SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 29.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
29.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
HLM Win 63.5%
Draw 14.1%
La Linguère Win 22.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
HLM0.86
La Linguère0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
HLM HLM
WWDLW
16 GF / 22 GA
La Linguère La Linguère
WLDWL
19 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.62
Average Goals Scored
0.73
0.85
Average Goals Conceded
1.23
9
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HLM HLM 26 matches
La Linguère La Linguère 26 matches
HLM Statistic La Linguère
4 Wins 3
16 Draws 13
6 Losses 10
16 Goals For 19
22 Goals Against 32
0.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
0.85 Avg Goals Conceded 1.23
9 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 16
6 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 9
14 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. La Linguère arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward La Linguère having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring La Linguère. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

HLM Analysis

So far, HLM have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 28 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 16 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 16:22 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

La Linguère Analysis

La Linguère approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 22 points from 26 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 19:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, HLM won 0 times, La Linguère won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from HLM's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86%)
H2H summary: HLM wins 0, draws 3, La Linguère wins 1
Last matches: HLM
04.06.26
Lig
HLM
Pikine
2
1
W
22.05.26
Lig
HLM
Sonacos
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
HLM
Génération Foot
0
1
L
10.05.26
Lig
HLM
Gorée
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
HLM
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
HLM
Teungueth
0
1
L
20.04.26
Lig
HLM
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
HLM
Wally Daan
1
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
HLM
AJEL
3
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
HLM
Ouakam
0
1
L
15.03.26
Lig
HLM
DSC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
HLM
AS Camberene
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
HLM
Casa Sport
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
HLM
Jaraaf
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
HLM
Pikine
0
0
D
09.02.26
Lig
HLM
Sonacos
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
HLM
Génération Foot
0
3
L
25.01.26
Lig
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
HLM
Gorée
0
5
L
07.01.26
Lig
HLM
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
Last matches: La Linguère
04.06.26
Lig
La Linguère
Wally Daan
1
1
D
22.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
AJEL
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
Ouakam
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
AS Camberene
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
Casa Sport
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Jaraaf
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Pikine
0
4
L
12.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Sonacos
0
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Génération Foot
1
1
D
25.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
DSC
2
2
D
15.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Gorée
0
0
D
08.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Guédiawaye
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Teungueth
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Stade de Mbour
2
2
D
15.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Wally Daan
1
1
D
08.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
AJEL
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
3
L
25.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
HLM
0
0
D
13.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
AS Camberene
1
0
W
07.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
Casa Sport
2
3
L
H2H: HLM vs La Linguère
13.05.26
H2H
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
25.01.26
H2H
La Linguère
HLM
0
0
D
20.05.25
H2H
La Linguère
HLM
1
1
D
22.12.24
H2H
HLM
La Linguère
1
2
L
Last matches: HLM
04.06.26
Lig
HLM
Pikine
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
HLM
Génération Foot
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
HLM
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
20.04.26
Lig
HLM
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
29.03.26
Lig
HLM
AJEL
3
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
HLM
AS Camberene
1
1
D
22.02.26
Lig
HLM
Jaraaf
0
0
D
09.02.26
Lig
HLM
Sonacos
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
HLM
Gorée
0
5
L
28.12.25
Lig
HLM
Teungueth
0
0
D
14.12.25
Lig
HLM
Wally Daan
2
2
D
30.11.25
Lig
HLM
Ouakam
0
0
D
23.11.25
Lig
HLM
DSC
0
1
L
09.11.25
Lig
HLM
Casa Sport
1
1
D
H2H at home: HLM
13.05.26
H2H
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
22.12.24
H2H
HLM
La Linguère
1
2
L
Last matches: La Linguère
22.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
AJEL
1
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
La Linguère
AS Camberene
1
1
D
26.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Jaraaf
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
La Linguère
Sonacos
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Gorée
0
0
D
01.03.26
Lig
La Linguère
Teungueth
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Wally Daan
1
1
D
01.02.26
Lig
La Linguère
Ouakam
0
3
L
07.01.26
Lig
La Linguère
Casa Sport
2
3
L
21.12.25
Lig
La Linguère
Pikine
0
0
D
06.12.25
Lig
La Linguère
Génération Foot
2
0
W
29.11.25
Lig
La Linguère
DSC
0
0
D
16.11.25
Lig
La Linguère
Guédiawaye
0
0
D
02.11.25
Lig
La Linguère
Stade de Mbour
2
2
D
H2H away: La Linguère
13.05.26
H2H
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
22.12.24
H2H
HLM
La Linguère
1
2
W