🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Shell Energy Stadium
Referee: F. Dujic
Houston Dynamo
Match Timeline
Austin
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
M. Bogusz · Assist: E. Ponce
Houston Dynamo
🟨
18'
I. Sanchez
Austin
29'
M. Bogusz · Assist: Guilherme
Houston Dynamo
32'
Guilherme · Assist: A. Bouzat
Houston Dynamo
🟨
42'
Felipe Andrade
Houston Dynamo
🔄
60'
I. Sanchez ↔ B. Sabovic
Austin
🔄
60'
P. Placheta ↔ J. Rosales
Austin
🟨
62'
B. Sabovic
Austin
🟨
62'
Lucas Halter
Houston Dynamo
🔄
63'
D. Samassekou ↔ Artur
Houston Dynamo
🔄
70'
A. Bouzat ↔ J. McGlynn
Houston Dynamo
🔄
70'
E. Ponce ↔ D. McGuire
Houston Dynamo
🔄
70'
O. Svatok ↔ M. Djordjevic
Austin
🔄
71'
F. Torres ↔ E. Torres
Austin
🔄
82'
J. Gallagher ↔ Z. Kolmanic
Austin
🔄
84'
Guilherme ↔ O. Lingr
Houston Dynamo
🔄
85'
Lucas Halter ↔ E. Sviatchenko
Houston Dynamo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.4%
-
BTTS Yes
66.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
88.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Houston Dynamo Win 87.4%
Draw 4.8%
Austin Win 7.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Houston Dynamo1.69
Austin1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
WWDLW
41 GF / 34 GA
Austin Austin
WLDWL
29 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
14
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
14
4.87
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 24 matches
Austin Austin 24 matches
Houston Dynamo Statistic Austin
14 Wins 6
4 Draws 7
6 Losses 11
41 Goals For 29
34 Goals Against 40
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
14 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 8
4.87 Shots On Goal 4
13.6 Total Shots 10.38
4.4 Corners 4.31
44.2% Ball Possession 47.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Austin. Austin arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Houston Dynamo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 22 points compared to Austin in 14 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Houston Dynamo Analysis

Houston Dynamo are currently 7 in the standings with 22 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 19:23 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Guilherme (4 goals), Lawrence Ennali (2 goals), Jack McGlynn (2 goals), with creative support from Lawrence Ennali (2 assists), Guilherme (1 assists), Jack McGlynn (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Austin Analysis

Austin sit 14 with 14 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 19:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Christian Ramirez (3 goals), Myrto Uzuni (3 goals), Facundo Torres (1 goals), with creative support from Facundo Torres (2 assists), Christian Ramirez (1 assists), Joseph Rosales (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Houston Dynamo won 6 times, Austin won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Houston Dynamo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Houston Dynamo 4-1-4-1 / Austin 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Houston Dynamo wins 6, draws 1, Austin wins 8
Stats
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
Austin Austin
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
1 Corner Kicks 6
12 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 0
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 5
9 Shots insidebox 13
1 Shots outsidebox 2
5 Goalkeeper Saves 1
425 Total passes 486
383 Passes accurate 438
1.70 expected_goals 0.84
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Houston Dynamo
Formation
Austin
Jonathan Bond
Jonathan Bond
Felipe Andrade
Felipe Andrade
Lucas Halter
Lucas Halter
Agustin Resch
Agustin Resch
Lawrence Ennali
Lawrence Ennali
Diadié Samassékou
Diadié Samassékou
Mateusz Bogusz
⚽ 2
Mateusz Bogusz
Agustín Bouzat
🎯
Agustín Bouzat
Héctor Herrera
Héctor Herrera
Guilherme
🎯
Guilherme
Ezequiel Ponce
🎯
Ezequiel Ponce
Brad Stuver
Brad Stuver
Brendan Hines-Ike
Brendan Hines-Ike
Oleksandr Svatok
Oleksandr Svatok
Guilherme Biro
Guilherme Biro
Przemysław Płacheta
Przemysław Płacheta
Owen Wolff
Owen Wolff
Ilie Sánchez
Ilie Sánchez
Jon Gallagher
Jon Gallagher
Facundo Torres
Facundo Torres
Brandon Vázquez
Brandon Vázquez
Myrto Uzuni
Myrto Uzuni
Houston Dynamo 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
31
Jonathan Bond
G
36
Felipe Andrade
🟨 42'
D
5
Lucas Halter
↓ 85' 🟨 62'
D
34
Agustin Resch
D
11
Lawrence Ennali
D
18
Diadié Samassékou
↓ 63'
M
19
Mateusz Bogusz
⚽ 12' ⚽ 29'
M
30
Agustín Bouzat
🎯 32' ↓ 70'
M
16
Héctor Herrera
M
20
Guilherme
⚽ 32' 🎯 29' ↓ 84'
M
10
Ezequiel Ponce
🎯 12' ↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
6
Artur
↑ 63'
M
8
Jack McGlynn
↑ 70'
M
23
Duncan McGuire
↑ 70'
F
9
Ondrej Lingr
↑ 84'
M
28
Erik Sviatchenko
↑ 85'
D
26
Blake Gillingham
G
21
Franco Negri
D
14
Duane Holmes
M
22
Matthew Arana
M
Austin 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
Brad Stuver
G
4
Brendan Hines-Ike
D
5
Oleksandr Svatok
↓ 70'
D
29
Guilherme Biro
D
77
Przemysław Płacheta
↓ 60'
M
33
Owen Wolff
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
↓ 60' 🟨 18'
M
17
Jon Gallagher
↓ 82'
M
11
Facundo Torres
↓ 71'
F
9
Brandon Vázquez
F
10
Myrto Uzuni
F
Substitutes
14
Besard Sabović
↑ 60' 🟨 62'
M
30
Joseph Rosales
↑ 60'
M
35
Mateja Đorđević
↑ 70'
D
38
Ervin Torres
↑ 71'
M
23
Žan Kolmanič
↑ 82'
D
12
Damian Las
G
20
Nicolas Dubersarsky
M
21
Christian Ramirez
F
7
Jayden Nelson
F
Last matches: Houston Dynamo
20.08.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
16.08.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
0
W
08.08.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
New England Revolution
2
0
W
02.08.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Sporting Kansas City
2
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
DC United
1
1
D
16.07.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
America de Cali
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
CD Olimpia
3
0
W
24.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
17.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
14.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Real Salt Lake
0
3
L
11.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
4
1
W
03.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
1
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Austin
0
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
San Diego
1
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Orlando City SC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
2
6
L
05.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
22.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
FC Dallas
3
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
0
2
L
Last matches: Austin
20.08.26
Maj
Austin
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
17.08.26
Maj
Austin
FC Dallas
1
2
L
02.08.26
Maj
Austin
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
23.07.26
Maj
Austin
Seattle Sounders
3
1
W
08.07.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting JAX
4
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Austin
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
23.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
0
3
L
17.05.26
Maj
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Austin
San Diego
0
5
L
10.05.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
03.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
2
0
W
26.04.26
Maj
Austin
Houston Dynamo
2
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
1
5
L
18.04.26
Maj
Austin
Toronto FC
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Austin
Inter Miami
2
2
D
22.03.26
Maj
Austin
Los Angeles FC
0
0
D
15.03.26
Maj
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Austin
Charlotte
1
3
L
01.03.26
Maj
Austin
DC United
1
0
W
H2H: Houston Dynamo vs Austin
26.07.26
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
3
0
W
26.04.26
H2H
Austin
Houston Dynamo
2
0
L
10.08.25
H2H
Austin
Houston Dynamo
2
2
D
22.05.25
H2H
Austin
Houston Dynamo
3
1
L
27.04.25
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
2
0
W
22.09.24
H2H
Austin
Houston Dynamo
0
1
W
16.05.24
H2H
Austin
Houston Dynamo
1
0
L
21.04.24
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
0
1
L
25.06.23
H2H
Austin
Houston Dynamo
3
0
L
28.05.23
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
2
1
W
19.03.23
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
2
0
W
13.07.22
H2H
Austin
Houston Dynamo
3
1
L
30.04.22
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
1
2
L
24.10.21
H2H
Austin
Houston Dynamo
2
1
L
12.09.21
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
3
0
W
Last matches: Houston Dynamo
16.08.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
0
W
23.07.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
DC United
1
1
D
16.07.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
America de Cali
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
CD Olimpia
3
0
W
17.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
0
W
03.05.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Colorado Rapids
1
0
W
23.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
San Diego
1
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
15.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
01.03.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Los Angeles FC
0
2
L
22.02.26
Maj
Houston Dynamo
Chicago Fire
2
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
New York Red Bulls
3
2
W
08.02.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
Atlanta United FC
1
1
D
04.02.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
San Antonio
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
24.01.26
Fri
Houston Dynamo
Louisville City
4
2
W
H2H at home: Houston Dynamo
26.07.26
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
3
0
W
27.04.25
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
2
0
W
21.04.24
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
0
1
L
28.05.23
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
2
1
W
19.03.23
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
2
0
W
30.04.22
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
1
2
L
12.09.21
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
3
0
W
Last matches: Austin
20.08.26
Maj
Austin
Seattle Sounders
2
1
W
02.08.26
Maj
Austin
Colorado Rapids
0
1
L
23.05.26
Maj
Austin
St. Louis City
0
3
L
14.05.26
Maj
Austin
San Diego
0
5
L
10.05.26
Maj
Austin
Minnesota United FC
2
2
D
23.04.26
Maj
Austin
San Jose Earthquakes
1
5
L
18.04.26
Maj
Austin
Toronto FC
3
3
D
04.04.26
Maj
Austin
Inter Miami
2
2
D
15.03.26
Maj
Austin
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Austin
Charlotte
1
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Austin
Sporting Kansas City
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Austin
St. Louis City
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
Austin
New York City FC
0
2
L
H2H away: Austin
26.07.26
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
3
0
L
27.04.25
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
2
0
L
21.04.24
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
0
1
W
28.05.23
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
2
1
L
19.03.23
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
2
0
L
30.04.22
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
1
2
W
12.09.21
H2H
Houston Dynamo
Austin
3
0
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 2 6 29:24 5 38
W W W W W
2 19 11 4 4 40:18 22 37
L W D D L
3 21 10 4 7 35:21 14 34
L L D W W
4 20 10 3 7 38:28 10 33
L L L D L
5 20 9 6 5 38:29 9 33
W W D L D
6 20 8 6 6 28:26 2 30
D W D W W
7 20 9 1 10 30:25 5 28
W W W L W
8 19 8 4 7 33:30 3 28
L D D L L
9 20 8 3 9 37:36 1 27
W L W W D
10 21 6 7 8 25:30 -5 25
W L D D L
11 20 6 7 7 22:28 -6 25
L D D D L
12 19 7 3 9 21:26 -5 24
L L L L L
13 20 6 6 8 34:32 2 24
L W D W L
14 20 5 5 10 25:39 -14 20
W L L L W
15 20 4 3 13 19:49 -30 15
D L L L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)