NORWAY 1. DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: S. Hauge
hodd
Match Timeline
Kongsvinger
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
39'
V. Dalsgaard · Assist: S. Mikkelsen
hodd
🔄
46'
M. Flores ↔ L. Langrekken
Kongsvinger
🟨
48'
H. Urnes
hodd
48'
R. Christiansen · Assist: D. Job
Kongsvinger
54'
A. Dybevik · Assist: R. Christiansen
Kongsvinger
🔄
63'
M. Gjerstrom ↔ E. Nielsen
Kongsvinger
🔄
71'
S. Mikkelsen ↔ M. Rawufu
hodd
🔄
71'
V. Dalsgaard ↔ S. Nilsen-Modebe
hodd
🟨
73'
M. Mbow
Kongsvinger
🔄
76'
R. Christiansen ↔ P. Udnaes
Kongsvinger
🔄
77'
S. Hanssen ↔ E. Blikstad
hodd
🟨
78'
E. Nielsen
Kongsvinger
🔄
84'
J. Robertsen ↔ M. Mikhail
hodd
🔄
85'
D. Job ↔ D. Lysgard
Kongsvinger
🟨
88'
M. Scarcella
hodd
🟨
90+6'
A. Dybevik
Kongsvinger

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.3%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
hodd Win 39.7%
Draw 15.7%
Kongsvinger Win 44.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
hodd1.18
Kongsvinger1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
hodd hodd
WWDLW
17 GF / 25 GA
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger
WLDWL
39 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.17
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
8
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

hodd hodd 17 matches
Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 18 matches
hodd Statistic Kongsvinger
6 Wins 11
3 Draws 4
8 Losses 3
17 Goals For 39
25 Goals Against 26
1 Avg Goals Scored 2.17
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
8 BTTS Yes 14
11 Over 1.5 18
7 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Kongsvinger's more proactive style and hodd's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kongsvinger. Kongsvinger carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 23 points while hodd sit 7 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Kongsvinger having the stronger overall control.

hodd Analysis

From their first 10 matches, hodd have collected 14 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 13:13 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kongsvinger Analysis

Kongsvinger arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 23 points after 10 matches. The record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 23:11 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, hodd won 2 times, Kongsvinger won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from hodd's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.44 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: hodd 4-4-2 / Kongsvinger 4-3-3
H2H summary: hodd wins 2, draws 2, Kongsvinger wins 5

Lineups

hodd
Formation
Kongsvinger
T. Kinn
T. Kinn
J. Robertsen
J. Robertsen
M. Mulac
M. Mulac
S. Hanssen
S. Hanssen
H. Urnes
H. Urnes
V. Dalsgaard
V. Dalsgaard
M. Scarcella
M. Scarcella
T. Kallevag
T. Kallevag
I. Skotheim
I. Skotheim
C. Streete
C. Streete
S. Mikkelsen
🎯
S. Mikkelsen
A. Gorodovoy
A. Gorodovoy
M. Gjerstrom
M. Gjerstrom
S. Norheim
S. Norheim
M. Mbow
M. Mbow
V. Fors
V. Fors
A. Dybevik
A. Dybevik
F. Christensen
F. Christensen
M. Sande
M. Sande
M. Flores
M. Flores
R. Christiansen
🎯
R. Christiansen
D. Job
🎯
D. Job
hodd 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Kinn
24
J. Robertsen
↓ 84'
5
M. Mulac
3
S. Hanssen
↓ 77'
6
H. Urnes
🟨 48'
16
V. Dalsgaard
⚽ 39' ↓ 71'
7
M. Scarcella
🟨 88'
8
T. Kallevag
10
I. Skotheim
9
C. Streete
19
S. Mikkelsen
🎯 39' ↓ 71'
Substitutes
25
A. Bergsvik
4
E. Blikstad
↑ 77'
11
M. Rawufu
↑ 71'
14
M. Mikhail
↑ 84'
18
O. Olsen
20
S. Nilsen-Modebe
↑ 71'
21
A. Roppen
23
F. Gjerde
27
G. Andresen
Kongsvinger 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
93
A. Gorodovoy
17
M. Gjerstrom
↓ 63'
3
S. Norheim
12
M. Mbow
🟨 73'
2
V. Fors
8
A. Dybevik
⚽ 54' 🟨 90+6'
23
F. Christensen
27
M. Sande
18
M. Flores
↓ 46'
28
R. Christiansen
⚽ 48' 🎯 54' ↓ 76'
11
D. Job
🎯 48' ↓ 85'
Substitutes
1
W. Da Rocha
5
D. Lysgard
↑ 85'
7
E. Pajic
16
P. Udnaes
↑ 76'
19
E. Nielsen
↑ 63' 🟨 78'
22
L. Langrekken
↑ 46'
29
P. Fjellman
Last matches: hodd
04.07.26
1.
hodd
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
27.06.26
1.
hodd
Lyn
4
1
W
21.06.26
1.
hodd
ODD Ballklubb
0
0
D
31.05.26
1.
hodd
Bryne
0
1
L
25.05.26
1.
hodd
Egersund
3
1
W
20.05.26
1.
hodd
Ranheim
2
3
L
16.05.26
1.
hodd
Sogndal
2
2
D
10.05.26
1.
hodd
Strommen
2
1
W
01.05.26
1.
hodd
Asane
1
0
W
26.04.26
1.
hodd
Raufoss
1
1
D
18.04.26
1.
hodd
Haugesund
0
2
L
12.04.26
1.
hodd
Moss
0
1
L
07.04.26
1.
hodd
Sandnes ULF
2
1
W
21.03.26
Fri
hodd
Asane
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fri
hodd
Sogndal
1
5
L
17.02.26
Fri
hodd
Juventud Torremolinos
1
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
hodd
Træff
1
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
hodd
Aalesund
0
2
L
30.01.26
Fri
hodd
Brattvåg
0
2
L
23.01.26
Fri
hodd
Kristiansund BK
0
0
D
Last matches: Kongsvinger
03.07.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Sogndal
5
1
W
27.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
2
4
L
21.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stromsgodset
4
4
D
31.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Asane
3
1
W
25.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
0
2
L
20.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
ODD Ballklubb
4
2
W
16.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Lyn
3
0
W
08.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Ranheim
1
1
D
01.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Egersund
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Strommen
2
2
D
18.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Moss
2
1
W
13.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Raufoss
3
1
W
07.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Bryne
3
0
W
29.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Hammarby FF
3
3
D
21.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
3
2
W
18.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Grorud
2
1
W
14.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Strommen
1
3
L
24.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Lillestrom
4
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
H2H: hodd vs Kongsvinger
14.06.26
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
22.10.25
H2H
Kongsvinger
hodd
3
0
L
05.04.25
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
0
2
L
02.09.23
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
2
1
W
30.04.23
H2H
Kongsvinger
hodd
0
3
W
12.09.21
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
0
0
D
05.09.21
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
0
0
D
04.08.21
H2H
Kongsvinger
hodd
1
0
L
30.05.21
H2H
Kongsvinger
hodd
0
0
D
07.08.16
H2H
Kongsvinger
hodd
2
1
L
17.04.16
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
2
2
D
Last matches: hodd
04.07.26
1.
hodd
Stromsgodset
4
3
W
25.05.26
1.
hodd
Egersund
3
1
W
16.05.26
1.
hodd
Sogndal
2
2
D
01.05.26
1.
hodd
Asane
1
0
W
18.04.26
1.
hodd
Haugesund
0
2
L
07.04.26
1.
hodd
Sandnes ULF
2
1
W
28.02.26
Fri
hodd
Sogndal
1
5
L
17.02.26
Fri
hodd
Juventud Torremolinos
1
3
L
11.02.26
Fri
hodd
Træff
1
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
hodd
Brattvåg
0
2
L
H2H at home: hodd
14.06.26
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
1
2
L
05.04.25
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
0
2
L
02.09.23
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
2
1
W
12.09.21
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
0
0
D
05.09.21
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
0
0
D
17.04.16
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
2
2
D
Last matches: Kongsvinger
27.06.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
2
4
L
25.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
0
2
L
16.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Lyn
3
0
W
08.05.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Ranheim
1
1
D
25.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Strommen
2
2
D
13.04.26
1.
Kongsvinger
Raufoss
3
1
W
29.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Hammarby FF
3
3
D
21.03.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Stabaek
3
2
W
24.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Lillestrom
4
2
W
21.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Haugesund
2
1
W
13.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
06.02.26
Fri
Kongsvinger
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
H2H away: Kongsvinger
14.06.26
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
1
2
W
05.04.25
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
0
2
W
02.09.23
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
2
1
L
12.09.21
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
0
0
D
05.09.21
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
0
0
D
17.04.16
H2H
hodd
Kongsvinger
2
2
D

Standings

OBOS-ligaen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 43:26 17 31
W W L W W
2 14 9 3 2 36:21 15 30
W L D W W
3 14 8 4 2 41:22 19 28
L D D W W
4 14 8 3 3 32:16 16 27
W W L W D
5 14 7 3 4 27:19 8 24
L D D L W
6
hodd Home
14 6 3 5 22:19 3 21
W W D L L
7 14 6 2 6 22:20 2 20
D W W W L
8 14 6 2 6 34:34 0 20
L L W L D
9 14 6 1 7 24:25 -1 19
W L W L L
10 14 5 2 7 19:23 -4 17
D L W W W
11 14 5 2 7 23:32 -9 17
L L L W D
12 14 4 3 7 25:36 -11 15
L W L L W
13 14 4 1 9 17:30 -13 13
W L L L L
14 14 4 1 9 17:31 -14 13
W L W L L
15 14 4 1 9 20:30 -10 12
L W L W L
16 14 3 2 9 18:36 -18 11
L W W L D
Promotion - Eliteserien
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)
Relegation