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02.05.2026 11:00
Holstein-Stadion
Referee: F. Exner
Holstein Kiel
Match Timeline
Eintracht Braunschweig
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Kasper Davidsen
Holstein Kiel
🟨
25'
Adrián Kaprálik
Holstein Kiel
⚽
31'
P. Harres · Assist: J. Therkelsen
Holstein Kiel
🟨
44'
Florian Flick
Eintracht Braunschweig
🔄
46'
M. Aydin ↔ F. Alidou
Eintracht Braunschweig
🔄
46'
A. Hoti ↔ L. Frenkert
Eintracht Braunschweig
🔄
46'
L. Bell Bell ↔ F. Di Michele Sanchez
Eintracht Braunschweig
🟨
62'
Ikem Ugoh
Holstein Kiel
🔄
63'
L. Tempelmann ↔ G. Ranos
Eintracht Braunschweig
🔄
65'
I. Ugoh ↔ S. Schwab
Holstein Kiel
🟨
67'
Robin Heußer
Eintracht Braunschweig
🔄
75'
R. Heusser ↔ E. Yardimci
Eintracht Braunschweig
🔄
83'
K. Davidsen ↔ A. Bernhardsson
Holstein Kiel
⚽
87'
P. Harres · Assist: A. Bernhardsson
Holstein Kiel
🔄
90'
F. Roslyng ↔ M. Komenda
Holstein Kiel
🔄
90'
P. Harres ↔ M. Muller
Holstein Kiel
🔄
90'
J. Therkelsen ↔ N. Niehoff
Holstein Kiel

Holstein Kiel vs Eintracht Braunschweig Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Holstein Kiel Win 55.4%
Draw 19.1%
Eintracht Braunschweig Win 25.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Holstein Kiel1.42
Eintracht Braunschweig1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel
W W W D W
9 GF / 3 GA
Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig
W D L D L
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.61
19
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
16
3.61
Shots on Goal
3.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 31 matches
Eintracht Braunschweig Eintracht Braunschweig 31 matches
Holstein Kiel Statistic Eintracht Braunschweig
10 Wins 9
8 Draws 7
13 Losses 15
40 Goals For 34
43 Goals Against 50
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.61
19 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 16
7 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 7
3.61 Shots On Goal 3.84
12 Total Shots 12.58
4.94 Corners 4.74
51.2% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Eintracht Braunschweig. Holstein Kiel come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Holstein Kiel expected to line up in 4-5-1 and Eintracht Braunschweig in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Eintracht Braunschweig having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Holstein Kiel Analysis

So far, Holstein Kiel have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 38 points from 31 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 40:43 reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by P. Harres (7 goals), David Zec (6 goals), J. Therkelsen (4 goals), with creative support from Alexander Bernhardsson (7 assists), P. Harres (3 assists), A. Kapralik (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Eintracht Braunschweig Analysis

Eintracht Braunschweig sit 14 with 34 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 34:50, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Erencan Yardımcı (5 goals), M. Aydin (5 goals), C. Conteh (4 goals), with creative support from Johan Arath Gomez (4 assists), M. Aydin (3 assists), C. Conteh (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Holstein Kiel won 8 times, Eintracht Braunschweig won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:12 from Holstein Kiel's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.08 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
Predicted formations: Holstein Kiel 4-5-1 / Eintracht Braunschweig 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Holstein Kiel wins 8, draws 4, Eintracht Braunschweig wins 1

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 21 7 6 50:31 19 70
W L W W W
2 34 18 8 8 64:39 25 62
W L W D W
3 34 18 8 8 59:45 14 62
W D L L D
4 34 16 12 6 60:44 16 60
D D D W D
5 34 13 13 8 57:45 12 52
L D L D L
6 34 16 4 14 52:47 5 52
W W L L L
7 34 14 9 11 47:44 3 51
L W L L D
8 34 12 10 12 47:45 2 46
D W D W D
9 34 11 11 12 49:47 2 44
W D D W L
10 34 12 8 14 53:64 -11 44
L D W L L
11 34 11 8 15 54:53 1 41
W L W L W
12 34 11 8 15 44:48 -4 41
L L W W W
13 34 10 9 15 53:51 2 39
W L D W D
14 34 12 3 19 52:58 -6 39
L W W L W
15 34 10 7 17 36:54 -18 37
L W L W D
16 34 10 7 17 49:68 -19 37
W L D L W
17 34 11 4 19 33:53 -20 37
L W L W L
18 34 6 12 16 38:61 -23 30
L D D L L
Promotion - Bundesliga
Promotion - Bundesliga (Promotion)
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 3. Liga