SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
82.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
70.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
HLM Win 37.5%
Draw 17.8%
Pikine Win 44.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
HLM0.57
Pikine0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
HLM HLM
WWDLW
16 GF / 23 GA
Pikine Pikine
WLDWL
19 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.55
Average Goals Scored
0.66
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
0.59
9
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HLM HLM 29 matches
Pikine Pikine 29 matches
HLM Statistic Pikine
4 Wins 7
18 Draws 13
7 Losses 9
16 Goals For 19
23 Goals Against 17
0.55 Avg Goals Scored 0.66
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 0.59
9 BTTS Yes 5
12 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
14 Clean Sheets 17
17 Failed To Score 18
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Pikine's more proactive style and HLM's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pikine. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Pikine having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

HLM Analysis

From their first 29 matches, HLM have collected 30 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 4 wins, 18 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 16:23 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pikine Analysis

Pikine are currently 9 in the standings with 34 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 13 draws, and 9 losses, while the 19:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, HLM won 1 times, Pikine won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from HLM's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
H2H summary: HLM wins 1, draws 3, Pikine wins 0
Last matches: HLM
22.05.26
Lig
HLM
Sonacos
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
HLM
Génération Foot
0
1
L
13.05.26
Lig
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
HLM
Gorée
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
HLM
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
HLM
Teungueth
0
1
L
20.04.26
Lig
HLM
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
HLM
Wally Daan
1
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
HLM
AJEL
3
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
HLM
Ouakam
0
1
L
15.03.26
Lig
HLM
DSC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
HLM
AS Camberene
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
HLM
Casa Sport
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
HLM
Jaraaf
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
HLM
Pikine
0
0
D
09.02.26
Lig
HLM
Sonacos
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
HLM
Génération Foot
0
3
L
25.01.26
Lig
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
HLM
Gorée
0
5
L
07.01.26
Lig
HLM
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
Last matches: Pikine
22.05.26
Lig
Pikine
AS Camberene
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Pikine
Casa Sport
0
1
L
13.05.26
Lig
Pikine
Jaraaf
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Pikine
DSC
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
Pikine
Sonacos
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Pikine
Génération Foot
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Pikine
La Linguère
4
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Pikine
Gorée
0
1
L
29.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Guédiawaye
3
1
W
25.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Teungueth
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Wally Daan
0
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Pikine
AJEL
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Pikine
Ouakam
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Pikine
HLM
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Pikine
AS Camberene
0
1
L
01.02.26
Lig
Pikine
Casa Sport
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Pikine
Jaraaf
1
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
Pikine
DSC
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
Pikine
Sonacos
2
0
W
H2H: HLM vs Pikine
04.06.26
H2H
HLM
Pikine
2
1
W
15.02.26
H2H
Pikine
HLM
0
0
D
26.06.25
H2H
Pikine
HLM
0
0
D
10.02.25
H2H
HLM
Pikine
1
1
D
Last matches: HLM
17.05.26
Lig
HLM
Génération Foot
0
1
L
13.05.26
Lig
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
HLM
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
20.04.26
Lig
HLM
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
29.03.26
Lig
HLM
AJEL
3
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
HLM
AS Camberene
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
HLM
Jaraaf
0
0
D
09.02.26
Lig
HLM
Sonacos
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
HLM
Gorée
0
5
L
28.12.25
Lig
HLM
Teungueth
0
0
D
14.12.25
Lig
HLM
Wally Daan
2
2
D
30.11.25
Lig
HLM
Ouakam
0
0
D
23.11.25
Lig
HLM
DSC
0
1
L
09.11.25
Lig
HLM
Casa Sport
1
1
D
H2H at home: HLM
04.06.26
H2H
HLM
Pikine
2
1
W
10.02.25
H2H
HLM
Pikine
1
1
D
Last matches: Pikine
17.05.26
Lig
Pikine
Casa Sport
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Pikine
Sonacos
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Pikine
La Linguère
4
0
W
29.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Guédiawaye
3
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Wally Daan
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Pikine
Ouakam
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Pikine
AS Camberene
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Pikine
Jaraaf
1
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
Pikine
DSC
1
1
D
29.12.25
Lig
Pikine
Génération Foot
0
0
D
14.12.25
Lig
Pikine
Gorée
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
Pikine
Teungueth
0
0
D
08.11.25
Lig
Pikine
AJEL
0
1
L
H2H away: Pikine
04.06.26
H2H
HLM
Pikine
2
1
L
10.02.25
H2H
HLM
Pikine
1
1
D

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11
HLM Home
30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation