ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.4%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
HK Kopavogur Win 63.4%
Draw 4%
Throttur Reykjavik Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
HK Kopavogur1.82
Throttur Reykjavik2
Recent Form (Last 5)
HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur
WWDLW
42 GF / 33 GA
Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik
WLDWL
38 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
2.11
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
14
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 18 matches
Throttur Reykjavik Throttur Reykjavik 18 matches
HK Kopavogur Statistic Throttur Reykjavik
10 Wins 10
1 Draws 4
7 Losses 4
42 Goals For 38
33 Goals Against 19
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.11
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
14 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 9
10 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Throttur Reykjavik. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Throttur Reykjavik having the stronger overall control.

HK Kopavogur Analysis

HK Kopavogur approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 31 points after 18 outings. With 10 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 42:33, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Throttur Reykjavik Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 34 points from 18 games, Throttur Reykjavik bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 38:19, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, HK Kopavogur won 7 times, Throttur Reykjavik won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:17 from HK Kopavogur's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
H2H summary: HK Kopavogur wins 7, draws 1, Throttur Reykjavik wins 4
Last matches: HK Kopavogur
13.08.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Leiknir R.
2
1
W
09.08.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Völsungur
2
3
L
24.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Njardvik
2
3
L
20.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Vestri
6
2
W
14.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
IR Reykjavik
5
1
W
10.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Ægir
4
3
W
03.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grotta
1
2
L
26.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Fylkir
2
0
W
21.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grindavik
2
2
D
12.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
2
L
05.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Afturelding
2
1
W
31.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Leiknir R.
1
4
L
27.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Völsungur
1
0
W
22.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
IR Reykjavik
1
3
L
18.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Njardvik
2
0
W
09.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Vestri
3
4
L
01.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Ægir
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grotta
4
1
W
Last matches: Throttur Reykjavik
13.08.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Grindavik
1
2
L
08.08.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Grotta
1
1
D
29.07.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Afturelding
4
1
W
23.07.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
5
1
W
18.07.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Völsungur
1
0
W
10.07.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
1
1
D
03.07.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Njardvik
0
1
L
27.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Vestri
1
1
D
21.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Ægir
3
1
W
12.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
2
0
W
06.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Fylkir
3
1
W
01.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Grindavik
2
0
W
27.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Grotta
2
3
L
22.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Afturelding
3
4
L
18.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
1
1
D
09.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Völsungur
3
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
3
1
W
25.04.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Njardvik
2
0
W
H2H: HK Kopavogur vs Throttur Reykjavik
12.06.26
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
2
0
L
21.09.25
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
2
3
W
17.09.25
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
4
3
W
06.09.25
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
5
2
W
27.06.25
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
2
2
D
24.04.24
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
1
2
W
23.04.22
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
0
3
W
22.02.20
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
2
0
W
09.08.18
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
1
L
24.05.18
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
1
3
W
18.08.17
H2H
Throttur Reykjavik
HK Kopavogur
2
1
L
08.06.17
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
1
L
Last matches: HK Kopavogur
13.08.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Leiknir R.
2
1
W
20.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Vestri
6
2
W
14.07.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
IR Reykjavik
5
1
W
21.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grindavik
2
2
D
05.06.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Afturelding
2
1
W
27.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Völsungur
1
0
W
18.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Njardvik
2
0
W
01.05.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Ægir
2
1
W
25.04.26
1.
HK Kopavogur
Grotta
4
1
W
H2H at home: HK Kopavogur
17.09.25
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
4
3
W
06.09.25
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
5
2
W
22.02.20
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
2
0
W
09.08.18
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
1
L
08.06.17
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
1
L
Last matches: Throttur Reykjavik
13.08.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Grindavik
1
2
L
08.08.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Grotta
1
1
D
23.07.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Leiknir R.
5
1
W
10.07.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
IR Reykjavik
1
1
D
03.07.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Njardvik
0
1
L
21.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Ægir
3
1
W
06.06.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Fylkir
3
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Afturelding
3
4
L
09.05.26
1.
Throttur Reykjavik
Völsungur
3
0
W
H2H away: Throttur Reykjavik
17.09.25
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
4
3
L
06.09.25
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
5
2
L
22.02.20
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
2
0
L
09.08.18
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
1
W
08.06.17
H2H
HK Kopavogur
Throttur Reykjavik
0
1
W

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 11 2 4 51:29 22 35
D W L W W
2 18 10 4 4 38:19 19 34
L D W W W
3 18 11 1 6 38:29 9 34
D L W L W
4 18 10 2 6 31:23 8 32
W W W W L
5 18 10 1 7 42:33 9 31
W L L W W
6 17 8 2 7 34:33 1 26
L D W W L
7 18 7 3 8 28:37 -9 24
W L L L L
8 18 6 4 8 24:27 -3 22
L W L L L
9 18 4 8 6 19:25 -6 20
W L W L D
10 18 5 4 9 30:39 -9 19
L W W D L
11 18 4 5 9 25:39 -14 17
W W L W L
12 18 2 2 14 21:48 -27 8
L L L L L
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