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04.05.2026 16:00
Bolt Arena
Referee: Dennis Antamo, Finland
HJK Helsinki
Match Timeline
Lahti
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
24'
A. Cicale · Assist: P. Mentu
HJK Helsinki
🟨
62'
Neemias Barbosa
Lahti
🔄
67'
T. Pukki ↔ M. Borchers
HJK Helsinki
🔄
67'
P. Mentu ↔ M. Kirilov
HJK Helsinki
🟨
74'
Martim Ferreira
Lahti
🔄
75'
L. Moller ↔ T. Mero
HJK Helsinki
🔄
75'
E. Andersson ↔ O. Koskinen
Lahti
🔄
75'
Martim Augusto ↔ D. Heikkinen
Lahti
🔄
79'
Neemias ↔ A. Lindholm
Lahti
🟨
84'
Martin Kirilov
HJK Helsinki
🟨
88'
Mihailo Bogićević
HJK Helsinki
🔄
88'
Y. Cassubie ↔ A. Kabashi
Lahti
🟨
89'
Neemias Barbosa
Lahti
🟥
89'
Neemias Barbosa
Lahti
🔄
90+2'
A. Cicale ↔ D. Ezeh
HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki vs Lahti Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 34.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
34.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
75%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
HJK Helsinki Win 60.9%
Draw 6.2%
Lahti Win 32.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
HJK Helsinki1.5
Lahti1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
D D W L W
8 GF / 3 GA
Lahti Lahti
W L L W D
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
4
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
4
2.8
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 9 matches
Lahti Lahti 8 matches
HJK Helsinki Statistic Lahti
4 Wins 3
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 2
15 Goals For 11
9 Goals Against 10
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.25
4 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
2.8 Shots On Goal 2
8 Total Shots 6.75
3.4 Corners 3
33.6% Ball Possession 37.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 8 times, Lahti won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:18 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
Predicted formations: HJK Helsinki 4-4-2 / Lahti 4-3-3
H2H summary: HJK Helsinki wins 8, draws 1, Lahti wins 6

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L D D W L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
L W L W D
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D W W W
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D L L L D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W D W W L
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
D L L W L
7
Lahti Away
22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W L D L W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L L D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W D W W W
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
L W W D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D W D
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D D L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs