🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
03.05.2026 00:30
Shell Energy Stadium
Referee: Allen Chapman, USA
Houston Dynamo
Match Timeline
Colorado Rapids
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Felipe Andrade
Houston Dynamo
🔄
33'
R. Holding ↔ N. Cobb
Colorado Rapids
🔄
39'
J. Atencio ↔ P. Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
🟨
43'
Hamzat Ojediran
Colorado Rapids
🟨
47'
Alexis Manyoma
Colorado Rapids
🟨
56'
Mateusz Bogusz
Houston Dynamo
🔄
60'
A. Manyoma ↔ G. Minoungou
Colorado Rapids
🟨
63'
Lawrence Ennali
Houston Dynamo
🔄
63'
J. McGlynn ↔ A. Bouzat
Houston Dynamo
🔄
63'
Artur ↔ H. Herrera
Houston Dynamo
🟨
66'
Darren Yapi
Colorado Rapids
72'
L. Ennali
Houston Dynamo
🔄
81'
D. Yapi ↔ J. Travis
Colorado Rapids
🔄
81'
D. Sealy ↔ K. Stewart-Baynes
Colorado Rapids
🔄
81'
M. Navarro ↔ M. Diop
Colorado Rapids
🔄
84'
E. Ponce ↔ O. Lingr
Houston Dynamo
🔄
90'
Guilherme ↔ I. Aliyu
Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Houston Dynamo Win 56%
Draw 8.2%
Colorado Rapids Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Houston Dynamo1.85
Colorado Rapids1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
WWDLW
28 GF / 27 GA
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WLDWL
28 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
2.15
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
2
10
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
10
4.56
Shots on Goal
5.1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 16 matches
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 13 matches
Houston Dynamo Statistic Colorado Rapids
9 Wins 5
2 Draws 1
5 Losses 7
28 Goals For 28
27 Goals Against 26
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 2.15
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 2
10 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 12
8 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 10
3 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
4.56 Shots On Goal 5.1
13.78 Total Shots 12.2
5.22 Corners 4.1
42.4% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Colorado Rapids's more proactive style and Houston Dynamo's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Colorado Rapids. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Houston Dynamo expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Colorado Rapids in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Colorado Rapids having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Houston Dynamo Analysis

Houston Dynamo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 12 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 12:18 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Guilherme (5 goals), Felipe Andrade (2 goals), L. Ennali (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (4 assists), J. McGlynn (2 assists), M. Bogusz (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

With 13 points from 10 games and a place of 7, Colorado Rapids still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 22:18 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rafael Navarro (6 goals), D. Yapi (3 goals), P. Aaronson (3 goals), with creative support from Rafael Navarro (3 assists), D. Yapi (2 assists), W. Frederick (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Houston Dynamo won 4 times, Colorado Rapids won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:24 from Houston Dynamo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Houston Dynamo 4-4-2 / Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Houston Dynamo 2, Colorado Rapids 4
H2H summary: Houston Dynamo wins 4, draws 5, Colorado Rapids wins 6

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)