 | 25 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 24 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25:39 | -14 | 20 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 19:49 | -30 | 15 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
