Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
HJK Helsinki
21 matches
Turku PS
21 matches
| HJK Helsinki | Statistic | Turku PS |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 39 | Goals For | 24 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 1.47 | Shots On Goal | 2.06 |
| 4.12 | Total Shots | 5.81 |
| 1.41 | Corners | 2.56 |
| 19% | Ball Possession | 25.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Turku PS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HJK Helsinki expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Turku PS in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Turku PS having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
HJK Helsinki come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 25 points from 16 matches. The record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 27:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Brooklyn Lyons-Foster (1 goals), M. Borchers (1 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Turku PS are currently 7 in the standings with 22 points from 15 matches. The record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 19:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Turkki (1 assists), T. Karkulowski (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 12 times, Turku PS won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:8 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
HJK Helsinki
5
2
4
1
3
1
Lineups
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
Turku PS
VPS
Turku PS
KuPS
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Turku PS
Ilves
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Turku PS
SJK
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Turku PS
Lahti
Turku PS
KuPS
Turku PS
Ilves
Turku PS
VPS
Turku PS
Inter Turku
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Turku PS
HJK Helsinki
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Turku PS
Gnistan
Turku PS
SJK
Turku PS
Lahti
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Turku PS
PK-35
HJK Helsinki
FF Jaro
HJK Helsinki
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
Coleraine FC
HJK Helsinki
VPS
HJK Helsinki
KuPS
HJK Helsinki
Inter Turku
HJK Helsinki
Mariehamn
HJK Helsinki
Ilves
HJK Helsinki
Lahti
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
SJK
HJK Helsinki
Gnistan
HJK Helsinki
Hammarby FF
HJK Helsinki
Arda Kardzhali
HJK Helsinki
NSI Runavik
Turku PS
VPS
Turku PS
KuPS
Turku PS
SJK
Turku PS
Lahti
Turku PS
Ilves
Turku PS
Inter Turku
Turku PS
AC Oulu
Turku PS
FF Jaro
Turku PS
Mariehamn
Turku PS
EIF
Turku PS
SJK
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 36:18 | 18 | 43 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28:16 | 12 | 38 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 |
HJK Helsinki
Home
|
20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32:23 | 9 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
| 4 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 32 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 30 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:25 | -1 | 30 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Turku PS
Away
|
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:22 | 5 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
| 8 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 5 | 26 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:34 | -1 | 25 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 15 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11:41 | -30 | 8 |
W
L
L
D
L
|