FINLAND VEIKKAUSLIIGA
26.07.2026 14:00
Bolt Arena
Referee: A. Hajizadeh
HJK Helsinki
Match Timeline
Turku PS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
S. Haarala
HJK Helsinki
🟨
32'
Alexander Ring
HJK Helsinki
🔄
56'
M. Konkkola ↔ S. Anini
Turku PS
🔄
56'
L. Ikonen ↔ T. Vakiparta
Turku PS
🔄
63'
S. Haarala ↔ T. Pukki
HJK Helsinki
🔄
63'
P. Mentu ↔ J. Kallinen
HJK Helsinki
🟨
69'
Timo Zaal
Turku PS
🔄
69'
N. Talo ↔ E. Vauhkonen
Turku PS
🔄
74'
L. Lingman ↔ A. Cicale
HJK Helsinki
🔄
81'
T. Zaal ↔ N. Veinbergs
Turku PS
🔄
87'
L. Moller ↔ M. Kirilov
HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki vs Turku PS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.6%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
HJK Helsinki Win 72.6%
Draw 17.1%
Turku PS Win 10.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
HJK Helsinki1.57
Turku PS1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
WWDLW
39 GF / 26 GA
Turku PS Turku PS
WLDWL
24 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
9
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
9
1.47
Shots on Goal
2.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 21 matches
Turku PS Turku PS 21 matches
HJK Helsinki Statistic Turku PS
10 Wins 8
4 Draws 5
7 Losses 8
39 Goals For 24
26 Goals Against 24
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
9 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 14
13 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 4
8 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 4
1.47 Shots On Goal 2.06
4.12 Total Shots 5.81
1.41 Corners 2.56
19% Ball Possession 25.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Turku PS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HJK Helsinki expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Turku PS in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

HJK Helsinki Analysis

HJK Helsinki come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 25 points from 16 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 27:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Brooklyn Lyons-Foster (1 goals), M. Borchers (1 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Turku PS Analysis

Turku PS are currently 7 in the standings with 22 points from 15 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 19:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 12 times, Turku PS won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:8 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89.7%)
Predicted formations: HJK Helsinki 4-1-4-1 / Turku PS 4-3-3
H2H summary: HJK Helsinki wins 12, draws 1, Turku PS wins 2

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D W
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W D W
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W L W W L
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D W W D L
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
D W L L W
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L W L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W W L D W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
D D W D W
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
L L L W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
D L L D W
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
L L L L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
W W W L L
Promotion - Veikkausliiga (Championship Group)
Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group)