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09.09.2026 15:00
Bolt Arena
Referee: Dennis Antamo, Finland
HJK Helsinki
Match Timeline
Inter Turku
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Luka Kuittinen
Inter Turku
⚽
37'
P. Ahiabu · Assist: A. Granlund
Inter Turku
🔄
46'
M. Kirilov ↔ J. Kallinen
HJK Helsinki
🔄
46'
M. Gueye ↔ A. Cicale
HJK Helsinki
🔄
53'
C. Jephta ↔ M. Suso
Inter Turku
⚽
53'
M. Borchers · Assist: P. Mentu
HJK Helsinki
🔄
67'
J. Yli-Kokko ↔ J. Laine
Inter Turku
🔄
67'
H. Sjogrell ↔ J. Tuominen
Inter Turku
🔄
68'
L. Moller ↔ L. Lappalainen
HJK Helsinki
🔄
79'
L. Montano ↔ N. Alho
HJK Helsinki
⚽
81'
K. Simojoki · Assist: N. Alho
HJK Helsinki
🟨
87'
Albin Granlund
Inter Turku
🔄
87'
A. Granlund ↔ J. Tauriainen
Inter Turku
🔄
87'
B. Ampofo ↔ J. Botue
Inter Turku
🟨
89'
Pyry Mentu
HJK Helsinki

HJK Helsinki vs Inter Turku Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
HJK Helsinki Win 49.2%
Draw 13.7%
Inter Turku Win 37.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
HJK Helsinki1.4
Inter Turku1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki
W L W L W
8 GF / 6 GA
Inter Turku Inter Turku
W L D D W
5 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
12
BTTS Yes
17
18
Over 2.5
13
1.38
Shots on Goal
1.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 30 matches
Inter Turku Inter Turku 34 matches
HJK Helsinki Statistic Inter Turku
15 Wins 16
5 Draws 13
10 Losses 5
52 Goals For 43
36 Goals Against 31
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.26
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.91
12 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 23
18 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 6
12 Clean Sheets 14
6 Failed To Score 9
1.38 Shots On Goal 1.93
3.15 Total Shots 3.82
1.5 Corners 2
18.8% Ball Possession 24.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with HJK Helsinki expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Inter Turku in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter Turku having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Inter Turku. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

HJK Helsinki Analysis

HJK Helsinki approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 37 points after 22 outings. With 11 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 36:27, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Brooklyn Lyons-Foster (1 goals), M. Borchers (1 goals), with creative support from T. Pukki (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Inter Turku Analysis

Inter Turku approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 42 points after 22 outings. They have recorded 11 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, with a 29:16 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Clinton Jephta (1 goals), Alie Conteh (1 goals), J. Yli-Kokko (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, HJK Helsinki won 1 times, Inter Turku won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from HJK Helsinki's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.3%)
Predicted formations: HJK Helsinki 4-4-2 / Inter Turku 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: HJK Helsinki wins 1, draws 3, Inter Turku wins 1

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L D D W L
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
L W L W D
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D W W W
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D L L L D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W D W W L
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
D L L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
W L D L W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L L D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
W D W W W
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
L W W D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D W D
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D D L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs